2015-AN YEAR OF ECONOMIC CRISIS IN ROMANIA

ROMANIAN ECONOMY HIT BY CRISES IN 2015: GDP, INFLATION, ECONOMIC DATA

Monday, 19 January 2015 at the headquarter of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation the first economic forecast conference for 2015 has taken place: The info date and prognosis of evolution of Romanian economy in crisis 2015. The aggravating crisis!

The conference has united economical experts from Romania and European Union, economical supervisors and personalities of political, economical and academic life of Romania.

2009- 2014 –the first stage of world crisis and impact on Romanian economy.

Three hundred economists, bankers and economic journalists attended the economic conference.

The conference started with an evaluation of the first wave of impact of economic crisis in the recent period: 2009-2014.

 

In 2012-2014 the economist stated in a voice that: the economic crisis has affected the vital areas of economic life: the collapse has started with construction industry and construction material factories and collapse continued by the real estate market shrinking.

Others affected sectors where: insurance, banking and stock exchange and in all the financial sector was strongly shaken down.

The consumer confidence has fallen sharply and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has being reduced with 10% in 2010 and 8% in 2011 to decrease further with margins between 2-3% in 2013 and 2014.

The decrease in Romanian economy has being so devastating, today we are below the 1996 level-the record law of Romanian economy.

Unfortunately, the economic collapse of 2012-2014 has laid the foundation for a crisis without equivalent in Romanian history that will affect the country in 2015.

2012-2014: The period of economic disaggregation of Romanian economy.

2012 and 2014 will be remembered as the worst years of recent economic turmoil in Romania, had appreciated in one voice all the experts present at the gathering.

In 2013 and 2014 the Romanian economy had started to show signs of deep financial crisis.

 The banking and insurance system has being especially hard hit and this had made the fragile Romanian economy to reach the breaking point. The inflation had resurfaced and the experts appreciate that a 10% percent yearly inflation is unavoidable.

The resurgence of inflation had put a dramatic pressure on population economy and had made any recovery unthinkable for the next 4-8 years.

The collapse in economic system, the fact that internal and external investments had being reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market has being practically suspended, all this factors had provoked for 2012-2014 a record economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions.

 A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis is the governmental incompetence that by increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investors in the favor of big companies succeeded only to aggravate the economic crisis.

2015 – The maximum point of economic crisis.

 

The 2015 will be a decisive year when Romanian society with 70% of population living below poverty line will be confronted by the ripple effects of European meltdown.

Until now the Romanian economy was hit hard by his own faults like: reduced productivity and competitiveness, chaos in the governmental policy, crippling inflation etc.

In 2015 Romania will be affected by the decay in European economic activity, effects of anti-Russian sanction and the redraw of investor from the Eastern Europe market in the aftermath of Greece and Hungary crisis.

Crisis hit Spain, Greece, and Ireland and slowing down economy of Germany, France and Great Britain, will impact negative on Romanian chances to get access to European funds and foreign investments.

Romanian economy and policy maker are not yet conceptual prepared to understand that Romanian EU membership had become a liability and a negative factor in the future of Romania, appreciated the representative of Foreign Export Company Association Mr. Marcel Alexandru.

The negative impact of European Union financial and confidence crisis will account for a 2-5% percent reduction in Romanian GDP this year.

 2015 will be without a doubt a period of a new catastrophic decline.

 

It must be very clear, all economic experts underlined, that the present economic decline will last for at least a decade at European level, so all those opinions that declared that Romania will start a new economic growth before the next 10 years; either don’t know what they are saying, either are bluntly laying.

All the European statistics are speaking about the lost decade of Europe between 2010 and 2020 , term referring to the blocking of economic development at continental level and the frozen of present situation for a decade.

Those that are declaring that Romania will surpass the period of recovering of  France or Great Britain economy , are telling stories that are unbelievable , stated chief economist Mihail Raceanu. What is important is to succeed that we have in 2015 a decrease in real economy of less than 10% and in the interval between 2015 and 2019 to stop the decline and in 2020 to start the recovery.

2015 budget-A budget of economic crisis.

 

In 2015 the Romanian economy is coming to the fore not only with the negatives trends of the last years and a crippling luck of funding and investment but also with a budget of austerity that will direct Romania to plunge into a new economic meltdown.

The 2015 budget is impacting Romanian economic stability and is giving a sign of chaos in the government economic policy.

The budget expected deficit of 2, 1% percent of GDP it not offering any chance for a real economic recovery, massive investment projects are abandoned and the decline in the economy is estimated by independent economist around 3-6% percent of the GDP by the year’s end.

What is dramatic, is the reduction in the direct investment in the economy, with less than 1 billion euro investment planned for this year, the Romanian economy had to struggle for sustainability.

Reduced foreign investment and dramatically shrinking internal private investment means that Romania will have now more that 2 billion euro (in an optimistic assessment) for investment programs.

The country needs at least 20 billion per year to modernize the economy and to have a decent growth rate of 1-2% percent per year.

The present day budget of 2015 is not only of severe austerity, but of severe contraction, stated the economists present at the meeting.

Romanian economy recover postponed to 2050.

This assessment was a strong one, keeping in mind that the pre-crisis governmental statistic declared that in 2025 Romania will succeed in recuperating the gap and reach the level of industrial activity prior to 1989 Revolution.

This perspective is no longer feasible, a new perspective is appearing after the crisis and after the lost decade and a cumulative GDP decrease of more than 60% from 2007 economy level.

The economic recession will make it hard for Romanian economy to recuperate the last loses in the context of zero governmental involvement, the general economic climate of recession and finally the worst factor of all: the burden of external debt.

The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments will be reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market will be suspended and all this will provoke this year an economic decrease of more than 5% of GDP or even 8% of GDP after others opinions.

 

External debt risk can plunge Romania into financial meltdown.

The fear factor that will suffocate Romanian economy in the next period will be, after 2015, the foreign debt crisis.

The government has careless accepted more than 36 billion dollars credit and in total: the private and state debt of Romania is reaching the unbelievable sum of 95 billion dollars, this only if the government will no longer accept new loans.

Despite the writing on the wall, in all of cases like: Greece, Spain and Ireland, Romania is accepting new loans from International Monetary Fund, loans that will not be invested in developing and modernizing the economy but in salaries and pensions.

This consumer invested loans at extortionate interest rates, will suffocate completely an ailing and failed economy as Romanian economy is.

Another gloomy factor is the unemployment: with a rate of registered unemployment of more than 15% of the active population and with another 15% percent of the population already left out of the governmental unemployment aid, Romania tops many EU member countries with a real unemployment figure of more than 30% of the population.

This figure must be put in perspective with more that 70% of the population below the poverty line and the full picture of the economic meltdown and social tragedy could be analyzed.

Romania economy is in crises and no plans for a future development had being adopted.

2015: The economic crisis.

The conclusion of the most important economic experts in Romania was clear: the crisis is not over by far, but has entered in a more difficult phase that will affect financial and banking system and economic fundament`s.

The economic crisis will continue until 2017 at the earliest and a coming back cycle that will last until 2025.

This decade will be, without a doubt, the lost decade of Romania, but if the necessary measures are not rapidly taken to re-establish control on economic decline than we risk that Romania economy will not come back not even in 2025.

D.P.R. KOREA AMBASSADOR IS WARMLY GREETED IN BUCHAREST

On 13 of January 2015 a welcoming and protocol meeting in the honor of the new Ambassador of D.P.R.Koreea-H.E. Ri Kwang IL has taken place and reuniting a group of Romanian personalities from academic, diplomatic, parliamentary and business community.

Prof. Dr. Anton Caragea, President Director-General of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation express his heart-felt congratulation on the occasion of beginning of mandate of H.E. Ri Kwang IL, appreciating that between Romanian and D.P.R.Korea we can observe a large area of common interests, designed to forge a good understanding between the two nations.

Romanian personalities from academic, diplomatic, parliamentary and business community are greeting new D.P.R.Korea ambassador-H.E. Ri Kwang IL.

 

The Romania D.P.R.Korea relationship must be an example for a better relation between Romania and Far Eastern countries; this was the unanimous assessment of the representatives of Romanian parliament, business community and foreign relation experts.

In the last period the bilateral dialogue, especially on economic cooperation with this area was faltering, but now it is an auspicious moment for reconstructing and rebuilding this framework of dialogue and friendship.

Ambassador Ri Kwang IL had expressed his appreciation for the encouragement`s offered by Prof.Dr.Anton Caragea and had stated that: the vision of developing and fostering new economic, politic and cultural relations between the two nations is a shared vision.

The dialogue had continued on concrete aspects and analyses of economic, political and cultural bilateral relations and on ways of fostering this dialogue on to the future.

The emphasis must be placed on presenting, to an international and Romanian audience, the high-class Korean products, to register them in international competitions for promotion and international recognition and fostering also cultural connection and presenting in international forums cultural creation like Korean Celadon, Mansundae studio pictures and presenting the high level sky resort of Masikryong to the tourism community.

Especially important was the common analysis of the region problems and evolution`s and the shared vision in a peaceful Korean peninsula, living in peace and development, a vision that drive`s D.P.R.Korea and Romania towards cooperation with a mutual goal.

The dialogue led the foundations of a successful diplomatic mandate and fostering the relations between Romanian and D.P.R.Korea and constitutes a promise for re-launching a Romanian diplomatic action in the nearest future.

AMBASADORUL R.P.D. COREEA PRIMIT CU CALDURA LA BUCURESTI

In data de 13 ianuarie 2015, noul ambasador al Republicii Populare Democrate Coreea-E.S. Ri Kwang IL a fost intampinat de catre reprezentantii comunitatii academice,diplomatice, parlamentare si de afaceri din Romania.

La intampinarea noului ambasador, Prof.Dr.Anton Caragea, Presedintele Director General al Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare a prezentat felicitarile sale  cu ocazia inceperii mandatului domnului Ri Kwang IL , apreciind ca intre Romania si R.P.D. Coreea exista o larga arie de interese comune, menite a garanta o buna intelegere intre cele doua tari.

Noul ambasador al Republicii Populare Democrate Coreea-E.S. Ri Kwang IL a fost intampinat de catre reprezentantii comunitatii academice,diplomatice, parlamentare si de afaceri din Romania.

Toti cei prezenti au subliniat dorinta lor ca relatia intre Romania si R.P.D. Coreea sa fie un exemplu pentru relatia intre Romania si zona Extremului orient.

Daca in ultimii ani dialogul bilateral si in special cooperarea economica au stagnat, acum exista momentul propice pentru reluarea acestuia si dezvoltarea lui, au considerat reprezentantii parlamentului si ai comunitatii de afaceri din Romania.

Excelenta Sa Ambasadorul Ri Kwang IL a apreciat incurajarile venite din partea Prof. Dr. Anton Caragea  si a apreciat ca viziunea din partea coreeana este similara: Romania trebuie sa isi ocupe: economic, cultural si politic locul privilegiat in relatia cu R.P.D. Coreea.

Dialogul a continuat pe teme concrete, de analiza a relatiilor economice, politice si culturale intre cele doua tari si a metodelor practice de dezvoltare a acestora in viitor.

De o deosebita importanta a fost analiza comuna a posibilitatilor de cooperare economica, de participare a produselor din R.P.D. Coreea  la competitiile de profil gazduite de Romania, promovarea acestora in plan romanesc si international, dar si intensificarea relatiilor culturale prin prezentarea pentru publicul din Romania a celadonului din R.P.D. Coreea, a picturilor de la studioul Mansundae si promovarea turistica a proiectului de ski Masikryong.

Viziunea comuna a unei zone a pacii, in peninsula coreeana, este un alt element ce impinge R.P.D. Coreea si Romania spre cooperare, au apreciat partile.

Dialogul a pus bazele  unei mandat de succes pentru dezvoltarea relatiei intre Romania R.P.D. Coreea si promite relansarea unei directii de actiune diplomatica a Romaniei.

ROMANIAN ECONOMY IN 2013: GDP, INFLATION, ECONOMIC DATA

Economic forecast: Romanian economy in 2013. GDP, Inflation, Bankruptcy.

Wednesday 30 of January 2013 at the Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation headquarters was held the first conference of 2013: The evolution of Romanian economy in 2013. The aggravating crisis!

Beggars on the street of Romania: a sign of failed economic policy 

The conference has joined economical experts from Romania and European Union, economical supervisors and personalities of political, economical and academic life of Romania.

2009- 2012 –the first period of crisis.

The conference started with an evaluation of the impact of economic crisis in the last period: 2009-2012.

In 2009 the economic crisis has affected the vital areas of economic life: the collapse has started with construction industry and construction material factories and collapse continued by the real estate market shrinking. Others affected sectors where: insurance, banking and stock exchange and in all the financial sector was strongly shaken down. The consumer confidence has fallen sharply and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has being reduced with 10% in 2010 and 8% in 2011.

The decrease in Romanian economy has being so devastating that now we are below the 2000 level. Unfortunately the economic collapse of 2010-2012 has laid the foundation for a crisis without equivalent in Romanian history that will affect the country in 2013.

Professor dr. Anton Caragea-Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation chairing the romanian economist`s meeting.

2011-2012: The period of economic earthquake.

2011 and 2012 will be remembered as the worst years of economic turmoil in Romania, had appreciated in one voice all the experts present at the gathering.

First of all the 2011 has being the year in which the Romanian economy had collected all the hard hits from all the economic collapse of the last years. The financial system has being especially hard hit and this had made the fragile Romanian economy to reach the breaking point. The inflation had resurfaced and the experts appreciate that a 10% percent yearly inflation is unavoidable.

The resurgence of inflation had put a dramatic pressure on population economy and had made any recovery unthinkable for the next 4-8 years.

The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments had being reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market has being practically suspended and all this had provoke for 2012 an economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions. A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis is the governmental incompetence that by increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investors in the favor of big companies all did nothing ells than to aggravate the economic crisis.

2013 – European economic crisis will impact hard on Romania.

The 2013 will be a decisive year to on how will be affected the Romanian economy by the European meltdown.

Until now the Romanian economy was hit hard by his own faults like: reduced productivity and competitiveness, chaos in the governmental policy, crippling inflation etc. In 2013 Romania will be affected by the decay in European economic activity.

Crisis hit Spain, Greece, and Ireland and slowing down economy of Germany, France and Great Britain, will impact negative on Romanian chances to get access to European funds and foreign investments.

Romanian economy and policy maker are not yet conceptual prepared to understand that Romanian EU membership had became a liability and a negative factor in the future of Romania, appreciated the representative of Foreign Export Company Association Mr. Marcel Alexandru.

The negative impact of European Union financial and confidence crisis will account for a 2-5% percent reduction in Romanian GDP this year.

 2013 will be without a doubt a period of a new catastrophic decline. It must be very clear, all economic experts underlined, that the present economic decline will last for at least a decade at European level, so all those opinions that declared that Romania will start a new economic growth before the next 10 years; either don’t know what they are saying, either is bluntly laying.

All the European statistics are speaking about the lost decade of Europe between 2010 and 2020 , term referring to the blocking of economic development at continental level and the frozen of present situation for a decade.

Those that are declaring that Romania will surpass the period of recovering of  France or Great Britain economy , are telling stories that are unbelievable , stated chief economist- Mihail Racaceanu. What is important is to succeed that we have in 2013 a decrease in real economy of less than 10% and in the interval between 2013 and 2018 to stop the decline and in 2020 to come back to pre-crisis level.

Homeless and hungry in Great Britain. How EU crisis will affect Romania ?

2013 budget- a budget of economic decline.

In 2013 the Romanian economy is coming to the fore not only with the negatives trends of the last years and a crippling inflation but also with a budget of austerity that will direct Romania to plunge into a new economic meltdown.

The 2013 budget is the first budget in the eight year period that is not approved prior to 1-th of January, a negative record that is impacting Romanian economic stability and is giving a sign of chaos in the government economic policy.

The budget expected deficit of 2, 4% percent of GDP it not offering any chance for a real economic recovery, massive investment projects are abandoned and the decline in the economy is estimated by independent economist around 8-10% percent of the GDP by the year’s end.

What is dramatic is the reduction in the direct investment in the economy, with less than 8 billion euro investment planned for this year the Romanian economy had to struggle for sustainability. Reduced foreign investment and dramatically shrinking internal private investment means that Romania will have now more that 10 billion euro (in an optimistic assessment) for investment programs. The country needs at least 20 billion per year to modernize the economy and to have a decent growth rate of 1-2% percent per year. He present day budget is not only of severe austerity but of severe contraction stated the economists present at the meeting.

Romanian economy recover postponed to 2050.

This assessment was a strong one, keeping in mind that the pre-crisis governmental statistic declared that in 2025 Romania will succeed in recuperating the gap and reach the level of industrial activity prior to 1989 Revolution.

This perspective is no longer feasible, a new perspective is appearing after the crisis and after the lost decade and a cumulative GDP decrease of more than 60% from 2007 economy level.

This economic recession will be hard to recuperate in the context of zero governmental involvement, the general economic climate of recession and finally the worst factor of all: the burden of external debt.

The resurgence of inflation will put a dramatic pressing on population economy and will make any recovery unthinkable for the next 1-2 years. The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments will be reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market will be suspended and all this will provoke next year an economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions. A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis in the governmental incompetence that by: increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investor in the favor of big companies all did nothing ells than to aggravate the economic crisis.

External debt risk can plunge Romania into financial meltdown.

The fear factor that will suffocate Romanian economy in the next period will be, after 2015, the foreign debt crisis.

The Emil Boc government has careless accepted more than 36 billion dollars credit and in total the private and state debt of Romania is reaching the unbelievable sum of 95 billion dollars, this only if the government will no longer accept new loans.

In 2012 the Mihai Razvan Ungureanu government succeeded in just a few months to reduce the National bank Reserves by 20 billion euro, an unprecedented squandering of public money in Romanian history.

Despite the writing on the wall, in all of cases like Greece, Spain and Ireland, Romania is accepting new loan from International Monetary Fund, loans that will not be invested in developing and modernizing the economy but in salaries and pensions. This consumer invested loans at extortionate interest rates will suffocate completely an ailing and failed economy as Romanian economy is.

Unemployment: with a rate of registered unemployment of more than 12% of the active population and with another 15% percent of the population already left out of the governmental unemployment aide, Romania tops many EU member countries with a real unemployment figure of more than 25% of the population. This figure must be put in perspective with more that 50% of the population below the poverty line and the full picture of the economic meltdown and social tragedy could be analyzed. Romania economy is in crises and no plans for a future development had not being adopted.

2013: The worsening of economic crisis.

The conclusion of the most important economic experts of Romania was clear: the crisis is not over by far, but has entered in a more difficult faze that will affect financial and banking system and economic fundament`s. The economic crisis will continue until 2017 at the earliest and a coming back cycle that will last until 2025. This decade will be without a doubt the lost decade of Romania but if the necessary measures are not rapidly taken to re-establish control on economic decline than we risk that Romania economy will not come back not even in 2025.

A NATION WAY TO PROSPERITY AND GLOBAL SIGNIFICANCE by PROFESSOR DR. ANTON CARAGEA, MA, FINS, EDA

We are living through difficult and boisterous time. A period of rapid changes in world economic and political system, a time of powerful crisis that is shaking the fundaments of national states and of national economies and is putting under strain the social protection and all the values of economic neo-liberalism.

In this chaotic period, just a few nations are allowed the luxury of economic and political long time forecast and predictability: China and United States are creating and proposing to their people and foreign partners a long term vision of development and national statehood construction.
In a time of peril and un-certitude, when even a short time economic prediction is considered hazardous, just a few nations are having the will to act as beacons of lights and direction for their region.

In 17th of December 2012 Kazakhstan had enter to this select club of nations, conscientious of their role and position in the continental and world stage by presenting an ambitious, realistic and well carved plan for future of Kazakhstan until 2050.
By the voice of his President, Nursultan Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan had created the prototype of a long term, healthy and stable construction model for the country, the region and the world.

Kazakhstan 2030: weathering the storm and creating a nation.

Kazakhstan it is not at the first step in a managed transition towards a stable and democratic society and a powerful economy.
In 1997 Kazakhstan had already carved the landmarks of his astonishing development by the presidential strategy- Kazakhstan 2030.
Far from being just a window dressing, the strategy for 2030 had proved to be a perfect way for charting Kazakhstan after the independence in the incertitude of nation building and construction of a viable economy.
The program had allowed Kazakhstan to tap into national reserves of oil and gas, to gush out of the enclave country status via the reconstructed Silk Road of energy and trade, to create a modern economy, not depending only on energy resources, to build a huge potential of national intelligence and to foster the economy of knowledge, the base for a XXI century reliable economy.

The long string of economic successes was accompanied in the internal sphere by political stability, based on democratic and open society values, the protection of national and religious minorities.
In the area of external policy, Kazakhstan had gather the powerful laurels of a successful reform project carried out during his Presidency of Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. An impressive success was also the unprecedented two year chairmanship of Organization of Islamic Conference that transformed Kazakhstan in a leader of dialogue between Islam and Western world.

The latest major diplomatic achievement of Kazakhstan was the proposal of building an area of security and cooperation in Europe and Asia, launched in September 2012, in Astana, at CICA Conference by President Nursultan Nazarbayev. This latest proposal makes Kazakhstan the promoter of an all-inclusive, intercontinental dialogue, that could transform the political landscape of XXI century.
In the end, Kazakhstan 2030 had proved to be not only a successful strategy for Kazakhstan, but also an example for all the countries of the world on how a nation by the sole fact of building himself, can become a regional and world significant player.

The main pillar of Kazakhstan 2050: understanding of XXI century.

In its world acclaimed book: The Seven Pillars of Wisdom, the famous Lawrence of Arabia had mentioned that: the most important, but also decisive part of a plan is to be in line with the necessity of his time.
Kazakhstan 2050 starts by outlining the fundaments of the world in XXI century. A period of change, of accelerating history, of economic, political and ecological challenges, a world completely different from the world of XX century.
Instead of training to force the reality to enter in the realm of possibility, Kazakhstan 2050 is offering a realistic and practical assessment of the necessities of today world and of the available solutions.
Fallowing his long term tradition, Kazakhstan understands that creating a success story and offering solutions to the world is the best way to serve not only his interest, but also to add value to his place in the world.
Kazakhstan 2050: good news for people of Kazakhstan.

Kazakhstan had become in the last 20 years an abode of peace, inter-ethnic and inter-religious understanding in a troubled world. One of the explanation is undoubtedly the economic success that made the Kazakhstan not only one of the fastest growing economy in the world, but also a top investor destination in the world economy statistics.

Kazakhstan 2050 is providing the basis for this healthy economy to continue his growth process. Investing in social protection and creating a strong internal demand are key factors for a stable rate of growth. Modernizing the economic potential, investing in new technologies are policy that will insure the world competitiveness of Kazakhstan national economy and the creation of a knowledge based economy are also a profitable long term investment.

The modern economy is based on technological transfer and Kazakhstan is becoming a champion in modernizing the basis of his economy via technology transfer and more important, Kazakhstan educational system mixed with the accent on entrepreneurship in economic development is creating the base for a managerial revolution, that will put Kazakhstan among the top economy`s of the world in term of creativity and intelligence incorporated in economic production.

Extremely interesting it is also the concept of a Kazakhstan patriotism. Instead of playing the card of nationalism or chauvinism, President Nursultan Nazarbayev is calling for the tradition, language and equality to blend into a new and successful Kazakh: a person well educated, wealthy , healthy enjoying the benefits of a modern state and administration and a state of the art medical system.
Kazakhstan is promising to put at the core of his foundation plan for 2050 the individual and his chances to prevail in a complex XXI century.

From Kazakhstan to the world. From world to Kazakhstan.

One of the keys of Kazakhstan national and international success was understanding that Kazakhstan could not evolve alone in the world, but always must stay in touch and be an intricate part of the world evolutions. There are many examples that support this conjecture in Kazakhstan two decades of independence story.

Kazakhstan economic miracle was built on partnership with western companies and oil extraction technology, but also on political negotiation with Russia on Caspian Sea exploration.
The Astana Expo 2017 will also be a proof of the lesson of mutual profit that Kazakhstan is offering to the world. Kazakhstan management of energy, the lessons of ecology and energy for a future, of environment protection, are going to be beneficial for the world economy and for the generations to come. This is just a new illustration of the Kazakhstan concept of successful quest for global significance.
Kazakhstan economic development had transformed the country in a major player in the development of Asia and Europe. Kazakhstan 2050 promises to continue this wise policy: from Kazakhstan to the world, from world to Kazakhstan, creating a synergy that could only beneficial for all the world nations.

Now the lessons of Kazakhstan 2050 are available for everybody: an example of a society of free people building a country for the future, not in isolation or competition, but in harmony with the world nations. In the concert of nations Kazakhstan is ushering in a new tone: a tone of hope.

Professor dr. Anton Caragea MA, FINS, Dr.Hc

DIALOG INTRE PROF.DR. ANTON CARAGEA SI AMBASADOR MARTA FAJARDO PALET

In data de 13 Februarie 2012 a avut loc o intrevedere amicala si de cooperare  intre prof.dr.Anton Caragea , Directorul Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica  si Excelenta Sa Marta  Fajardo Palet – Ambasador al Republicii Cuba in Romania.

Excelenta Sa Ambasadoarea Marta Fajardo Palet si Prof.Dr. Anton Caragea

Prof.dr.Anton Caragea si-a exprimat sentimentele de prietenie si a subliniat interesul cu care Romania a urmarit recentele evolutii din Cuba, incluzand consolidarea dezvoltarii economice a Cubei si crearea unei perfecte unitati de sentimente si actiune intre popor si guvernul cubanez. Traditia revolutionara cubaneza continua sub supervizarea Comandantului Fidel Castro si a Presedintelui Raul Castro si este urmarita cu simpatie si interes in Romania, a subliniat prof.dr.Anton Caragea .

Excelenta Sa, D-na Ambasador Marta  Fajardo Palet, a prezentat cele mai noi evolutii in relatia bilaterala precum : deschiderea Camerei de Comert Romania-Cuba, dezvoltarea relatiilor culturale si construirea de noi punti de dialog intre Romania si Cuba.

Partile au apreciat ca intre Romania si Cuba exista o larga arie de interese comune menite a garanta o buna intelegere intre doua tari. Relatia intre Romania si Cuba  trebuie sa fie un exemplu pentru relatia intre Romania si America Latina.

Daca in ultimii ani dialogul cu zona Americii Latine nu a fost satisfacator , acum exista momentul propice pentru reluarea acestuia si dezvoltarea lui.

Dialogul a continuat pe teme concrete, de analiza a relatiilor economice , politice si culturale intre cele doua tari si a metodelor practice de dezvoltare a acestora in viitor.

Dialogul Romania-Cuba. Un dialog al prieteniei. 

Totodata a fost discutata si aniversarea in acest an ( 2012) a 85 de ani de relatii diplomatice si marcarea anul trecut ( 2011) a 50 de ani de relatii diplomatice la nivel de ambasada intre Romania si Cuba.

Dialogul de succes promite relansarea unei directii de actiune diplomatica a Romaniei spre zona Americii Latine.

DPRK is Ready for Both Dialogue and Confrontation

Pyongyang, March 1 (KCNA) — The U.S. and the south Korean bellicose forces finally kicked off large-scale war exercises against the DPRK, going against the unanimous aspiration and demand of the people at home and abroad for the peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula.

A spokesman for the DPRK Foreign Ministry Tuesday issued the following statement:

Key Resolve and Foal Eagle joint military exercises go to prove once again that the U.S. hostile policy to hinder the peaceful development of the DPRK in every way and stifle it by force of arms remains unchanged.

They are the U.S. exercises for a war of aggression against the DPRK to put pressure upon the East of the Asian Continent and thus put the whole of the Korean Peninsula under its military control. They are exercises for a nuclear war involving huge nuclear offensive means of the U.S. now under way according to an operational plan for making a preemptive nuclear attack on the DPRK.

The U.S. is talking about “provocations” from someone but the on-going joint military exercises cannot but be viewed as provocations. Given the fact that the international community unanimously expresses serious concern over the tense situation on the Korean Peninsula, this saber-rattling is itself a blatant provocation. The exercises whose purpose is to cope with the “contingency” of somebody and their nature suggests that they are the most serious provocation.

It was expected that south Korea would work hard to torpedo dialogue through all kinds of provocations to keep the confrontation prevailing between the north and the south.

As soon as the present south Korean authorities took power, they denied the reconciliation and cooperation between the north and the south. They are, therefore, under the political burden to justify their policy for escalating the confrontation at any cost till the next elections.

What merits a serious attention is a selfish aim of the U.S. to meet its strategic interests by taking advantage of such intention of the south Korean authorities. The U.S. is contemplating egging the south Korean authorities on to screw up the tension on the Korean Peninsula in a bid to round off the U.S.-Japan-south Korea triangular military alliance and establish military domination over this whole region.

The U.S. responded with its vicious military provocation to the DPRK’s proposal for avoiding actions which can be considered by each other as provocations and building confidence through dialogue and negotiations. It is nonsensical and hypocritical for the U.S. to talk about “sincere” dialogue, while kissing the south Korean authorities.

The DPRK has done what it can to make necessary dialogues successful as far as possible without any precondition, not webbed to modality of dialogue, prompted by the single desire to defuse the tension on the Korean Peninsula and ensure peace and stability there. The international community as a whole concerned about the escalating tension in the peninsula and the region is expressing positive support for the peace-loving efforts of the DPRK for dialogue.

The army and people of the DPRK are expressing irrepressible resentment at the U.S. for its high-handed act of staging the large-scale war maneuvers against the DPRK again quite contrary to the trend of the times.

Inevitable is the physical counter-action on the part of the army of the DPRK for self-defence. The hard-won opportunity of dialogue and detente is fading away.

The U.S. should be wholly accountable for all the consequences to be entailed by its military provocations.

The DPRK is ready for both dialogue and confrontation.

The U.S. would be well advised to know well that it would lose more than what it would gain by escalating the military tension on the peninsula.

DPRK EMBASSY IN ROMANIA

WORLD SUPPORT FOR LIBYAN INDEPENDENCE.

On 24 February the Great Britain special forces supported by navy and aircrafts enter the air space of Libya in an act of agresion in order to support terrorist troops that are attacking Libyan people and government .The argument for this unparalleled infringement on a nation suzerainty : so called humanitarian mission.    This act of war was exactly what Fidel Castro predicted in 21 February : a western military intervention to subjugate Libyan oil and wealth.

In front of this all out assault on an independent country the world condemnation mounts : Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua and progressives organizations and mass media are strongly condemning  the latest imperialist invasion of Africa.

The Cynical Danse Macabre.

The policy of plundering imposed by the United States and their NATO allies in the Middle East has gone into a crisis. It has inevitably unravelled with the high cost of grains, the effects of which can be felt more forcefully in the Arab countries where, in spite of their huge resources of oil, the shortage of water, areas covered by desert and the generalized poverty of the people contrast with the enormous resources coming from the oil possessed by the privileged sectors.

While food prices triple, real estate fortunes and the treasures of the aristocratic minority reach millions of millions of dollars.

The Arab world, mainly Muslim in its culture and beliefs, has seen itself additionally humiliated by the imposition of blood and fire by a State that was not capable of fulfilling the basic obligations that were part of their origin, from the colonial order existing up to the end of WW II, by virtue of which the victorious powers created the United Nations Organization and imposed world trade and economy.

Thanks to the treason committed by Anwar El-Sadat at Camp David, the Palestinian State has not been able to exist, despite the UN treaties of November 1947, and Israel became a strong nuclear power, an ally of the United States and NATO.

The US Military Industrial Complex supplied Israel with tens of billions of dollars every year as well as to the very Arab States that were submitted and being humiliated by Israel.

The genie has escaped from the bottle and NATO doesn’t know how to control it.

They are going to attempt to wrest the most benefits from the regrettable events in Libya.  Nobody can know at this moment what is happening over there. All the figures and versions, even the most implausible ones, have been spread by the empire via the mass media, sowing chaos and disinformation.

It is obvious that inside Libya a civil war is brewing.  Why and how did this happen?  Who will pay the consequences? Reuters Agency, echoing the opinion of the well-known Nomura Bank of Japan, stated that oil prices could go beyond any limits:

“‘If Libya and Algeria suspend oil production, prices could reach a maximum of more than 220 dollars a barrel and OPEC’s inactive capacity would be reduced to 2.1 million barrels per day, similar to levels seen during the Gulf War and when values touched 147 dollars a barrel in 2008’, the bank asserted in an article.”

Who could pay that price these days? What would be the consequences in the midst of the food crisis?

The main NATO leaders are all worked up.  British Prime Minister David Cameron, ANSA informed, “…admitted in a speech in Kuwait that the western nations made a mistake in backing non-democratic governments in the Arab world.” One has to congratulate him on his frankness.

His French colleague Nicolas Sarkozy stated: “The extended brutal and bloody repression of the Libyan civilian population is disgusting”.

Italian Chancellor Franco Frattini stated as “‘believable’ the figure of one thousand dead in Tripoli […] ‘the tragic numbers shall be a bloodbath’.”

Hillary Clinton stated the following: “…the ‘bloodbath’ is ‘completely unacceptable’ and ‘it has to stop’…”

Ban Ki-moon spoke: “‘The use of violence in the country is absolutely unacceptable’.”

“…‘the Security Council will act according to whatever the international community decides’.”

“‘We are considering a series of options’.”

What Ban Ki-moon is really hoping is that Obama pronounces the last word.

The president of the United States spoke this Wednesday afternoon and stated that the Secretary of State would be leaving for Europe in order to agree with their NATO allies on the measures to be taken. On his face once could note the opportunity to spar with John McCain, the far-right-wing Republican senator, pro-Israel Senator Joseph Lieberman from Connecticut and the leaders of the Tea Party, in order to ensure the Democratic Party demands.

The empire’s mass media has prepared the terrain for action. There would be nothing strange about a military intervention in Libya; besides, with that, Europe would be guaranteed almost two million barrels of light oil per day, unless before that events would put an end to the leadership or the life of Gaddafi.

Anyway, Obama’s role is rather complicated. What will the reaction of the Arab and Muslim world be if blood should flow in abundance in that country as a result of that exploit? Would NATO intervention in Libya stem the revolutionary tidal wave surging in Egypt?

In Iraq, the innocent blood of more than a million Arab citizens was spilt when the country was invaded under false pretexts.  Mission accomplished!: proclaimed George W. Bush.

Nobody in the world would ever agree with the deaths of defenceless civilians in Libya or anywhere else. And I wonder: will the US and NATO apply that principle on the defenceless civilians that the unmanned Yankee planes and the soldiers of that organization kill every day in Afghanistan and Pakistan?

It is a cynical danse macabre.

Fidel Castro Ruz

February 23, 2011.

7:42 p.m.

OBAMA IS PREPARING TO INVADE LIBYA

On 23 of February United States President had stopped short of recognizing his plan to invade Libya and to take over control of rich oil and gas fields of the country. In a moment when United States hegemony in the Middle East is crumbling a stabile base of supply with energy is a necessity for US. Sponsoring a so called revolution , sending foreign mercenaries is a way to obtain all this . Cuban leader Fidel Castro unveils this plan to destroy Libya and take control over the oil rich country.

The NATO Plan is to Occupy Libya by Fidel Castro

Oil has become the principal wealth in the hands of the great Yankee transnationals; through this energy source they had an instrument that considerably expanded their political power in the world.  It was their main weapon when they decided to easily liquidate the Cuban Revolution as soon as the first just and sovereign laws were passed in our Homeland: depriving it of oil.

Upon this energy source today’s civilization was developed.  Venezuela was the nation in this hemisphere that paid the highest price.  The United States became the lord and master of the huge oil fields that Mother Nature had bestowed upon that sister country.

At the end of the last World War, it started to extract greater amounts of oil from the oil fields ofIran, as well as those in Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the Arab countries located around them.  These became the main suppliers.  World consumption progressively increased to the fabulous figure of approximately 80 million barrels a day, including those being extracted on United States territory, to which later gas, hydro and nuclear energies were added.  Until the beginning of the twentieth century, coal had been the basic source of energy that made industrial development possible, before billions of automobiles and engines consuming the liquid fuel were produced.

The squandering of oil and gas is associated with one of the greatest tragedies, not in the least resolved, which is suffered by humankind: climate change.

When our Revolution arose, Algeria, Libya and Egypt were not yet oil producers and a great part of the abundant reserves of Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran and the United Arab Emirates were still to be discovered.

In December of 1951, Libya becomes the first African country to attain its independence after WW II, during which its territory was the stage for important battles between the troops of Germany and theUnited Kingdom, conferring fame and glory on Generals Erwin Rommel and Bernard L. Montgomery.

Ninety-five percent of its territory is completely made up of desert.  Technology permitted the discovery of vital oilfields of excellent quality light oil that today reach one million 800 thousand barrels a day along with abundant deposits of natural gas.  Such riches allowed it to reach life expectancy that is almost at 75 years of age and the highest per capita income in Africa.  Its harsh desert is located over an enormous lake of fossil waters, equivalent to more than three times the land area of Cuba; this has made it possible to construct a broad network of pipelines of fresh water that stretch from one end of the country to the other.

Libya, which had a million inhabitants when it attained independence, today has somewhat more than 6 million.

The Libyan Revolution took place in the month of September of the year 1969. Its main leader was Muammar al-Gaddafi, a soldier of Bedouin origin who, in his early years, was inspired by the ideas of the Egyptian leader Gamal Abdel Nasser.  Without any doubt, many of his decisions are associated with the changes that were produced when, as in Egypt, a weak and corrupt monarchy was overthrown in Libya.

The inhabitants of that country have age-old warrior traditions.  It is said that ancient Libyans were a part of Hannibal’s army when he was at the point of destroying Ancient Rome with the troops that crossed the Alps.

One can agree with Gaddafi or not.  The world has been invaded with all kinds of news, especially using the mass media.  One has to wait the necessary length of time in order to learn precisely what is the truth and what are lies, or a mixture of events of every kind that, in the midst of chaos, were produced in Libya.  For me, what is absolutely clear is that the government of the United States is not in the least worried about peace in Libya and it will not hesitate in giving NATO the order to invade that rich country, perhaps in a matter of hours or a few short days.

Those who with perfidious intentions invented the lie that Gaddafi was headed for Venezuela, just as they did yesterday afternoon on  Sunday the 20th of February, today received an fitting response from Foreign Affairs Minister  Nicolás Maduro when he literally stated that he was “wishing that the Libyan people would find, in the exercise of their sovereignty, a peaceful solution to their difficulties, that would preserve the integrity of the Libyan people and nation, without the interference of imperialism…”

As for me, I cannot imagine that the Libyan leader would abandon his country; escaping the responsibilities he is charged with, whether or not they are partially or totally false.

An honest person shall always be against any injustice being committed against any people in the world, and the worst of all, at this moment, would be to remain silent in the face of the crime that NATO is getting ready to commit against the Libyan people.

The leadership of that war-mongering organization has to do it.  We must condemn it!

Fidel Castro Ruz

February 21, 2011

 

 

Romania – lovitura de stat din 1989. O dezbatere intelectuala romano-franceza

Romania – lovitura de stat din 1989

Articol de Gerard Lucon- Redactor Agoravox-Franta  publicat la 26.01.2011

Traducere de Nina Georgescu – Redactor Agoravox-Franta

Daca ne intoarcem la anii 1967-1989 sa ne amintim ca Romania se distanta de politica Pactului de la Varsovia si avea o alta pozitie fata de razboiul de 6 zile si de Cehoslovacia.  De mentionat este si apropierea a doua tari , Albania si Romania de China comunista , ea insasi aflata in plina revolutie zisa culturala.

Atunci cand primavara de la Praga a facut sa rasune glasul stangilor europene de sustinere a marelui frate sovietic , cand Ungaria amorsa o privatizare lina in anii 70 tocmai datorita inteligentei diplomatice a lui Janos Kadar , doua tari se inchideau putin cate putin , transformand teritoriul lor in ghetouri.

Sosirea la putere a lui Mihail Gorbaciov avea sa modifice legaturile dintre USA si URSS si datorita acestor legaturi avea sa se faca si sa se desfaca tari si regimuri si sa se formeze noi echilibre.  Din acest punct de vedere anul 1989 prezinta un model exceptional de redistribuire a cartilor de joc si de creare a unui un nou echilibru.  Apropierea USA-URSS a antrenat si o apropiere a serviciilor secrete franceze (DGSE) si engleze (MI 5) iar aceasta apropiere a avut ca scop , printre altele , sa atinga in mod direct istoria Romaniei.Prima etapa a fost decizia lui Ceausescu de a-l trece in dizgratie pe Ion Iliescu.  Acesta din urma era vazut ca un demn succesor in anii de plumb , pentru ca apoi , brusc , sa fie suspectat ca simpatizeaza  cu politica lui Gorbaciov (Perestroika).   Aceasta suspiciune a capatat forma cu ocazia unei discutii intre cei doi  sefi de stat , atunci cand Gorbaciov i-a cerut lui Ceausescu sa inceapa un proces de liberalizare a tarii.  Iliescu a fost legatura intre cele doua tari.  Ceausescu a inteles imediat miza si riscurile. El l-a indepartat pe Iliescu de careul demnitarilor si i-a opus un refuz categoric lui Gorbaciov. In fata atitudinei incapatanate a lui Ceusescu , Gorbaciov s-a inteles cu George Bush sa schimbe regimul din Romania si sa-l dea jos pe Ceausescu.

Intre cele doua mari puteri intelegerea a fost simpla.  Gorbaciov avea sa se ocupe de Romania iar Bush de America Centrala aflata atunci in plina efervescenta (Nicaragua si Salvador).  Ca proba a bunavointei celor doi , Gorbaciov obtine sustinere din partea serviciilor secrete franceze si engleze , USA sunt lasate libere iar URSS inceteaza de a mai aproviziona cu arme cele doua tari care sunt Nicaragua (sandinista ) si Salvador (Frontul Farabundo Marti).

Sub egida lui Ion Iliescu a fost creat la inceputul anului 1989 un Comitet al Salvarii Nationale care avea sa-i regrupeze pe cei care vor fi vazuti la televiziunea nationala imediat dupa fuga lui Ceausescu.  De acum bazele loviturii de stat erau puse.  Mai ramanea de facut in asa fel ca aceasta tentativa sa nu se transforme in razboi civil deoarece puterea dispunea de un imens dispozitiv intern : Securitatea si o armata comandata de generali care nu erau neaparat prosovietici.

Sustinut activ si material de catre serviciile secrete franceze , olandeze si engleze , Comitetul Salvarii Nationale se organizeaza , in Occident  incepe o campanie de informare cu privire la grozaviile regimului aflat la putere in Romania , cu privire la sistematizare , la mutarile fortate si  instalarea celor de la sate in imobile si trecerea la distrugerea satelor. Este ciudat faptul ca aceasta actiune inceputa inca din anii 1970 nu a prezentat interes pentru mediile de informare occidentale decat in 1989. O prima etapa este depasita prin ralierea elitelor de origine maghiara.  Acolo au fost activate serviciile secrete ungare , in acele zone unde aceasta comunitate era deosebit de numeroasa , in unele departamente atingand chiar 90 % din populatie.

O a doua etapa a fost usoara negociere cu opozantii regimului Ceausescu , atat cei din exil cat si cei consemnati la domiciliu in tara.  Toti au fost contactati , la toti li s-a promis un loc sub soare daca sustin lovitura. Toti au acceptat , toti aveau sa obtina locul promis sub soare si ceea ce este si mai strigator , nici unul dintre ei nu avea sa fie uscis in timpul evenimentelor din decembrie 1989.

A treia etapa a fost depasita atunci cand pe teritoriul Romaniei au intrat , incognito , persoane provenite din nord . In spatele acestora se afla marele frate sovietic.  Armata romana incepe sa fie intoarsa , inclusiv generalii care aveau sa apara un timp la guvernarea din 1990  (Stanculescu la aparare) pentru ca apoi sa serveasca de tapi ispasitori.  Generalii Stanculescu si Chitac aveau sa fie judecati si condamnati la grele pedepse cu inchisoarea pentru mortii de la Timisoara.

In schim generalul GEOANA ,  ( tatal lui Mircea GEOANA nefericitul candidat la alegerile prezidentiale din 2009 ) cel care comanda piata din Bucuresti in decembrie 1989 trece neobservat.  Ciudata impunitate.

La fel s-a intamplat si cu generalul Vasile Milea care mai are si azi o strada care-i poarta numele in Bucuresti , el care totusi a fost acela care a trimis tancurile impotriva taranilor in timpul revoltelor din 1962.  Cat priveste Securitatea , ea fusese deja contactata dupa caderea zidului Berlinului , apoi intalnirea de la Malta intre Bush si Gorbaciov la 3 decembrie 1989 a finalizat dosarul Romania.  Mai concret , Iulian VLAD , comandantul Departamentului Securitatii Statului ar fi fost atunci cooptat pentru a face parte din grupul pucistilor.

Toate plasele fiind intinse mai ramanea doar sa fie demarata operatiunea.  Acest lucru s-a facut la Timisoara mai intai la 17 decembrie , apoi la Bucuresti la 21 decembrie cand s-a produs un eveniment inimaginabil.  Ceausescu a fost huiduit in timp ce-si tinea discursul la tribuna in piata care mai tarziu avea sa se numeasca Piata Revolutiei.

In aceasta tara in care fiecare suspecta pe fiecare , in care fratele isi putea denunta sora , unde paznicul de la scara blocului raporta toate miscarile proprietarilor si locatarilor , unde toata lumea era in permanenta in garda , unde totul era notat , consemnat , iata ca dintr-o data o imensa multime il contesta pe dictator.  Cine poate crede in spontaneitatea acestei miscari ? Apoi povestea cu macelul de la Timisoara care a ocupat prima pagina in presa occidentala pana in ziua cand s-a demonstrat ca a fost vorba de o montare sordida , ca au fost dezgropate niste cadavre ca totul sa para mai adevarat .  Peste 50 de persoane au fost ucise la Timisoara la 17 decembrie , cadavrele au fost transportate la Bucuresti , apoi au fost incinerate.  Dintre aceste cadavre 40 nu au fost revendicate de nici o familie romana.  Ipoteza prezentei la Timisoara de agenti rusi pentru lansarea loviturii de stat porneste de la acest eveniment.  Aceasta ipoteza este mult mai credibila chiar daca ea nu are nici o legatura cu mortii de la Timisoara.

Intr-adevar , in lunile care au precedat lovitura de stat au intrat pe teritoriul Romaniei aproximativ 200 de agenti SPETZNAZ , trupe speciale de comando parti integrante ale GPU ( Serviciul de Informatii Militare al Armatei Rosii) care au ca misiune sa intervina in pregatirea pe teren a loviturilor de stat si a invaziilor.  Aceste trupe au fost deja prezente in Cehoslovacia in 1968 , in Afganistan in 1979 .  Omologii lor americani erau in Chile inaintea loviturii de stat a lui Pinochet.  In Franta , trista si celebra Coloana a 5-a germana a fost deosebit de activa in dezorganizarea spatelui frontului francez in 1939.

Aceste servicii secrete care nu exista de ieri , cum puteau ele sa nu fie prezente la o asemenea operatiune ?

Zilele de 21 si 22 dec.1989 au insemnat o cheie capitala pentru reusita sau esecul puciului deoarece Securitatea , care initial incepuse sa traga asupra multimii , a operat o retragere brusca si a lasat armata sa gestioneze manifestatiile , via Directiei de Informatii a Armatei DIA , actuala DGIA. In tot cazul in ce-i priveste pe rusi nici o negociere nu mai era avuta in vedere data fiind aceasta atitudine ambigua a Armatei si a Securitatii , iar GORBACIOV avea sa dea ordinul de debarasare fizica a lui Ceausescu.  Nu numai ca el stia prea multe , dar mai ales faptul ca Securitatea ar fi putut continua sa-l sustina , fie si numai partial , iar Armata , din cauza ca o parte din ea nu era sub controlul pucistilor , risca sa se intoarca impotriva manifestantilor si a Comitetului Salvarii Nationale.  De altfel unele din unitatile ei deschisesera deja focul , inclusiv asupra altor unitati militare (aeroportul de la Otopeni).  Riscul unui razboi civil era prea mare si s-a considerat ca eliminarea fizica a dictatorului este probabil cea mai buna solutie pentru a elimina , sau cel putin a diminua acest risc.

Pentru ca lovitura de stat s-a desfasurat asa cum s-a prevazut , acesti agenti SPETZNAZ au fost retrasi in tara lor in ianuarie 1990. Cu privire la tot ce s-a intamplat nimeni nu si-a pus intrebari , nici chiar mediile occidentale. Si asta pentru ca dezinformarea a functionat foarte bine.

Cu toate acestea , cand ne uitam la ceremoniile oficiale ale epocii , la cele organizate in toate tarile de Est , nu putem sa nu fim frapati de jovialitatea oamenilor , de drapele , de surasuri , de entuziasm.  Si de aici deducem ca acesti oameni erau autorizati sa manifesteze si selectati pe sprinceana. Cum ne putem imagina cu seriozitate ca nu a existat o triere a manifestantilor si o manipulare in zilele de 17 si apoi 21 decembrie ? 

Deci lovitura de stat a fost lansta. Si ea va reusi sa preia controlul asupra televiziunii nationale , in frunte cu un pretins opozant al regimului devenit actor in aceasta actiune , Mircea DINESCU.  Se va ajunge apoi si la judecarea si condamnarea la moarte a sotilor Ceausescu de catre un tribunal de ocazie , a carui sentinta , redactata anticipat de catre , printre altii , de Gelu Voican Voiculescu , membru al Comitetului Salvarii Nationale si de membrii juriului alaturi de Ion Iliescu si Petre Roman.  Povestea acestui Voican Voiculescu este interesanta.  Inalt , cu o barba frumoasa si lunga  a la Karl Marx , el a fost peste tot prezent desi nimeni nu-l cunostea.  Este prototipul de persoana care a intrat in joc pentru ca era informat si a ramas acolo participand la tot ce se facea .  A fost acceptat pentru ca era cu gura mare.  Participant la aceasta pretinsa revolutie , el a devenit vice-prim ministru datorita prezentei sale pe o fotografie de grup alaturi de Ion Iliescu.

In privinta lui Mircea Dinescu care a devenit multimilionar dupa , consemnarea lui la domicilia a fost pur formala.  Adevaratii opozanti erau incarcerati in inchisori speciale , de regula la Pitesti , iar altii erau eliminati fizic direct in inchisoare  (Gheorghe Ursu de exemplu). Altii erau transferati la munci fortate ( sapare la Canalul Dunarii) , altii intrasera in rezistenta si traiau in muntii Fagarasului unde unii din ei chiar au murit si in fine altii au fugit in strainatate.

Ceeace este fapt sigur este ca din acel moment Iliescu a preluat fraiele puterii.  Petre Roman a fost numit prim ministru , Voican Voiculescu avea sa fie numit mai tarziu Ambasador . Post deloc rau pentru unul care a facut ca presedintele  sa fie condamnat la moarte , ca apoi sa devina diplomat de cariera.   Povestea lui Petre Roman este si ea interesanta. Membru al nomenclaturii sub Ceausescu , el avea doua defecte pentru Elena Ceusescu : era evreu si se combinase cu fiica ei.  De aceea s-a decis sa fie trimis sa-si faca studiile in Franta , la Toulouse , ca sa se sparga relatia.  El avea sa revina in tara pentru a participa la aceasta « revolutie » si a fost transportat cu elicopterul de la Constanta la Bucuresti de serviciile de securitate.

Ati zis revolutie ?

Ceea ce putem extrage din aceste evenimente este ca prezenta trupelor speciale de comando sovietice si interventia omologilor lor frncezi , americani si englezi la nivelul armatei romane si a unei parti a conducatorilor Securitatii , a facut posibil sa se dispuna de o contra pondere enorma chiar in interiorul organelor de represiune.

Ceea ce mai putem adauga este ca in afara de serviciile secrete , chiar si ambasadele tarilor lor respective au fost locuri de agitatie si manipulare , inclusiv presa si mediile straine. Au fost patru ore de agitatie , cateva zile de impuscaturi in dreapta si-n stanga , 1500 de civili si cca. 50 de militari morti , iar la nivelul aparatului de stat , doi morti , Nicolae si Elena Ceausescu.

Cine mai indrazneste azi sa vorbeasca de revolutie ?

Acum cand bazele au fost puse , ar fi bine sa privim toate aceste lucruri care au fost subiecte de interes si de mobilizare in Occident dupa 1989  ( copii abandonati , copii strazii , SIDA , persoane cu handicap , coruptie , romii , adoptiile , prostitutia , pungasii ). Ar fi bine sa vedem si cum s-au adaptat si reciclat acesti fosti conductori , acesti fosti colaboratori si unde se afla ei acum : in guvernul roman , la Bruxelles , la Strasbourg , la Washington.  Nu au lipsit nici unele caderi in dizgratie.   Un ziarist roman , acum decedat , Silviu Brucan , fost comunist , spunea ca Romania va avea nevoie de 20 de ani pentru a iesi din comunism in stil romanesc.  El era optimist .  Romanii care au peste 45 ani si care sunt la putere sunt fosti nomenclaturisti , iar cei care au mai putin de 45 de ani si care sunt la putere sunt fii acestora.

Traducere comentariu la articolul :  Roumanie , le coup d’Etat de 1989

OPINIA ROMANEASCA LA ACEST ARTICOL

Buna ziua domnule Gerard Lucon.

Articolul dvs. este foarte bun. Ati avut cu siguranta surse de informare bune iar informatiile pe care ni le-ati transmis sunt importante si ele au meritul de a demonstra ca evenimentele din decembrie 1989 care au avut loc in Romania nu au fost o Revolutie.  Mai exista inca in Romania si in strainatate numerosi ignoranti dar si oameni de rea credinta care , desi cunosc adevarul , afirma totusi contrariul.  Ei au cu siguranta un interes in ascunderea adevarului.  Dar asta este o alta problema. 

Exista totusi in articolul Dvs. o neconcordanta intre prezentarea faptelor , care de altfel este corecta , si anume :

–         sosirea la putere a lui Mihail GORBACIOV si legaturile dintre Statele Unite si URSS pentru a face si desface tari si regimuri , pentru a construi noi echilibre ;

–         apropierea dintre SUA si URSS care a condus si la o apropriere intre serviciile secrete franceza si engleze avand drept scop sa atinga istoria Romaniei in mod direct ;

–         sustinerea acordata de serviciile secrete franceze , olandeze si engleze Comitetului roman al Salvarii Nationale , etc.

deci repet , exista o neconcordanta intre prezentarea faptelor si concluzia la care Dvs. ajungeti : Lovitura de Stat.

Potrivit rezultatului obtinut prin cercetarile mele nu este vorba de o lovitura de stat ci de ceva mult mai grav , de un Razboi Secret avand drept scop , asa cum si Dvs. bine spuneti , de a schimba istoria.  Primul act care a simbolizat schimbarea istoriei a fost pangarirea drapelului national si de stat al Romaniei si decuparea stemei patriei noastre.  Drapelul a fost dupa aceea arborat in forma sa pangarita in locuri publice ca un trofeu al invingatorilor pe pamantul Romaniei socialiste.  ( 19 dec.1989 la Timisoara )

Acest Razboi Secret a fost realizat de catre serviciile secrete ale puterilor economice straine , cu ajutorul unor tradatori romani care au folosit metodele specifice ale serviciilor secrete cum ar fi capacitatea de manipulare a informatiei si dezinformarea maselor , diversiunea psihologica , radio – electronica si diversiune cu foc terorist impotriva poporului roman.

Or este bine cunoscut faptul ca dezinformarea si diversiunea in diferitele ei forme sunt arme de razboi.

Pentru o mai buna intelegere a evenimentelor din decembrie 1989 din Romania va prezint mai jos contextul in care s-a nascut Razboiul Secret ,

Pierderea prestigiului SUA in razboiul din Vietnam , grava si marea criza a Capitalismului din anii 1970 care afecta ansamblul societatii capitaliste aratau ca SUA si tarile capitaliste dezvoltate , cu fragilele lor democratii occidentale , nu mai puteau oferi o perspectiva pe plan national si mondial.  Capitalismul era intr-o disperare totala pentru ca nu mai putea face fata competitiei istorice cu Socialismul si democratia socialista care , intr-un timp istoric relativ scurt reusise sa se impuna ca sistem economic , social si politic pe plan mondial.

In aceste conditii , in timpul presedintiei lui NIXON , liderii politici americani si marii sefi ai oligarhiei financiare s-au intalnit la inceputul anului 1973 si au hotarat , in secret , ca singura solutie pentru scoaterea Capitalismului din marea sa criza economica a anilor 1970 este distrugerea , cu orice pret , a Socialismului la nivel global si simultan , si nu actionand in mod izolat si din timp in timp , cum s-a procedat pana in 1973 cand s-a consemnat infrangerea Statelor Unite in razboiul din Vietnam. In felul acesta solutia iesirii din criza a fost deplasata din interiorul Statelor Unite si al tarilor capitaliste dezvoltate in afara frontierelor lor. O decizie politica secreta a fost luata , potrivit careia lumea capitalista formata din SUA si tarile occidentale aliate trebuia sa actioneze in 5 directii de atac impotriva Socialismului , si anume :

Distrugerea sistemului politic si economic socialist

1. Recastigarea lumii a treia si restaurarea domintiei prin noi forme neo

coloniale.

1. Reconstructia fostelor piete de desfacere prin expulzarea societatilor

apartinand statelor socialiste.

1. Transformarea zonei tarilor care au cunoscut regimuri socialiste in

piata de desfacere pentru produsele industriale ale tarilor capitaliste.

1. Preluarea controlului asupra principalelor surse de energie : petrol , gaze carbune , energie atomica .

S-a hotarat ca realizarea acestor obiective sa se faca printr-un Razboi Secret al carui nume de cod american era “Covert Operation” , adica Operatiuni sub Acoperire.

Aceasta misiune secreta  a fost incredintata serviciilor secrete ale Statelor Unite si tarilor capitaliste dezvoltate membre NATO , precum si unor organizatii oculte  (GLADIO , etc.) Pentru punerea in opera a Razboiului Secret s-a facut un Plan care a fost aprobat de sefii statelor capitaliste interesate in distrugerea concurentei economice a sistemului socialist. Ofensiva occidentala impotriva tarilor socialiste europene a prezentat un interes deosebit pentru Administratia americana care a transmis principalilor sai aliati din NATO cele ce urmeaza :

“ Evenimentele din Europa se desfasoara rapid si este necesara o coordonare mai stransa intre statele membre ale NATO pentru a putea controla situatia si accelera cursul favorabil intereselor Occidentului.

In acest sens este necesara o redistribuire a rolului statelor occidentale si o mai mare implicare in actiunile care trebuie sa influenteze evolutiile in diferitele tari socialiste.  In aceasta situatie :  Statele Unite vor trebui sa se concentreze mai ales pe situatia din URSS ,  in timp ce R.F.Germania si Anglia trebuie sa se ocupe mai mult de problemele ce privesc R.D.Germania , Polonia , Cehoslovacia , iar Franta si Italia , de tot ce priveste Ungaria , Bulgaria si Romania.

Razboiul Secret ca ofensiva globala pentru distrugerea Socialismului a fost pregatit o lunga perioada de timp , incepand din 1973.  In momentul cand s-a considerat ca toate conditiile sunt indeplinite s-a decis scoaterea lui la lumina , declansarea lui in 1989-1991  in Europa si URSS , sub acoperirea de Revolutii , dupa principiul Dominoului .  Asa-zisele revolutii au fost :  revolutia sangeroasa din Romania , revolutia mai putin sangeroasa din URSS , revolutiile de catifea din Bulgaria , Cehoslovacia , RDG , Polonia si Ungaria.  Aceste revolutii au fost continuate dupa 1991 sub forma de revolutie portocalie in Ukraina si revolutia rozelor din Georgia.

Acest Razboi Secret a reusit pana in prezent sa distruga socialismul si oamenii din Europa si URSS.  Aceasta reusita nu ar fi fost posibila fara sustinere din partea unor unor inalti demnitari din tarile socialiste , chiar foarte inalti , din partea unor tradatori din cadrul serviciilor secrete socialiste , din partea resturilor nazismului care mai existau in aceste tari si din partea unei parti a diasporei din tarile socialiste.

Statele Unite au lansat un nou principiu in istoria natiunilor.  Ele au afirmat ca nu este tradator cel ce actioneaza impotriva securitatii nationale a propriei sale tari daca el se pune in acelasi timp la dispozitia Agentiei Centrale de Informatii a Statelor Unite : CIA.    Pentru CIA celelalte state nu au nici o valoare.

Distrugerea adversarului concurent printr-un Razboi Secret Global este o premiera mondiala in istoria razboaielor si a umanitatii.

Alexandr Radu Timofte , fost director general al Serviciului Roman de Informatii SRI  (1999-2005) descrie aceasta premiera mondiala in felul urmator :  “ In toata perioada de dupa razboi , prin metodele specifice ale Razboiului Secret ai caror actori sunt serviciile secrete , sfarsitul Razboiului Rece a fost accelerat si inamicul mondial , respectiv sistemul socialist instaurat pe 1/3 parte a planetei , a fost invins.  La scara istorica acest proces poate fi considerat ca fiind cea mai mare victorie a unui sistem informational secret “

Se poate observa ca solutia pentru scoaterea Capitalismului din cea de a doua sa mare criza a fost doar un paliativ pentru Statele Unite si Occident.

Situatia pe plan international s-a agravat , lumea este mai saraca si mai instabila , iar Capitalismul a intrat , prin intermediul Statelor Unite , in cea de a treia sa mare criza

Nina GEORGESCU                      Redactor Agoravox-Franta                Cercetator politic independent