Centrul Diplomatic/Diplomatic Center

Centrul de Studii Politice si Diplomatie/ Center for Political Science and Diplomacy

HUNGARIAN EU PRESIDENCY CELEBRATED IN BUCHAREST

On  15 of January 2011  in a festive atmosphere at Romanian Athenaeum was marked the Hungarian takeover of European Union Presidency.  H.E. Ambassador of Hungary Oszkar Fuzes has presented briefly the priorities of Hungarian mandate concentrated on West Balkan dimension, fostering European Union dialogue with future members and supporting Romania and Bulgaria becoming full members of Schengen Free Travel Agreement.

H.E. Ambassador of Hungary Oszkar Fuzes presenting Hungarian EU presidency priorities.

The Romanian delegate, Undersecretary of State in Ministry of Culture , Irina Cajal Marin   emphasized on Romanian-Hungarian historical cooperation and friendship and on the new dimension of cooperation in the European Union between the two countries.  Ambassadors, Romanian political and cultural personalities, present at the event, appreciated also the perfect relationship between Romania and Hungary, the bilateral projects, the cooperation in the European Union institution and in forging a European Union policy more small country friendly and in more touch with the EU member’s countries aspiration. The Hungarian Presidency of European Union will serve as an experience model and an example for Romania at here takeover of European Union Presidency. The political side of the event was accompanied by a splendid cultural performance by Ferenc Liszt Chamber Orchestra which selected a special program destined to underlined Europe unity and cultural lofty .

Professor AntonCaragea,director of IRICE-Romania and undersecretary Irina Cajal congratulating H.E.Bajtai Erzsebet for the successful event.

The personalities present at the event declared that is was the most successful and warm celebration of an European Union Presidency from the moment when Romania join in the European Union and congratulated Hungarian ambassador Oszkar Fuzes and Bajtai Erzsebet  for the perfect diplomatic soiree regarded as a symbol of Romanian-Hungarian friendship and cooperation.

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January 26, 2011 Posted by | Diplomacy, Diplomatie, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Educatie, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Foreign policy, History, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Leaders, Mass media, Open Letter, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Politics, Romanian economy, Romanian Foreign Policy, Tourism, Travel, Turism, Universitati, Universities | , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

ROMANIA- TURKMENISTAN: A PERFECT DEVELOPING RELATION

The bilateral relation Romania-Turkmenistan has become a rapidly increasing one after the opening of Turkmenistan Embassy in Romania. It could be considered that the bilateral relationship has grown with an outstanding speed becoming a strategic partnership. The visit of  Prime Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs of Turkmenistan H.E. Vepa Hagjyev for Romanian-Turkmen consultation in Bucharest between 24-26 January 2011 it is giving a new dimension and proof of the strength of bilateral relation.  On 24 of January 2011 H.E.  Prime Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs of Turkmenistan has held discussion with a Romanian delegation from Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania headed by Professor Anton Caragea in order to build up a coherent strategy for further development and deepening of Romania-Turkmenistan relation.

Prime Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs of Turkmenistan H.E. Vepa Hajyev and Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania,Prof.Dr. Anton Caragea

In his speech Mr. Vepa Hajyev has praised the important part played by Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania in the bilateral relation dynamic and asked for further support from Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation in building under the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Turkmenistan a similar institution with the Romanian one.  Your successful experience in building a highly successful and influential Institute in the European politics will have his fruition for our part, underlined the distinguish guest. The discussions have touched on a variety of issues ranging from the preparative for a successful high level visit of President of Turkmenistan H.E. Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov in Romania to economic cooperation. Professor Dr. Anton Caragea, director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation has emphasized the necessity to fulfill the bilateral agreements reached during his visit in Ashgabat in December 2010 in order to maintain the ascendant path in bilateral relation. So it was reiterated the opening of a Romanian-Turkmen Bilateral Economic Forum in 2011, of a Turkmen Art Exhibition, organizing the first export of Romanian wine on Turkmenistan market and to continue the cultural exchange program with more than 5 Romanian cultural delegations invited in Turkmenistan.

Romania-Turkmenistan dialog, a dialog of friendship

Concluding the discussion Mr. Vepa Hajyev has underlined in the Romanian part approval that Romania-Turkmenistan bilateral political relation could be described as an excellent one, the cooperation in international organizations is also a fruition one and there are all the opportunities for becoming a strategic partnership. The official visit of Prime Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs of Turkmenistan was a new success of Romanian diplomacy and a new step in building a long term relation with the Central Asia region, especially with Turkmenistan a beacon of democracy, political stability and economic development in the area. The Romanian-Turkmenistan relation is becoming a model for European Union relationship building with Central Asia region.

Romania-Turkmenistan: forging a strategic partnership.

 

January 25, 2011 Posted by | Blackseanews Agency, Corcova Roy&Damboviceanu, Diplomacy, Diplomatie, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Foreign policy, G20 Summit, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, History, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Leaders, Mass media, News, Open Letter, Orient, Oriental Art, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Politics, Religion, Romanian economy, Romanian Foreign Policy, Travel, Turism, Turkmenistan, United Nations Global Compact, Universities, Viticola Corcova | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

RELATIILE ROMANO-TURKMENE ISI CONTINUA CURSUL ASCENDENT

Relatiile intre Romania si Turkmenistan au cunoscut o inflorire remarcabila, odata cu deschiderea Ambasadei Turkmenistanului in Romania . Se poate aprecia ca relatia intre cele doua tari cunoaste cea mai rapida dinamica devenind un parteneriat strategic . Vizita prim-vice ministrului afacerilor externe Vepa Hajyev pentru consultari romano-turkmene in perioada 24-26 ianuarie 2011 este o noua marturie a amplorii pe care aceste relatii o iau. Astfel in ziua de 24 ianuarie dl. Prim vice-ministru al afacerilor externe al Turkmenistanului a avut discutii cu o delegatie a Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica condusa de Prof. Dr. Anton Caragea pentru a perfecta strategia de dezvoltare a relatiilor bilaterale in urmatoarea perioada.

Dl. Vepa Hajyev, Prim-Vice Ministrul Afacerilor Externe al Turkmenistanului si Prof.dr.Anton Caragea, directorul Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica

In discursul sau dl. Vepa Hajyev a apreciat rolul determinant al Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica in dinamizarea relatiilor bilaterale si a solicitat sprijinul  Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica pentru realizarea ,sub egida Ministerului Afacerilor Externe al Turkmenistanului,    a unui institut similar. ″Experienta de succes a Institutului dvs. ne va fi de mare ajutor in crearea unei institutii care speram sa aiba acelasi succes extraordinar precum Institutul dvs., o forta recunoscuta in politica externa  europeana″ , a subliniat distinsul oaspete turkmen. Discutiile au atins subiecte variate precum pregatirea vizitei la nivel inalt a Presedintelui Turkmenistanului, Excelenta Sa Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov,  in Romania si mai ales dinamica economica.

Discutii intense. Simbolul unei intelegeri perfecte.

Prof.dr.Anton Caragea , directorul Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica     a subliniat necesitatea indeplinirii acordurilor realizate in perioada vizitei sale la Asghabat ( decembrie 2010) pentru  a mentine dinamica bilaterala pozitiva. Astfel s-a convenit realizarea in 2011 a Forumului Economic Romano-Turkmen ,a unei Expozitii de Arta Turkmena la Bucuresti ,a primului export de vin romanesc pe piata turkmena si mentinerea contactelor culturale la acelasi nivel ridicat de pana acum cu peste 5 delegatii culturale romane invitate in Turkmenistan.  In concluzia discutiilor dl. Vepa Hajyev a concluzionat in asentimentul prof.dr.Anton Caragea  ca relatiile politice sunt excelente , cooperarea in domeniul institutiilor internationale este extensiva si fructoasa si ca exista toate premisele pentru ca cele doua tari sa dezvolte un parteneriat strategic de importanta remarcabila. Vizita oficiala a Prim Vice-Ministrului Afacerilor Externe al Turkmenistanului a fost un nou succes major al diplomatiei romanesti si al construirii unei relatii pe termen lung cu tarile Asiei centrale , in primul rand cu Turkmenistanul, factor de stabilitate politica si democratie in zona. Relatia romano-turkmena devine un adevarat model de succes pentru relatiile Uniunii Europene cu tarile din regiune.

Romania-Turkmenistan: un parteneriat strategic

 

January 25, 2011 Posted by | Blackseanews Agency, Corcova Roy&Damboviceanu, Diplomacy, Diplomatie, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Educatie, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Foreign policy, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, History, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Islam, Leaders, Mass media, News, Orient, Oriental Art, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Politics, Real Eastate, Religion, Romanian economy, Russia, Turism, Turkmenistan, United Nations Global Compact, Universitati, Universities, Viticola Corcova | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

PREDICTIONS FOR 2011

STATE OF THE WORLD FORECAST  REPORT FOR 2011 by PROFESSOR ANTON CARAGEA PhD,MA, FINS

It is in human nature to search for answers regarding the shaping of the future. It is a natural impulse that today science is offering a response by such disciplines as futurology and political science. 2011 it is in many respects just a continuation of 2010 evolution in economy and foreign affairs and is creating the path for 2012 when new and decisive election will be held in United States, Russia and across the world.


Homeless in United States: a common faith for 10 million people.

The economic crisis will worsen.

A regular companion of world economy in the last 3 years was the economic crisis. The crisis that unlashed over United States in 2007 and soon consumed the all world. 2011 will be still a year of the crisis. United States fails to be the engine for recovery in economy is fighting a record public deficit of   over 14 trillion dollars, more than 47 million americans living below poverty line and consumer confidence hitting record low. In politics a time and resource consuming battle between democrats and republicans in Congress and a paralyzed presidency of a crippled Barrack Obama , all this show that United States are far away not only from any recovery chance,  but also for a stagnation that will be more favorable that the present day gloomy economic outlook.

European Union is also confronting severely battled economy .Public record deficits in Ireland, Greece, Spain and Portugal (famous PIGS of European economy) are hindering EU image as an economic powerhouse. France and Great Britain are far from being out of recession and Germany fantastic growth figures are regularly downgraded, making a shame of the famous German punctuality and honesty. Germany has long receded from being the leader and acumen of Europe to be the problem child of Europe economy. With record deficits, rampant inflation, record dropping life standards, Germany is looking set in becoming the next bailout candidate of Europe not the pillar of Europe recovery.

India and China also experienced a halt in their record growth figures and 2011 will see this figures rapidly diminished. China economy ,  is growing now only on internal market demand at the expense of here competitivity  . Growing salaries and improving life conditions in China are surely positive news for Chinese people, but this is reflecting in a 35% increase in Chinese products prices in 2010. These tendencies will continue in 2011 and will reduce Chinese goods appeal in the world market.   China and India are not in the position to drag alone the world economy out of the precipice.   The economic crisis is here to stay in the next five years.

Pressure on China .

The most interesting political game of 2011 will be the cat and mouse game that Washington is playing with Beijing. In 2010 Washington wanted China`s alignment on anti-Iran resolution in the Security Council. It was enough for United States to play the economic card, agitating measures such as nominating China as a currency manipulator and imposing unilateral economic sanctions for China to back down and to support the US sponsored resolution in United Nations Security Council. In late 2010 when United States decided on a show of force on China Sea, at the door step of China, it was enough to describe China as a menace for the Far East region and to support Japan military resurgence for China to back down. It was reportedly that the December military exercises held by South Korea and US in East China Sea have being proven so efficient that China was put on a defensive posture.

In 2011 China will face new decisions: a new anti-Iran resolution that is drafted by US and will be put before Security Council in the spring of 2011, clearing the way for a military action against Iran. If China joins this resolution, his stance in the third world as an alternative power to United States and an agent of multilateralism will fade away definitively. Also United States are decided to support South Korea pressure against  North Korea, pressure that will be efficiently only if China goes on board. In a word China is confronted  in 2011  with the same decision as in 2010: should it be content with the stature of a middle power, as Great Britain or France ,and take care of his regional agenda or maintaining a great power profile embarks himself in a confrontation policy with United States ? Regional politics or big player, this is the alternative that Beijing is had to make.

Iran: new sanctions.

In December 2010 after failed talks, Iran and P+5 decided on a last ditch attempt in January 2011 to lift up the dialogue in Istanbul on Iranian nuclear issue. The rift between the parties is clearer than ever: Iran hold us up to his right on peaceful nuclear development while United States is determined to see Iranian nuclear program dismantled. Under this conditions is not difficult to predict the failure of the talks. United States have  already drafted a resolution, clearly laying out the path for military action against Teheran. Last year Russia and China with Brazil and Turkey intercession, succeeded to amend the draft, excluding the key phrase of -by every dint necessary. This year Russia will not oppose this green light for military action , while China stance is yet unclear. The battle around this new United Nations resolution will be undoubtedly the main diplomatic event of 2011.

Putin and Medvedev: a love-hate relation ?

Russia: fight for power.

In Russia the power struggle between the make shift President, Dimitry Medvedev and his benefactor, omnipotent prime-minister Vladimir Putin, is taking epic  and opera type proportions. Until now the battle between President  and Prime Minister was held on the streets of Moscow ,where Kremlin backed supporters tacking  to the streets against the Prime Minister administration. This battle in the street was won by Medvedev, that obtain on grounds of police brutality against manifestant`s, the removal of Putin rock-stone allied, Yuri Rajkov, mayor of Moscow. With the battle for Moscow won, Medvedev started two more fronts: a public offensive against the corruption and inefficiency of Putin government and on the world stage a battle for a new Russia image. Inflaming the rage of Putin, Dimitry Medvedev launches his new vision on Lisbon Treaty backstage. A Russia led by Medvedev ,without the omnipresent Putin , will support US efforts in controlling Iran and China , will assure a steady supply of raw materials to US and Europe economy and will request only a regional influence. Medvedev went as far as asserting that Russia relations with Georgia could be massively improved.    As naturally US and Europe force pledge support for the democratic vision of President Medvedev in contrast with authoritarian past of Russia, a diplomatic phrase describing Vladimir Putin policies. Vladimir Putin opera style response: in Sankt Petersburg a giant show on Christmas with him as a super star, congratulated as the greatest man that ever lived by Alain Delon, Sharon Stone, Kurt Russell and Gerard Depardieu. The star of the show-Putin even made a public performance and sings on the piano. 40 millions Russian have watch the show live on television. Score 1-1 for Putin.  The battle for Russia will be another interesting event of 2011.

Israel: a new aggression?

For Tel Aviv 2011 is starting under negative auspices: a frozen relation with White House after the illegal settlements build on Palestinian soil continued controversy and Barrack Obama support for an independent Palestinian state. The Israel international isolation after Mavi Marmara attack in international waters and Turkeys movement to isolate the hebrew state and illegal Gaza blockade made even European Union to start swaying away from Israel position.  After all this failures Benyamin Netanyahu extreme right government has only one solution to galvanize public opinion on his side: a new conflict either by unleashing a new attack on Gaza or on Lebanon. In 2010 Israel violated daily Lebanon air space, sponsored spy infiltration rings in the Cedar country and created a strong pressure to further weaken the country. But anew attack on Lebanon risk to alienate even further the western supporters of Israel and the lessons of 2006 defeat of Israeli military at the hands of Hezbollah is not easy forgotten. In Gaza ,also Hamas has survived blockade and daily attack by Israel in 2010 and even grow in popularity and capitalized on the international humanitarian effort for the people of Gaza in 2010. Gaza is a more labile target; with light weaponry could not stand efficiently against Israel war machine. But a small military victory will compensate the political storm that such an attack will unleash? Benyamin Netanyahu seems to think that this wage worth tacking it.

Savage german police brutality images.

Europe: fight for democratic system.

Europe is having a lot of problems to sort off in 2011. The economic crisis that is engulfing the continent is already described. Another ugly head that is appearing on the continent is sectarian divisions. Nobody forgets the Switzerland vote in banning minarets, the France ban on Muslim scarf, the closing of hundreds of mosques in Europe in the last year and the vicious attack on Tony Blair sister in law that converted to Islam and was nearly to be killed by British extremists. These anti-minority events will repeat and inflammatory statements like Angela Merkel opinion that multiculturalism have failed will support this kind of attacks. Europe is having in this moment more than 40% of population living below poverty line of 500 euro’s per month , increase unemployment’s ,  social and cultural amenities incapable in supporting European population needs, a medical system in grip and a deficit of democracy. As states are finding difficult to cope with this problems an easy escape is the time old remedy of anti-immigration rhetoric.

After being championship of democracy in the last 50 years, European democratic system is starting to show his wrinkles.  Great Britain police resulted to argentine style suppression of mass student demonstration in December 2010 against tuition fees rise. In France against anti-pension reform demonstrators were halted by armed forces and in Germany government resorted to pointing out in a 30`s style the immigration and failed multiculturalism as the culprits behind economy collapsed. The fight for maintaining a viable and democratic system in Europe is a difficult one that 2011 will just be a step.

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PRETURI CASE . PRETURI TERENURI. EVOLUTII IMOBILIARE IN 2011

Luni 10 ianuarie a avut loc sub egida Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica conferinta : Evolutii imobiliare in 2011. Scaderea pietei imobiliare: pana unde , pana cand ? Conferinta a unit economisti, experti imobiliari, firme de brokeraj imobiliar si fonduri de investitii imobiliare din strainatate.

Peste 100.000 de unitati de locuit au fost abandonate in proces de constructie in 2010. Numarul se va dubla in 2011

2010: cadere record pe piata imobiliara.

Dezabaterea a inceput cu  analiza scaderii record a pietei imobiliare din Romania, ce a cunoscut o reducere de peste 45% in preturi in anul trecut. Prabusirea de valoare de la 1.200/1.300 de euro pe metro patrat la 800-650 de euro nu reprezinta decat o parte vizibila a aisbergului ce a lovit piata imobiliara romaneasca. Alte cifre facute publice au aratat noi dimensiuni ale prabusirii: proiecte imobiliare inghetate in valoare de 1 miliard de euro, numarul falimentelor in lumea developerilor ( constructorilor ) a depasit 50%, retrageri de pe piata romaneasca a peste 1,5 miliarde de euro ce ar fi trebuit investite in imobiliare. Tabloul sumbru nu este insa unic, preturile proprietatilor  au cunoscut scaderi asemanatoare in Bulgaria, Serbia, Albania si Grecia care cu 50% conduc in topul scaderii valorilor imobiliare, Ungaria , Cehia si Slovacia au cunoscut reduceri cu 30% a valorii fondului imobiliar. Cu 45% Romania ocupa un neconfortabil loc 4 in regiune in topul prabusirilor de valori imobiliare.

Blocurile fantoma: o emblema a unei economii toxice

2011: scadere de 50% a preturilor.

Evolutia pietei imobiliare in 2011 va fi negativa  , a fost opinia unanima a expertilor, cu o scadere medie de 50% ajungandu-se la o valoare de 350-400 de euro pe metru patrat construit la finele anului. Ratiunile reducerilor continue sunt nenumarate. Astfel in 2011 vor aparea pe piata peste 50.000 de apartamente ce vor fi confiscate de banci ca urmare a dificultatilor financiare ale proprietarilor.

Bancile au anuntat ca vor vinde garsonierele centrale cu preturi intre 20-30.000 de euro, apartamentele cu 2 camere cu 40.000 de euro si cele de trei camere cu 50.000 de euro , vilele peste 100 de metri patrati cu 100.000 de euro, cu conditia sa fie in zone centrale- si cu 50-60.000 de euro in zone perferice. Preturile terenurilor in Bucuresti, dupa ce au cunoscut deja o scadere cu60%  in 2010 ,vor scadea din nou cu inca 50%, la sub 100 de euro pe metru patrat in centrul Bucurestiului. Alte fenomene negative enumerate in timpul conferintei  sunt: reducerea veniturilor populatiei in 2011 cu 25% , ceea ce va reduce corespunzator  numarul celor ce pot accesa credite si pot face investitii imobiliare la sub 50.000 de oameni ( fata de 1 milion de romani ce actionau pe piata imobiliara inainte de criza). Sistemul bancar este gripat si nu poate acorda credite fara o dobanda reala de 20% ceea ce face costul creditelor imobiliare de nesustinut. Se poate aprecia ca cine acceseaza un credit imobiliar in aceasta perioada are 90% sanse sa intre in faliment si sa isi piarda proprietatile.

Doar cei fara adapost mai beneficiaza de marile proiecte imobiliare. Ironia amara a crizei imobiliare

Piata imobiliara este asediata de supraoferta.

Prabusirea imobiliara va continua si se va accentua si datorita aparitiei pe piata imobiliara, ca urmare a falimentelor individuale si de firma, a peste 10.000 de hectare de terenuri construibile, intravilane, ce vor prabusi preturile terenurilor suplimentar. In plus un fond imobiliar de peste 6.500-7.000 de vile, in zone precum Pipera, Baneasa, Damaroaia care se vor vinde pe piata cu preturi sub 80.000 de euro vor impinge si fosta piata de lux a imobiliarelor in prabusire. Acestea sunt cifre conservatoare , cuprinzand date de proprietati pe care le avem deja in procese de executare judiciara si confiscare si scoatere pe piata imobiliara cu preturi deja fixate , anunta Lo Petersen, reprezentantul unui consortiu bancar activand pe piata romaneasca. Pe langa aceste proprietati altele se vor adauga in acest an pe fondul scaderii continue a economiei romanesti a subliniat acelasi oficial.

Economistul sef, Mihail Racaceanu a aratat si el ca prabusirea pietei imobiliare este strict legata de climatul toxic al economiei romanesti. Un calcul simplu arata ca piata imobiliara este strict conecata de evolutia salariului mediu pe economie, a aratat economistul sef. Pretul unui metru patrat construibil , in zonele centrale nu poate depasi  de doua ori valoarea salariului mediu pe economie. Cum in Romania salariul mediu este de 250 de euro rezulta ca nicio casa nu se poate vinde cu un pret de peste 500 de euro pe metru patrat, iar la finele anului cand salariul mediu se va reduce la sub 200 de euro si pretul va trebui sa urmeze aceasta tendinta coborand sub 400 de euro , poate 350 de euro. Cum preturile actuale sunt de cc. 700 de euro pe metru patrat, calculul scaderii preturilor e usor de facut si matematica pura, reducere de minimum 50% a taiat rece orice discutie economistul sef.

Piata vilelor :prabusire totala.

In 2011 cea mai afectata va fi piata vilelor , proprietarii acestora au rezistat inca in speranta unei reveniri a pietei imobiliare, dar in acest an au intrat in colimatorul bancilor care doresc sa execute prioritar aceste proprietati, deoarece piata este suprasaturata de apartamente de bloc, in timp ce executate rapid si vandute la preturi de 100.000 de euro vilele mai pot ajuta bancile sa isi recupereze din pierderi. Ca atare in acest an atacul imobilar se va concentra pe acest sector. Zone precum Pipera, Baneasa, Tunari se mai pot vinde inca cu preturi de peste 70.000 de euro , restul sunt zonelor  precum sudul si estul capitalei sunt nevandabile, piata fiind inchisa. Executarile silite vor reinviora piata vilelor vandute la preturi sub 80.000 de euro au apreciat expertii prezenti la discutie.

Piata chriilor: sufocare totala.

Ultima veste proasta a fost data de reprezentantul unei agentii imobiliare ce a aratat ca scaderea chiriilor si imposibilitatea de a mai gasi chiriasi solvabili a adus proprietarii marilor vile in pragul falimentului. Inainte de criza un proprietar de vila castiga 5-7.000 de euro din chiria unei vile centrale ( Dorobanti, Romana , Aviatori) acum preturile au scazut la sub 3.000 de euro pe luna si sub 2.000 de euro la jumatate anului 2011 pentru  aceleasi zone. Ori o casa veche necesita lucrari de intretinere de peste 2.000 de euro lunar, deci s-a instaurat asfixia economica si in zonele ultracentrale ce fusesera imune la efectele crizei.  In lunile urmatoare ne asteptam la aparitia pe piata la niste preturi ce amintesc de anii 1995 a marilor proprietati imobiliare din zonele centrale.

Criza se va opri in 2015/2016.

Singura veste buna a fost aceea ca vom asista la o stabilizare a pietei imobiliare in jurul anilor 2016. Calculul e simplu, economia globala se va echilibra in 2013-2014, iar piata romaneasca simte evolutiile internationale cu o intraziere de 2-3 ani, deci stabilizarea va avea loc la preturi de 200 de euro metru patrat prin  2015. Trebuie sa intelegem o evidenta, nimeni nu va cumpara in Romania proprietati cu 400 sau 500 de euro metru patrat, cand va gasi acelasi lucru in Bulgaria sau Serbia sau Grecia la 200 de euro metru patrat. Trebuie deci sa ne uitam la tendintele din jur, ca sa intelegem unde se indreapta Romania, a concluzionat invitatul de onoare Lo Petersen

January 10, 2011 Posted by | Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Educatie, Environment, Foreign policy, G20 Summit, History, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Mass media, News, Piata imobiliara, Politics, Real Eastate, Romanian economy, Romanian Revolution, Tourism, Travel, Turism, Universitati, Universities | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

UNITES STATES ARE ECONOMICALLY BANKRUPT SAY`S FIDEL CASTRO

NATO, the world police force.

Many people feel nauseous when they hear the name of that organization.
On Friday, November 19 in Lisbon, Portugal, the 28 members of that aggressive institution, engendered by the United States, decided to create something that they cynically call “the new NATO”.
NATO was born after WW II as an instrument of the Cold War unleashed by imperialism against the USSR, the country that paid for the victory over Nazism with tens of millions of lives and colossal destruction.
Against the USSR, the United States mobilized, along with a goodly portion of the European population, the far right and all the neo-fascist dregs of Europe, brimming with hatred and ready to gain the upper hand for the errors committed by the very leaders of the USSR after the death of Lenin.
With enormous sacrifice, the Soviet people were able to keep nuclear parity and to support the struggle for the national liberation of numerous peoples against the efforts of the European states to maintain the colonial system which had been imposed by force throughout the centuries; states that, in the post-war period, became allies of the Yankees who assumed command of the counter-revolution in the world.

In just 10 days –less than two weeks –world opinion has received three great and unforgettable lessons: G-20, APEC and NATO, in Seoul, Yokohama and Lisbon, in such a way that all honest persons who can read and write and whose minds haven’t been warped by the conditioned reflexes of the imperialist mass media machine, can have a true idea about the problems affecting humankind today.
In Lisbon, not one world was said that was capable of transmitting hope to billions of persons suffering from poverty, under-development, shortages of food, housing, health, education and jobs.
Quite the opposite: the vainglorious character who is the head of the NATO military mafia, Anders Fogh Rasmussen declared, in tones reminiscent of a little Nazi Fuhrer, that the “new strategic concept” was to “act anywhere in the world”.  Not in vain was the Turkish government about to veto his appointment when the Danish neo-liberal Fogh Rasmussen, as premier of Denmark, using the excuse of freedom of the press, defended, in April of 2009,  the authors of serious offences against the prophet Mohammed, a figure much respected by all Muslim faithful.
There are quite a few in the world who remember the close relations of cooperation between the Danish government and the Nazi “invaders” during WW II.
NATO, a bird of prey sitting in the lap of the Yankee empire, even endowed  with tactical nuclear weapons that could be up to many times more destructive that the one that obliterated the city of Hiroshima , has been committed by the United States in the genocidal Afghanistan war, something even more complex than the Kosovo exploit and the war against Serbia where they massacred the city of Belgrade and were about to suffer a disaster if the government of that country had held its ground, instead of trusting in the European justice institutions in The Hague.
The ignominious declaration from Lisbon, vaguely and abstractly states in one of its points:
“I support regional stability, democratic values, the security and integration of the Euro-Atlantic space in the Balkans.”
“The Kosovo mission is oriented towards a lesser and more flexible presence.”
Now?
Even Russia cannot forget it so easily: the actual fact is that when Yeltsin broke up the USSR, the United States moved NATO boundaries and its nuclear attack bases forward from Europe and Asia to the heart of Russia.
Those new military installations were also threatening the Peoples’ Republic of China and other Asian countries.
When that happened in 1991, hundreds of SS-19, SS-20 and other powerful Soviet weapons were able to reach, in a matter of minutes, the US and NATO military bases in Europe.  No NATO Secretary General would have dared to speak with the arrogance of Rasmussen.
The first agreement on nuclear weapons limitations was signed as early as May 26, 1972 between President Richard Nixon of the United States and Communist Party Secretary General Leonid Brezhnev of the USSR with the aim of limiting the number of antiballistic missiles (ABM Treaty) and to defend certain points against missiles having nuclear payloads.
Brezhnev and Carter signed new agreements in Vienna, known as SALT II in 1979, but the US Senate refused to ratify those agreements.
The new rearmament promoted by Reagan, with the Strategic Defence Initiative, ended the SALT agreements.
The Siberian gas pipeline had been blown up already by the CIA.
A new agreement, on the other hand, was signed in 1991 between Bush Sr. and Gorbachev, five months before the collapse of the USSR. When that happened, the socialist bloc no longer existed. The countries that the Red Army had liberated from Nazi occupation were not even able to maintain independence.  Right-wing governments that came to power moved over to NATO with weapons and baggage and fell into the hands of the US.  The GDR which, under the leadership of Erich Honecker had made a great effort, was unable to overcome the ideological and consumerist offensive launched from the same capital that had been occupied by the Western troops.
As the virtual master of the world, the United States increased its mercenary and warmongering policy.
Due to a well-manipulated process, the USSR fell apart.  The coup de grâce was dealt by Boris Yeltsin on December 8, 1991 when, in his capacity of president of the Russian federation, he declared that the Soviet Union had ceased to exist.  On the 25th of that same month and year, the red flag bearing the hammer and sickle was lowered from the Kremlin.
A third agreement about strategic weapons was then signed by George H. W. Bush and Boris Yeltsin, on January 3, 1993, that prohibited the use of multiple-warhead Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (the IBMs). It was passed by the US Senate on January 26, 1993 with a margin of votes of 87 to 4.
Russia was the heir to USSR science and technology – which, in spite of the war and the enormous sacrifices, it was able to bring its power up to the level of the immense and wealthy Yankee empire – the victory over fascism, the traditions, the culture and the glories of the Russian people.
The war in Serbia, a Slavic country and people, had severely sunk its fangs into the security of the Russian people, something no government could allow itself to ignore.
The Russian Duma – outraged by the first Iraq war and the war in Kosovo where NATO had massacred the Serbian people – refused to ratify START II and didn’t sign that agreement until 2000 and in that case it was to try to save the ABM Treaty that the Yankees were not interested in keeping by that date.
The US tries to use its enormous media resources to maintain, dupe and confuse world public opinion.
The government of that country is going through a difficult phase as the result of its war exploits.  In the Afghanistan war, all the NATO countries, with no exception, are committed along with several others in the world, whose people find hateful and repugnant the carnage that rich industrialized countries such as Japan and Australia and others in the Third World are involved in to greater or lesser degrees.
What is the essence of the agreement approved in April of this year by the US and Russia?  Both parties commit to reduce the number of strategic nuclear warheads to 1,550. About the nuclear warheads in France, the United Kingdom and Israel, all capable of striking Russia, not one word is spoken.  About the tactical nuclear weapons, some of them much more powerful than the one that obliterated the city of Hiroshima, nothing. They do not mention the destructive and lethal capacity of numerous conventional weapons, the radio-electric and other systems of weapons to which the US dedicates its growing military budget, greater than those of all the other nations together.  Both governments are aware, and perhaps many of them that met there also, that a third world war would be the last war.  What kind of delusions can the NATO members be having?  What is the tranquility that humankind can derive from that meeting?  What benefit for the countries of the Third World, or even for the international economy, can we possibly hope for?

They cannot even offer the hope that the world economic crisis will be overcome, nor for how long that improvement would last.  The US total public debt, not only of the central government but of all the rest of the public and private institutions in that country, now totals a figure equal to the world GDP of 2009, totalling 58 trillion dollars. Have the persons meeting in Lisbon even wondered about where those fantastic resources would be coming from? Simply, about the economies of all the rest of the peoples of the world, to whom the US handed over pieces of paper transformed into currency that over the last 40 years, unilaterally, ceased to be backed by gold and now the value of that metal is 40 times as much. That country still has veto power in the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.  Why didn’t they discuss that in Portugal?
The hope of pulling out US, NATO and their allies’ troops from Afghanistan is idyllic.  They will have to leave that country before they hand over the power to the Afghan resistance, in defeat. The self-same US allies are beginning to acknowledge now what could happen decades before the end of that war; would NATO be prepared to stay there all that time? Would the very citizens of each of the governments meeting there allow that?
Not to be forgotten that a vastly populated country, Pakistan, shares a border of colonial origin with Afghanistan, as well as quite a large percentage of its inhabitants.
I do not criticize Medvedev; he is very correctly trying to limit the number of nuclear warheads that are pointing at his country.  Barack Obama can make up absolutely no justification. It would be a joke to imagine that the colossal and costly deployment of the anti-nuclear missile shield is to protect Europe and Russia from Iranian rockets, coming from a country that doesn’t even own any tactical nuclear devices.  Not even a children’s comic book can make such a statement.
Obama already admitted that his promise to withdraw US soldiers from Afghanistan may be postponed, and the taxes for the richest contributors suspended right away.  After the Nobel Prize, we would have to award him with the prize for “the best snake charmer” that has ever existed.
Taking into consideration the G.W. Bush autobiography now on the best seller list and that some smart editor pulled together for him, why didn’t they give him the honour of being a guest in Lisbon?  Surely the far right, the “Tea Party” of Europe would be happy.

January 5, 2011 Posted by | African affairs, Al Quds, Bertrand Russell Tribunal, Blackseanews Agency, Coreea, Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economy, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Fidel Castro, Foreign policy, G20 Summit, History, Ierusalim - Al Quds, Information on Korea, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, International Relation, Islam, Korea, Latin America, Leaders, Macedonia, Mass media, News, North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Open Letter, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Palestine, Politics, Real Eastate, Religion, Romanian economy, Romanian Revolution, Russia, Russian Affairs, Socialism, United Nations Global Compact, United States, Universities, War Crimes | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment