Centrul Diplomatic/Diplomatic Center

Centrul de Studii Politice si Diplomatie/ Center for Political Science and Diplomacy

2015: THE HOUSING MARKET LOSES 50% OF HIS VALUE

In the period between 6-7 April 2015, the annual real estate representative’s conference was held under the high patronage of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania.

The 2015 conference on real estate evolutions was held under the banner: ROMANIA REAL ESTATE INDEX FOR 2015 AND PROPERTY PRICES.

 images

The image of Romanian housing market: old, shaby houses, energy deficient and costly.

On the venue of the conference where re-united: real estate agents, bankers, property experts and evaluators, brokers and real estate funds from Romania and EU and economists.

The debates started by highlighting the latest evolution`s and drop in prices on real estate market in Romania during 2014, the most prominent bankruptcies in the real estate developers and the factor leading to a continuing devaluation of the market prices for 2015.

2014: THE REAL ESTATE PRICES TOOK A PLUNGE OF 25% 

During last year, according to the figures presented on the conference, the average price reduction was around 25%, as a medium calculation with highest mark going to 45% reductions, one of the most serious drop since the economic crisis hit Romania.

Despite this optimist signs of price reductions, all the experts underlined the fact that: prices are a long way to go before they reach the normal prices range.

 2015 will mark new prices reductions until the real estate will register a 50% decrease from present day levels.

The tendencies on the market are to put the prices around 200 Euro per square meter, the just price for Romanian market.

A highly interesting statistic proved that: who signed a contract last year for propriety has already lost 20% of his investment.

New significant drops in prices (around 50% of present day marks) are just the tip of the iceberg and will have to continue in the next period, if there is to be a chance for the market to be stabilized and the investment in real estate to become one more time attractive and efficient.

From an initial value of 1.200/1.300 euro per build square meter, the prices have dropped by the year end, towards 650-450 euro per constructed square meter, but are a long way to go until normal prices, requested by the market, will come back on Romanian real estate.

2015: THE INDEX OF PRICE IS INDICATING A 50% REDUCTION IN PRICES 

The real estate market will continue the downward spiral in 2015, accelerated by the economic crisis and low income, with the greatest devaluation registered for the rural based property and on secondary or vacation house market and provincial cities where prices will decrease by 80% while the depreciation will rich figures of around 40% to 50% on premium real estate objectives in Bucharest areas.

The prices are expected to fall below 200-250 euro per constructed/ square meter in prime areas of Bucharest real estate.

 imobiliarele sunt in faliment

The housing market prices have one trend: Down and quickly !

The drop in prices is driven by the ongoing banking crisis, the powerful economic crisis, the reduction of incomes, the shrinking in number of banking institutions available to offer real estate loans, the spike in banking interest rates, dramatic decrees in investment, drastic reduction in real income for majority of Romanians, unfavorable economic prognosis, ongoing economic crisis and also decrees in foreign investments and in revenues from Romanian working abroad etc.

To this long list of negative trends we can add the 120.000 new flats, houses and villas that will be placed on the market by the banks in the foreclosure process.

They were expected to flood the market from 2014, but their apparition was bogged down by law complication and lawsuits but eventually they will start emerge from banks portfolios on the market bringing severe corrections to the prices.

This new properties will be presented on the market with reduction`s in prices ranging from 50% to 25% percent from the initial announced price.

 preturiinscadere

The banks presented list of property with starting prices ranging from 15.000 to 20.000 euro for one room flat, to 25.000 euro per two rooms flat and around 35.000 euro for three room flats.

The mansions and villas are sold at pricing ranging from 35-40.000 euro per 200 squared meter’s villas in high luxury areas and as low as 20-30.000 euro in secondary areas.

The prices for land in Bucharest area already dropped with 50% in 2014 and will furthermore decrease with 50% this year, reaching finally the 50 euro per square meter in central areas of Bucharest, a price that will allow re-emergence of developers on the market on the next years.

On the list of economic developments, on the real estate market, that are impacting downwards the prices were highlighted: a drop in population real income by 30% in 2014, this had impacted drastic the number of real estate buyers, banking system is engulfed in crisis and choked by low-commercial value properties; the average real interest for real estate credit is around 20% which is making the cost of real estate credits unsustainable.

We can safely conclude that: taking a real estate loan in this period is the path towards bankruptcy and foreclosure for 90% of the clients.

Borrowed today, Bankrupt tomorrow! was the bitter joke of the bankers, which confessed that banking system is in a vicious circle, until the prices will reach the 200 euro per square meter mark, until this moment the loan market is blocked.

WE HAVE HOUSES! WHAT WE DON’T HAVE ARE BUYERS! 

2015 is presenting a market under siege with offers and with no buyers interested.

This year will enter on the market like a flood: over 50.000 hectares of prime land and a new stock of 3.000 villas and mansions in areas as: Colentina, Bucurestii Noi, Pipera, Baneasa, Damaroaia etc.

This avalanche of real estate`s will be sold on the market at prices below 50.000 euro per property and will push toward collapse the luxury real estate market.

Another interesting factor that emerged from discussion was the fact that: this year the offers are reaching 50% from the asking prices, while the norm on the market was a difference between 10 to15% but today the gap has go down to at 50% of the initially estimated price.

 CAMERA DE COMERT BUCOVINA

Chief Economist Mihail Racaceanu underlined again and again the fundamental truth that: real estate market cannot operate outside the negative climate of Romanian and EU economy.

The real estate market is intricately connected with the decrease of average wage and real income per person and the economy status.

 The price per square meter, in prime real estate areas, cannot be over medium salary value by more than two times. As in Romania the salary is around 150 euro a price per square meter cannot exceed more than 300 euro per square meter.

It a clear axiom of economic sustainability, you are breaking it; you go out of business, concluded Mihail Racaceanu.

The market will restart if we will reach the financial comfort zone around 200-300 euro’s per square meter.

This is the hard to swallow truth: who is not cutting rapidly the prices remains excluded from the market.

50% to 60% REDUCTION IN HOUSING AND VILLA MARKET SECTORS. 

We have entered now in the eight year of the housing crisis and we have to logically be prepared for another eight year for dropping prices as normality on the market is the United States expert’s opinion.

Crisis is today economic normality!

The developers in the areas of villas and houses concluded that this area will continued to be severely hit with drastic reduction of prices during 2015.

The main reason is the fact that: economic crisis had dramatically reduced the number of interested players for buying this type of real estate, corroborating this with decreasing rental market and drastic reduction in number of companies interested to rent such large spaces for offices and the growing expenses to maintain such a property, had gone up impressively, all is worsening the perspective for this type of properties.

The new taxes and fiscal obligations are hitting hard on the owners of luxury estates and the maintenance cost are rising rapidly on gas and heating tabs.

This type of properties is the most vulnerable for banking foreclosures and sell on the market at prices below 50.000 euro such villas can help the banks to cut their losses.

During this year areas such as: Mosilor, Pipera, Baneasa, Tunari, still offer the possibility to be sold around 50.000 euro, the rest of the areas of south and east of the capital (Damaroaia, Berceni, Timpuri Noi, Colentina), are completely unfit for marketing and selling because of the inexistence of interested buyers.

 homelessin London

The portrait of housing investor: bankrupt and on the street!

YOU BUY!  YOU LOOSE!

During 2015 the same order is playing in the real estate market: you bought, you lost!

From the moment that you ink the deal, the real value of your house has gone down by 20% and will continue to dwindle.

Understanding the real estate market evident lessons is a major step: the internal market with a dwindling number of buyers and unpredictable income is blocking any major acquisitions and foreign investors are NOT coming to the market.

Nothing will change until the prices are reaching the 200 euro mark per square meter.

No investment in Romania is possible at current prices of 400-500 euro per square meter as long as similar opportunities are to be found in Austria, Hungary, Greece, Turkey or Bulgaria but at prices below 100 euro.

  In this moment any buyer of Romanian properties will lose big and heavy, concluded the panel of experts present at the conference.

All the hopes are concentrating on the rapid implementation of the New Fiscal Code of Romania that will force by huge taxes and levies the owner to rapidly sale their property or face foreclosures.

Thus will bring the prices to the reality of 200 euro target of real estate market.

April 7, 2015 Posted by | Blackseanews Agency, Diplomacy, Economy, HOUSING INDEX, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, International Relation, News, President Director General of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Real Eastate, REAL ESTATE INDEX, Romanian economy | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

REAL ESTATE PRICES IN ROMANIA AND BUCHAREST IN 2014. PROGNOSIS OF THE REAL ESTATE CONFERENCE

On 10 February 2014, the annual real estate conference was held under the patronage of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania.

The tile of the conference was self explaining: REAL ESTATE IN ROMANIA IN 2014. BETWEEN DEVELOPERS BANKRUPTCY AND CRUMBLING PRICES. The conference was a get together of real estate agents, bankers, property experts and evaluators, brokers and real estate funds from Romania and EU and economists.

CASE DE VANZARE-Preturi reduse

2013: A 35% RECORD DROP IN REAL ESTATE PRICES .

 

The debates started by highlighting the latest evolution`s and drop in prices on real estate market in Romania during 2013.

The average price reduction was around 35% last year, the biggest drop since the economic crisis hit Romania, but the prices are still a long way to go before they reach the real estate real potential. New significant drops in prices (around 50% of present day marks) are expected, until the market will stabilized and the investment in real estate will become one more time attractive and efficient.

From an initial value of 1.200/1.300 euro per build square meter the prices have dropped by the year end, towards 650-450 euro per constructed square meter, but is a long way to go until normal prices, requested by the market, will come back on Romanian real estate.

The real dimensions of real estate crisis in Romania where made public: real estate frozen projects are reaching a staggering value of 8 billion euro, the bankruptcy numbers in the real estate developer`s field reach 80% of the initial investor`s numbers and 4 billion euro, announced to be invested in real estate market never materialized .

2014: THE PROGNOSIS SHOWS A 50% REDUCTION IN PRICES.

CASE DE VANZARE-evacuatiBanks don`t need homes. People do ! are crying this British evacuees from their houses. 

The real estate market will continue the downward spiral in 2014, accelerated by the economic crisis and low income, with prices decreased by 80% on rural areas and on secondary or vacation house market and provincial cities and around 40% to 50% on premium real estate objectives in Bucharest areas.

The prices are expected to fall below 200-250 euro per constructed/ square meter in prime areas of Bucharest real estate.

The falling in prices is fueled by the ongoing banking crisis, the reduction of banking institutions available to offer real estate loans, the spike in banking interest rates, high inflation, dramatic decrees in investment, drastic reduction in real income for majority of Romanians, unfavorable economic prognosis, ongoing economic crisis and also decrees in foreign investments and in revenues from Romanian working abroad etc.

To this long list of negative trends we can add the 120.000 new flats, houses and villas that will be placed on the market by the banks in the foreclosure process.

This new properties, that will be launched on the market from April/May 2014 will be sold with reduction`s in prices ranging from 50% to 25% percent from the initial announced price.

Already the banks presented the auctions starting prices as ranging fro 15.000 to 20.000 euro for one room flat, to 25.000 euro per two rooms flat and around 35.000 euro for three room flats. The mansions and villas are sold at pricing ranging from 35-40.000 euro per 200 squared meter’s villas in high luxury areas and as low as 20-30.000 euro in secondary areas.

The prices for land in Bucharest area already dropped with 50% in 2013 and will furthermore decrease with 50% this year, bellow 50 euro per square meter in central areas of Bucharest.

Other phenomena presented during conference, that are impacting downwards the prices are: a drop in population real income by 30% in 2013, this had impacted drastic the number of real estate buyers ( from a maximum of 1 million Romanians active on real estate market before the crisis to 20.000 persons to date).

The banking system is engulfed in crisis and choked by low-commercial value properties; the average real interest for real estate credit is around 20% which is making the cost of real estate credits unsustainable.

We can safely conclude that taking a real estate loan in this period is the path towards bankruptcy and foreclosure for 90% of the clients.

Who borrows today goes bankrupt tomorrow, was the bitter joke of the bankers, that confessed that banking system is in a vicious circle until the prices will reach the 200 euro per square meter mark, until this moment the loan market is blocked.

OVER FLOW IN OFFERS IS DESTRUCTIVE TO THE REAL ESTATE MARKET.

 

During 2014 the real estate collapse will continue and be aggravated on the count of individual properties foreclosures and also company bankruptcy that will flood the market with over 50.000 hectares of prime land that will press down the prices during this year.

Overcrowding the market a new stock of 3.000 villas and mansions, will also appear on the market during 2014, in areas as: Colentina, Bucurestii Noi, Pipera, Baneasa, Damaroaia etc.

This will be sold on the market at prices bellow 50.000 euro per property and will push toward collapse the luxury real estate market.

This are conservative estimates, based on property values information, listed  already on the market by the banks on the foreclosure process, already put on sale at 50% of the initially estimated price and will be further reduced at 25%, accordingly to foreclosure law, stated Lo Petersen from banking consortium active on Romanian market for more than 12 years.

 The decrease in economic activity forecasted for this year will only aggravate the situation, and new properties will be under banking foreclosure, during 2014, concluded the official.

Chief Economist Mihail Racaceanu underlined again and again the fundamental truth that: real estate market can not operate outside the negative climate of Romanian and EU economy.

The real estate market is intricately connected with the decrease of average wage and real income per person and the economy status.

 The price per square meter, in prime real estate areas, cannot be over medium salary value by more than two times. As in Romania the salary is around 150 euro a price per square meter can not exceed more than 300 euro per square meter.

It a clear axiom of economic sustainability, you are breaking it; you go out of business, concluded Mihail Racaceanu.

The responsibility of real estate crisis is resting mostly on the lack of education of Romanian real estate agencies and agents.

 The real estate agent must emphasize the necessity of a rapid reduction of prices in order to mend the crisis on real estate market. The market will restart if we will reach the financial comfort zone around 200-300 euro’s per square meter. If we don’t play honesty and sincerity, the collapse of real estate market will be a never ending story, concluded the chief economist.

This is the hard to swallow truth: who is not cutting rapidly the prices remains excluded from the market.

THE HOUSING AND VILLA MARKET: THE MASSIVE COLLAPSE DURING 2014.

CASE DE VANZARE-CRIZA VA DURA 15 ANI

15 more years of more depression on real estate market is the United States experts opinion.

The developers in the areas of villas and houses concluded that this area will be severely hit with drastic reduction of prices during 2014.

The main reason is the fact that: economic crisis had dramatically reduced the number of interested players for buying this type of real estate, corroborating this with decreasing rental market and drastic reduction in number of companies interested to rent such large spaces for offices and the growing expenses to maintain such a property, had gone up impressively, all is worsening the perspective for this type of properties.

This type of properties is the most vulnerable for banking foreclosures because rapid prosecuted and sell on the market at prices below 50.000 euro such villas can help the banks to cut their losses.

During this year areas such as: Mosilor, Pipera, Baneasa, Tunari, still offer the possibility to be sold around 50.000 euro, the rest of the areas of south and east of the capital (Damaroaia, Berceni, Timpuri Noi, Colentina), are completely unfit for marketing and selling because of the inexistence of interested buyers .

The foreclosures will open the market for villas at below 50.000 euro, concluded the panel of experts that also appreciated that around 80% of the total of transaction on real estate will belong to banking auctions and foreclosures .

SIMPLE TRUTH: WHO BUY`S IS A LOOSER !

CASE DE VANZARE

Unfortunately during 2014 the same order is playing in the real estate market: you bought, you lost.

From the moment that you ink the deal the real value of your house has gone down by 15% and will continue to dwindle.

In order to reignite the real estate market, the key role is belonging to the real estate agencies.  They must apply the necessary pressure to bring down the prices by at least 50% and to lead the properties owners from the la la land fantasies prices to a real assessment of the value of their properties, in order to restart financial operations and re-emergence of profit on the market.

We should understand two self evident lessons: the internal market with a dwindling number of buyers and unpredictable income is blocking any major acquisitions and foreign investors are NOT coming to the market.

No investment in Romania is possible at prices of 400-500 euro per square meter as long as similar opportunities are to be found in Austria, Hungary, Greece, Turkey or Bulgaria but at prices below 100 euro.  In this moment any buyer of Romanian properties will lose big and heavy, concluded the panel of experts present at the conference.

February 10, 2014 Posted by | Diplomacy, Diplomatie, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economy, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Foreign policy, History, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Mass media, News, Open Letter, Real Eastate, Romanian economy, Romanian Foreign Policy, Romanian Revolution, United States, Universities | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

PRETURI IMOBILIARE IN ROMANIA SI IN BUCURESTI IN 2014. CONFERINTA ANUALA A PIETEI IMOBILIARE

In data de 10 februarie 2014, a avut loc conferinta anuala de evaluare si prognoza imobiliara, desfasurata sub egida Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica.

Conferinta s-a desfasurat sub titlul sugestiv: Piata Imobiliara in 2014. Noi  reduceri de pret si falimentul marilor dezvoltatori imobliari !

Conferinta a reunit principalii factori decidenti in domeniul imobiliarelor: economisti bancari, experti imobiliari, firme de brokeraj imobiliar si fonduri de investitii imobiliare din strainatate.

CASE DE VANZARE-Preturi reduse

 2013: REDUCERI MEDII CU 35% ALE PRETURILOR PE PIATA IMOBILIARA.

In deschiderea lucrarilor s-a facut o analiza a reducerilor de preturi de pe piata imobiliara din Romania din anul 2013.

Cífrele prezentate au ilustrat tabloul crizei profunde din acest sector: scaderi medii de preturi, de cc.35% in anul trecut.

Aceste reduceri au fost sensibile, dar nu au adus inca in domeniul realitatii piata imobiliara romanesca, au apreciati toti expertii prezenti.

Noi scaderi drastice de preturi fiind prognozate, iar reducerile vor fi de pana la jumatate din actualele preturi, astfel incat piata sa se stabilizeze si investitia imobiliara sa redevina atractiva.

Scaderea de valoare, de la 1.200/1.300 de euro pe metrul patrat construit la 650-450 de euro, nu reprezinta decat un inceput timid al normalizarii pietii proprietatilor imobiliare romanesti.

Noi elemente prezentate celor prezenti, au aratat dimensiunile prabusirii imobiliare: proiecte imobiliare inghetate in valoare de peste 8 miliarde de euro (in ultimii cinci ani), numarul falimentelor in lumea dezvoltatorilor imobiliari a depasit 80%, retragerea de pe piata romaneasca a peste 4 miliarde de euro, ce ar fi trebuit investite in imobiliare, in ultimii cinci ani.

2014: PROGNOZA ARATA O REDUCERE CU 50% A PRETURILOR PROPRIETATILOR.

Evolutia pietei imobiliare in 2014 va fi in continuare una negativa, mult accelerata  de reducerea creditarii, scaderea numarului de institutii financiare dispuse sa acopere riscul creditelor imobiliare, continuarea crizei economice, fiscalitatea ridicata, prognozele economice negative.

Se apreciaza ca in 2014 vom vedea scaderi de peste 80% pentru imobiliarele din zona oraselor de provincie si a vilelor de vacanta si cu o scadere de 40%-50% pentru zona proprietatilor din Bucuresti.

Pretul trebuie sa ajunga, la valoarea considerata normala, de referinta de cc.200-250 de euro pe metru patrat construit, in zonele de prim rang din Bucuresti.

Prabusirea, in continuare a preturilor, este alimentata de criza agravata a sistemului bancar, rata ridicata a inflatiei, scaderea economiei romanesti din ultimii ani, scaderea sumelor destinate investitiilor, reducerea drastica a veniturilor reale ale populatiei , scaderea masiva a veniturilor romanilor ce muncesc in afara granitelor, fiscalitatea excesiva, haosul legislativ etc.

 La acesti factori se adauga si aparitia pe piata a peste 120.000 de apartamente, vile si case ce au fost deja confiscate de banci, ca urmare a dificultatilor financiare ale proprietarilor, in acest an.

Acestea vor fi aruncate pe piata, in cadrul licitatiilor bancare, cu preturi intre 50% si 25% din pretul original, provocand o adevarata avalansa a preturilor in acest an, dupa luna aprilie/mai 2014.

De altfel, peste 70% din achizitiile imobiliare se vor derula in 2014 in cadrul executarilor silite, ce ofera preturi de 300 pana la 250 de euro pe metru patrat construit in Bucuresti, in zonele premium.

Deja bancile au anuntat noile preturi de incepere a licitatiilor pentru 2014, preturi ce ajung la garsonierele situate in zone centrale la sume intre 15.000 si 20.000 de euro, apartamentele cu 2 camere cu 25.000 de euro si cele de trei camere cu 35.000 de euro, vilele peste 200 de metri patrati cu 35-40.000 de euro, cu conditia sa fie in zone centrale- si cu 20.000 de euro in zone perferice.

Preturile terenurilor in Bucuresti, dupa ce au cunoscut deja o scadere cu 50%  in 2013, vor scadea din nou cu inca 50%, la un pret inferior celui de 50 de euro pe metru patrat, in centrul Bucurestiului.

Alte fenomene ce influenteaza scaderile de preturi, ce au fost prezentate in timpul dezbaterilor, sunt: reducerea veniturilor reale ale populatiei in 2013 cu 30% , ceea ce a ajustat drastic numarul celor ce pot accesa credite si pot face investitii imobiliare la sub 20.000 de oameni ( fata de 1 milion de romani ce tranzactionau pe piata imobiliara, inainte de criza).

Sistemul bancar este gripat si sugrumat de proprietati imobiliare nevandabile, indiferent de scaderea preturilor si  nu mai poate acorda credite fara o dobanda reala de 20%, ceea ce face costul creditelor imobiliare de nesustinut.

Se poate aprecia ca cine acceseaza un credit imobiliar, in aceasta perioada, are 90% sanse sa intre in faliment si sa isi piarda garantiile imobiliare.

Cine se imprumuta intra in bancruta, a fost gluma amara a bancherilor ce au recunoscut ca se afla intr-un cerc vicios, pana preturile nu ajung la 200 de euro pe metru patrat, creditarea este blocata.

CASE DE VANZARE-evacuatiDrama evacuatilor din case: Oamenii au nevoi de case!  Bancile nu! isi striga disperarea acesti britanici ajunsi in strada.

SUPRAOFERTA SUGRUMA PIATA IMOBILIARA SI IN 2014.

Fenomenul din 2013, al unei pieti a locuintelor asediate de supraoferta, va continua si  in acest an, din cauza aparitiei pe piata imobiliara, ca urmare a falimentelor individuale si de firma, a peste 50.000 de hectare de terenuri construibile, intra-vilane, ce vor prabusi suplimentar preturile terenurilor.

In plus a aparut pe piata si un fond imobiliar de peste 3.000 de vile, in zone precum Colentina, Bucurestii Noi, Pipera, Baneasa, Damaroaia etc. Locuinte care se vor vinde pe piata cu preturi sub 50.000 de euro si vor impinge si fosta piata de lux a imobiliarelor in prabusire.

Acestea sunt estimari prudente, cuprinzand date de proprietati  ce se afla pe listele publice de licitatie, cu preturi deja fixate la 50% din pretul estimat si care vor fi reduce in acest an la 25%, conform legii executarilor silite, anunta Lo Petersen, presedintele unui consortiu bancar activand pe piata romaneasca de peste 12 ani. Pe langa aceste proprietati, acumulate in ultimii ani,  altele se vor adauga in 2014, pe fondul scaderii continue a economiei romanesti a subliniat acelasi oficial.

O prezenta cunoscuta, economistul sef, Mihail Racaceanu a subliniat, din nou si din nou, adevarul fundamental ca piata imobiliara nu se poate rupe de climatul nefavorabil al economiei romanesti si europene.

Piata imobiliara e corelata cu scaderea salariului mediu/real pe economie.

Pretul unui metru patrat construit, in zonele centrale, nu poate depasi,  de maxim doua ori, valoarea salariului minim pe economie.

Cum in Romania salariul minim  este de 150 de euro, rezulta ca nicio casa nu se poate vinde cu un pret de peste 300 de euro pe metru patrat construit. Este o axioma clara a sustenabilitatii financiare, o incalci dai faliment, a explicat Mihail Racaceanu.

Daca nu va exista acest curaj, de a spune adevarul clientilor, falimentul pe piata imobiliara se va face in continuare simtit.

Repunerea in miscare a pietei imobiliare nu se poate face pana cand preturile nu sunt fortate sa coboare rapid la zona de interes de 200-300 de euro, a concluzionat economistul sef.

Ca intotdeauna, s-a discutat despre lipsa de educatie a consumatorului roman si a agentului imobiliar.

Rolul acestuia din urma este capital, el trebuie sa le explice  actorilor de pe piata imobiliara un adevar crud, cine nu reduce rapid preturile, nu ramane pe piata ofertelor, este exclus.

PIATA CASELOR SI A VILELOR: NOI PRABUSIRI MASIVE IN 2014.

CASE DE VANZARE-CRIZA VA DURA 15 ANI

Inca 15 ani va mai dura criza imobiliara-considera expertii din Statele Unite

Companiile imobiliare, activand in zona vanzarilor de case si vile, au prognozat ca si in 2014, cele mai drastice scaderi vor avea loc pe piata caselor si a  vilelor.

Principala cauza este criza económica, ce a redus drastic posibilitatile de achizitionare si investitie pe aceasta piata, coroborata cu scaderea chiriilor si reducerea nr. de firme interesate sa inchirieze spatii vaste pentru birouri.

In plus, cheltuielile crescute de mentenanta a acestui tip de proprietati agraveaza situatia parcului imobiliar.

Factor de stres suplimentar, acest tip de proprietati este cel mai vulnerabil la rambursarea creditelor, executate rapid si vandute la preturi de 50.000 de euro, vilele mai pot ajuta bancile sa isi recupereze din pierderi.

Ca atare si in acest an, atacul bancaro-imobilar se va concentra pe acest sector. Zone precum: Mosilor, Pipera, Baneasa, Tunari se mai pot vinde inca cu preturi in jurul a 50.000 de euro, pentru o proprietate medie, restul zonelor,  precum sudul si estul capitalei (Damaroaia, Berceni, Timpuri Noi, Colentina), sunt nevandabile, piata fiind inchisa din lipsa de cumparatori.

CASE DE VANZARE

Executarile silite vor revigora piata vilelor, vandute la preturi sub 50.000 de euro, au subliniat expertii prezenti la discutie, ce considera totodata ca 80% din achizitii vor avea loc pe piata licitatiilor bancare.

DICTONUL ANULUI 2014: AI CUMPARAT, AI PIERDUT.

CASE DE VANZARE-Preturile scad

Din nefericire si in 2014 functioneaza aceeasi regula de la inceputul crizei imobiliare: ai cumparat, ai pierdut!

Din chiar momentul in care ai semnat actele, valoarea proprietatii tale a scazut cu 15% si va continua sa scada, fara sanse de revenire in viitorul apropiat ( 5-10 ani).

Pentru a debloca problema pietei imobiliare, rolul agentiilor imobiliare si al agentilor imobiliari este capital.

 Numai din aceasta zona poate veni presiunea pentru dinamizarea pietii: scaderea rapida a preturilor cu 50% si presarea proprietarilor spre a intra pe piata imobiliara reala, si nu cea a fanteziilor, este singura ce poate permite reinceperea vanzarilor si re-aparitia profitului pe piata.

Trebuie sa intelegem doua lectii evidente: pe piata interna numarul redus al cumparatorilor si veniturile instabile si reduce, blocheaza achizitiile majore, iar investitorii straini pleaca, nu vin in tara noastra.

Nimeni nu va investi in Romania, la preturi de 400 sau 500 de euro metru patrat, cand va gasi acelasi oportunitati in Austria, Ungaria, Bulgaria, Turcia sau Grecia la preturi de sub 100 de euro metru patrat, construit.

Intotdeauna un investitor va merge spre profit  nu spre pierdere, iar deocamdata cine cumpara o proprietate in Romania, la actualele preturi, pierde masiv si rapid, a fost concluzia unanima a conferintei.

February 10, 2014 Posted by | Diplomatie, Eastern Europe, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Educatie, Environment, Foreign policy, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, Mass media, Piata imobiliara, Politica externa a Romaniei, Real Eastate, Relatii Internationale, Romanian economy, Universitati, Universities | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

ROMANIA-KAZAKHSTAN INTER-PARLIAMENTARY COOPERATION: AN EXAMPLE OF SUCCESS

On 20th February 2013, under the auspices of Professor Dr. Anton Caragea, Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, the bilateral meeting between Kazakhstan Charge d`affairs to Romania-Talgat Kaliyev and Romanian President of Chamber of Deputies Mr. Valeriu Zgonea had taken place.

The President of Chamber of Deputies Mr. Valeriu Zgonea had outlined his support for the continuing development of bilateral relation between Romania and Kazakhstan and expresses his openness to enlarge the bilateral cooperation on parliamentary level and declared that in the spirit of the strategic partnership between the two countries, the first ambassador received in 2013 is the Kazakhstan ambassador.

VALERIU ZGONEA

Kazakhstan Charge d`affairs to Romania-Talgat Kaliyev, Romanian President of Chamber of Deputies Mr. Valeriu Zgonea and Professor Dr. Anton Caragea, Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation.

H.E. Talgat Kaliyev had briefly presented the evolution of bilateral relation in the last year, had underlined the excellent political relations and economic partnership between the two countries and presented a calendar of diplomatic and political visits for this year.

Also at the meeting where tabled details of the visit of President of Chamber of Deputies Mr. Valeriu Zgonea to Kazakhstan, scheduled for May 2013, a visit that will help solidified the parliamentary level of the strategic relations between Romania and Kazakhstan.

 The President of Chamber of Deputies Mr. Valeriu Zgonea had underlined the necessity for Romania to stay true to the national interest of holding the strategic partnership with Kazakhstan. In this amicable atmosphere was approached  the issue of  bilateral economic cooperation in the framework of   Romania-Kazakhstan  Business Council  and a series of concrete projects designed to develop the bilateral relation in the next period.

During the meeting Kazakhstan Charge d`affairs to Romania-Talgat Kaliyev was officially congratulated for the appointment of Vice Prime Minister of Romanian Government, General Gabriel Oprea as President of Romania-Kazakhstan Parliamentary Friendship Group, a historical significance gesture, had stated the   Romanian President of Chamber of Deputies.

Romania will always be faithful to the strategic partnership with Kazakhstan, the most important diplomatic partnership of our country and 2013 it is a crucial year in the development of this relation said concluding the meeting Professor Dr. Anton Caragea, Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation.

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PRETURI CASE. PRETURI TERENURI. EVOLUTII IMOBILIARE IN 2013

Luni, 4 februarie 2013, a avut loc, sub egida Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, conferinta:  Piata Imobiliara in 2013.  Scaderea preturilor si falimente !

 Conferinta a reunit economisti, experti imobiliari, firme de brokeraj imobiliar si fonduri de investitii imobiliare din strainatate.

 real estate-scaderea preturilor

Scaderile de preturi au adus piata la nivelul anilor 2000, noi reduceri de preturi sunt asteptate.

2012: o noua scadere record pe piata imobiliara.

 

Dezabaterea a inceput cu  analiza reducerilor de preturi de pe piata imobiliara din Romania. Scaderile medii de preturi, de peste 45% in anul trecut, au fost sensibile, dar nu au adus inca in domeniul realitatii piata imobiliara romanesca, noi scaderi drastice de preturi fiind necesare pana cand piata se va stabiliza si investitia imobiliara va redeveni eficienta.

Scaderea de valoare, de la 1.200/1.300 de euro pe metrul patrat la 800-650 de euro, nu reprezinta decat inceputul normalizarii pietii proprietatilor imobiliare romanesti. Alte cifre facute publice, in cadrul intalnirii, au aratat dimensiunile prabusirii: proiecte imobiliare inghetate in valoare de peste 3 miliarde de euro, numarul falimentelor in lumea developerilor ( constructorilor ) a depasit 80%, retragerea de pe piata romaneasca a peste 2 miliarde de euro, ce ar fi trebuit investite in imobiliare.

2013: o scadere prognozata de 60% a preturilor.

Evolutia pietei imobiliare in 2013 va fi in continuare una negativa, cu scaderi de peste 80% pe zona rurala si a oraselor de provincie si a vilelor de vacanta si cu o scadere de 50-60% pentru zona proprietatilor din Bucuresti.

Pretul trebuie sa ajunga, la finele anului, la o valoare de 200-250 de euro pe metru patrat construit, in zonele de prim rang din Bucuresti.

Scaderea preturilor este alimentata de criza sistemului bancar, ratele dobanzilor in crestere, rata ridicata a inflatiei, scaderea economiei romanesti din ultimii ani, scaderea sumelor destinate investitiilor, reducerea drastica a veniturilor reale ale populatiei , scaderea masiva a veniturilor romanilor ce muncesc in afara granitelor etc.

 La acesti factori se adauga si aparitia pe piata a peste 100.000 de apartamente si case  ce vor fi confiscate de banci, ca urmare a dificultatilor financiare ale proprietarilor, in acest an.

 real estate

Povara creditelor bancare sufoca orice noua achizitie. 

Deja bancile au anuntat noile preturi de incepere a licitatiilor, preturi ce ajung la garsonierele situate in zone centrale la sume intre 19.000 si 22.000 de euro, apartamentele cu 2 camere cu 30.000 de euro si cele de trei camere cu 45.000 de euro, vilele peste 100 de metri patrati cu 60.000 de euro, cu conditia sa fie in zone centrale- si cu 20-30.000 de euro in zone perferice.

Preturile terenurilor in Bucuresti, dupa ce au cunoscut deja o scadere cu 70%  in 2012 ,vor scadea din nou cu inca 50%, la sub 50 de euro pe metru patrat, in centrul Bucurestiului.

Alte fenomene ce influenteaza scaderile de preturi, ce au fost evidentiate in timpul conferintei sunt: reducerea veniturilor populatiei in 2013 cu 30% , ceea ce va reduce corespunzator  numarul celor ce pot accesa credite si pot face investitii imobiliare la sub 20.000 de oameni ( fata de 1 milion de romani ce tranzactionau pe piata imobiliara, inainte de criza).

Sistemul bancar este gripat si nu poate acorda credite fara o dobanda reala de 20%, ceea ce face costul creditelor imobiliare de nesustinut. Se poate aprecia ca cine acceseaza un credit imobiliar, in aceasta perioada, are 90% sanse sa intre in faliment si sa isi piarda proprietatile.

 

Piata imobiliara este asediata de supra-oferta.

 

Prabusirea imobiliara va continua si se va accentua si datorita aparitiei pe piata imobiliara, ca urmare a falimentelor individuale si de firma, a peste 10.000 de hectare de terenuri construibile, intravilane, ce vor prabusi preturile terenurilor suplimentar.

In plus va aparea pe piata si un fond imobiliar de peste 1.000-2.000 de vile, in zone precum Colentina, Bucurestii Noi, Pipera, Baneasa, Damaroaia etc. care se vor vinde pe piata cu preturi sub 60.000 de euro vor impinge si fosta piata de lux a imobiliarelor in prabusire.

Acestea sunt estimari prudente, cuprinzand date de proprietati  ce se afla pe listele publice de licitatie, cu preturi deja fixate, anunta Lo Petersen, reprezentantul unui consortiu bancar activand pe piata romaneasca. Pe langa aceste proprietati altele se vor adauga in acest an, pe fondul scaderii continue a economiei romanesti a subliniat acelasi oficial.

Economistul sef, Mihail Racaceanu a subliniat din nou in discursul sau ca piata imobiliara nu se poate rupe de climatul nefavorabil al economiei romanesti si europene.

Realitatea ce trebuie subliniata, iar si iar, este ca evolutiile de pe piata imobiliara sunt corelate cu evolutia salariului mediu pe economie.

Pretul unui metru patrat construit, in zonele centrale, nu poate depasi  de doua ori valoarea salariului minim pe economie. Cum in Romania salariul minim  este de sub 200 de euro, rezulta ca nicio casa nu se poate vinde cu un pret de peste 400 de euro pe metru patrat.

O parte din responsabilitatea crizei imobiliare cade pe umerii lipsei de educatie a consumatorului roman si a agentului imobiliar. Rolul acestuia din urma este de a ii consilia pe vanzatori asupra necesitatii de a reduce rapid preturile pentru a ramane pe piata ofertelor.

 Daca nu va exista acest curaj de a spune adevarul clientilor, falimentul pe piata imobiliara se va face in continuare simtit. Repunerea in miscare a pietei imobiliare nu se poate face pana cand preturile nu sunt fortate sa coboare rapid la zona de interes de 300-400 de euro, a concluzionat economistul sef.

Piata case/ vilelor:principala victima a anului 2013.

 

In 2013, in continuare, cele mai drastice scaderi vor avea loc pe piata caselor si a  vilelor.

Criza economiei a redus posibilitatile de achizitionare si joc pe aceasta piata in mod dramatic, in plus cheltuielile crescute de mentenanta a acestui tip de proprietati agraveaza situatia parcului imobiliar.

Factor agravant, acest tip de proprietati este cel mai vulnerabil la rambursarea creditelor, executate rapid si vandute la preturi de 80.000 de euro, vilele mai pot ajuta bancile sa isi recupereze din pierderi. Ca atare si in acest an, atacul bancaro-imobilar se va concentra pe acest sector. Zone precum : Mosilor, Damaroaia,Bucurestii Noi,  Pipera, Baneasa, Tunari se mai pot vinde inca cu preturi in jurul a 60.000 de euro, restul sunt zonelor,  precum sudul si estul capitalei, sunt nevandabile, piata fiind inchisa. Executarile silite vor reinviora piata vilelor vandute la preturi sub 60.000 de euro, au subliniat expertii prezenti la discutie.

real estate1

Cine cumpara : pierde ! este zicala anului 2013.

Cine cumpara, pierde.

Pentru a rezolva problema pietei imobiliare rolul agentiilor imobiliare si al agentilor imobiliare este capital. Numai din aceasta zona poate veni presiunea pentru dinamizarea pietii : scaderea rapida a preturilor cu 50% si presarea proprietarilor spre a intra pe piata imobiliara reala si nu fantezista a proprietatilor, este singura ce poate permite reinceperea vanzarilor si re-aparitia profitului pe piata.

Trebuie sa intelegem o lectie evidenta, anume ca nimeni nu va investii in Romania la preturi de 400 sau 500 de euro metru patrat, cand va gasi acelasi oportunitati in Ungaria, Bulgaria, Turcia sau Grecia la preturi de sub 100 de euro metru patrat. Investitia va merge spre profit  nu spre pierdere, iar deocamdata cine cumpara o proprietate in Romania la actualele preturi pierde, a fost concluzia invitatiilor la conferinta.

February 4, 2013 Posted by | Diplomatie, Economia Romaniei, Educatie, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, Mass media, Piata imobiliara, Politica externa a Romaniei, Real Eastate, Romanian economy, Turism | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

ROMANIAN ECONOMY IN 2013: GDP, INFLATION, ECONOMIC DATA

Economic forecast: Romanian economy in 2013. GDP, Inflation, Bankruptcy.

Wednesday 30 of January 2013 at the Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation headquarters was held the first conference of 2013: The evolution of Romanian economy in 2013. The aggravating crisis!

cersetori

Beggars on the street of Romania: a sign of failed economic policy 

The conference has joined economical experts from Romania and European Union, economical supervisors and personalities of political, economical and academic life of Romania.

2009- 2012 –the first period of crisis.

The conference started with an evaluation of the impact of economic crisis in the last period: 2009-2012.

In 2009 the economic crisis has affected the vital areas of economic life: the collapse has started with construction industry and construction material factories and collapse continued by the real estate market shrinking. Others affected sectors where: insurance, banking and stock exchange and in all the financial sector was strongly shaken down. The consumer confidence has fallen sharply and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has being reduced with 10% in 2010 and 8% in 2011.

The decrease in Romanian economy has being so devastating that now we are below the 2000 level. Unfortunately the economic collapse of 2010-2012 has laid the foundation for a crisis without equivalent in Romanian history that will affect the country in 2013.

Discutii inainte de conferintaProfessor dr. Anton Caragea-Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation chairing the romanian economist`s meeting.

2011-2012: The period of economic earthquake.

2011 and 2012 will be remembered as the worst years of economic turmoil in Romania, had appreciated in one voice all the experts present at the gathering.

First of all the 2011 has being the year in which the Romanian economy had collected all the hard hits from all the economic collapse of the last years. The financial system has being especially hard hit and this had made the fragile Romanian economy to reach the breaking point. The inflation had resurfaced and the experts appreciate that a 10% percent yearly inflation is unavoidable.

The resurgence of inflation had put a dramatic pressure on population economy and had made any recovery unthinkable for the next 4-8 years.

The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments had being reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market has being practically suspended and all this had provoke for 2012 an economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions. A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis is the governmental incompetence that by increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investors in the favor of big companies all did nothing ells than to aggravate the economic crisis.

2013 – European economic crisis will impact hard on Romania.

The 2013 will be a decisive year to on how will be affected the Romanian economy by the European meltdown.

Until now the Romanian economy was hit hard by his own faults like: reduced productivity and competitiveness, chaos in the governmental policy, crippling inflation etc. In 2013 Romania will be affected by the decay in European economic activity.

Crisis hit Spain, Greece, and Ireland and slowing down economy of Germany, France and Great Britain, will impact negative on Romanian chances to get access to European funds and foreign investments.

Romanian economy and policy maker are not yet conceptual prepared to understand that Romanian EU membership had became a liability and a negative factor in the future of Romania, appreciated the representative of Foreign Export Company Association Mr. Marcel Alexandru.

The negative impact of European Union financial and confidence crisis will account for a 2-5% percent reduction in Romanian GDP this year.

 2013 will be without a doubt a period of a new catastrophic decline. It must be very clear, all economic experts underlined, that the present economic decline will last for at least a decade at European level, so all those opinions that declared that Romania will start a new economic growth before the next 10 years; either don’t know what they are saying, either is bluntly laying.

All the European statistics are speaking about the lost decade of Europe between 2010 and 2020 , term referring to the blocking of economic development at continental level and the frozen of present situation for a decade.

Those that are declaring that Romania will surpass the period of recovering of  France or Great Britain economy , are telling stories that are unbelievable , stated chief economist- Mihail Racaceanu. What is important is to succeed that we have in 2013 a decrease in real economy of less than 10% and in the interval between 2013 and 2018 to stop the decline and in 2020 to come back to pre-crisis level.

homelessin London

Homeless and hungry in Great Britain. How EU crisis will affect Romania ?

2013 budget- a budget of economic decline.

In 2013 the Romanian economy is coming to the fore not only with the negatives trends of the last years and a crippling inflation but also with a budget of austerity that will direct Romania to plunge into a new economic meltdown.

The 2013 budget is the first budget in the eight year period that is not approved prior to 1-th of January, a negative record that is impacting Romanian economic stability and is giving a sign of chaos in the government economic policy.

The budget expected deficit of 2, 4% percent of GDP it not offering any chance for a real economic recovery, massive investment projects are abandoned and the decline in the economy is estimated by independent economist around 8-10% percent of the GDP by the year’s end.

What is dramatic is the reduction in the direct investment in the economy, with less than 8 billion euro investment planned for this year the Romanian economy had to struggle for sustainability. Reduced foreign investment and dramatically shrinking internal private investment means that Romania will have now more that 10 billion euro (in an optimistic assessment) for investment programs. The country needs at least 20 billion per year to modernize the economy and to have a decent growth rate of 1-2% percent per year. He present day budget is not only of severe austerity but of severe contraction stated the economists present at the meeting.

Romanian economy recover postponed to 2050.

This assessment was a strong one, keeping in mind that the pre-crisis governmental statistic declared that in 2025 Romania will succeed in recuperating the gap and reach the level of industrial activity prior to 1989 Revolution.

This perspective is no longer feasible, a new perspective is appearing after the crisis and after the lost decade and a cumulative GDP decrease of more than 60% from 2007 economy level.

This economic recession will be hard to recuperate in the context of zero governmental involvement, the general economic climate of recession and finally the worst factor of all: the burden of external debt.

The resurgence of inflation will put a dramatic pressing on population economy and will make any recovery unthinkable for the next 1-2 years. The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments will be reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market will be suspended and all this will provoke next year an economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions. A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis in the governmental incompetence that by: increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investor in the favor of big companies all did nothing ells than to aggravate the economic crisis.

External debt risk can plunge Romania into financial meltdown.

The fear factor that will suffocate Romanian economy in the next period will be, after 2015, the foreign debt crisis.

The Emil Boc government has careless accepted more than 36 billion dollars credit and in total the private and state debt of Romania is reaching the unbelievable sum of 95 billion dollars, this only if the government will no longer accept new loans.

In 2012 the Mihai Razvan Ungureanu government succeeded in just a few months to reduce the National bank Reserves by 20 billion euro, an unprecedented squandering of public money in Romanian history.

Despite the writing on the wall, in all of cases like Greece, Spain and Ireland, Romania is accepting new loan from International Monetary Fund, loans that will not be invested in developing and modernizing the economy but in salaries and pensions. This consumer invested loans at extortionate interest rates will suffocate completely an ailing and failed economy as Romanian economy is.

Unemployment: with a rate of registered unemployment of more than 12% of the active population and with another 15% percent of the population already left out of the governmental unemployment aide, Romania tops many EU member countries with a real unemployment figure of more than 25% of the population. This figure must be put in perspective with more that 50% of the population below the poverty line and the full picture of the economic meltdown and social tragedy could be analyzed. Romania economy is in crises and no plans for a future development had not being adopted.

2013: The worsening of economic crisis.

The conclusion of the most important economic experts of Romania was clear: the crisis is not over by far, but has entered in a more difficult faze that will affect financial and banking system and economic fundament`s. The economic crisis will continue until 2017 at the earliest and a coming back cycle that will last until 2025. This decade will be without a doubt the lost decade of Romania but if the necessary measures are not rapidly taken to re-establish control on economic decline than we risk that Romania economy will not come back not even in 2025.

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A NATION WAY TO PROSPERITY AND GLOBAL SIGNIFICANCE by PROFESSOR DR. ANTON CARAGEA, MA, FINS, EDA

We are living through difficult and boisterous time. A period of rapid changes in world economic and political system, a time of powerful crisis that is shaking the fundaments of national states and of national economies and is putting under strain the social protection and all the values of economic neo-liberalism.

professor dr.Anton Caragea at kazakhstan 2050

In this chaotic period, just a few nations are allowed the luxury of economic and political long time forecast and predictability: China and United States are creating and proposing to their people and foreign partners a long term vision of development and national statehood construction.
In a time of peril and un-certitude, when even a short time economic prediction is considered hazardous, just a few nations are having the will to act as beacons of lights and direction for their region.

In 17th of December 2012 Kazakhstan had enter to this select club of nations, conscientious of their role and position in the continental and world stage by presenting an ambitious, realistic and well carved plan for future of Kazakhstan until 2050.
By the voice of his President, Nursultan Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan had created the prototype of a long term, healthy and stable construction model for the country, the region and the world.

Kazakhstan 2030: weathering the storm and creating a nation.

Kazakhstan it is not at the first step in a managed transition towards a stable and democratic society and a powerful economy.
In 1997 Kazakhstan had already carved the landmarks of his astonishing development by the presidential strategy- Kazakhstan 2030.
Far from being just a window dressing, the strategy for 2030 had proved to be a perfect way for charting Kazakhstan after the independence in the incertitude of nation building and construction of a viable economy.
The program had allowed Kazakhstan to tap into national reserves of oil and gas, to gush out of the enclave country status via the reconstructed Silk Road of energy and trade, to create a modern economy, not depending only on energy resources, to build a huge potential of national intelligence and to foster the economy of knowledge, the base for a XXI century reliable economy.

The long string of economic successes was accompanied in the internal sphere by political stability, based on democratic and open society values, the protection of national and religious minorities.
In the area of external policy, Kazakhstan had gather the powerful laurels of a successful reform project carried out during his Presidency of Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. An impressive success was also the unprecedented two year chairmanship of Organization of Islamic Conference that transformed Kazakhstan in a leader of dialogue between Islam and Western world.

The latest major diplomatic achievement of Kazakhstan was the proposal of building an area of security and cooperation in Europe and Asia, launched in September 2012, in Astana, at CICA Conference by President Nursultan Nazarbayev. This latest proposal makes Kazakhstan the promoter of an all-inclusive, intercontinental dialogue, that could transform the political landscape of XXI century.
In the end, Kazakhstan 2030 had proved to be not only a successful strategy for Kazakhstan, but also an example for all the countries of the world on how a nation by the sole fact of building himself, can become a regional and world significant player.

The main pillar of Kazakhstan 2050: understanding of XXI century.

In its world acclaimed book: The Seven Pillars of Wisdom, the famous Lawrence of Arabia had mentioned that: the most important, but also decisive part of a plan is to be in line with the necessity of his time.
Kazakhstan 2050 starts by outlining the fundaments of the world in XXI century. A period of change, of accelerating history, of economic, political and ecological challenges, a world completely different from the world of XX century.
Instead of training to force the reality to enter in the realm of possibility, Kazakhstan 2050 is offering a realistic and practical assessment of the necessities of today world and of the available solutions.
Fallowing his long term tradition, Kazakhstan understands that creating a success story and offering solutions to the world is the best way to serve not only his interest, but also to add value to his place in the world.
Kazakhstan 2050: good news for people of Kazakhstan.

Kazakhstan had become in the last 20 years an abode of peace, inter-ethnic and inter-religious understanding in a troubled world. One of the explanation is undoubtedly the economic success that made the Kazakhstan not only one of the fastest growing economy in the world, but also a top investor destination in the world economy statistics.

Kazakhstan 2050 is providing the basis for this healthy economy to continue his growth process. Investing in social protection and creating a strong internal demand are key factors for a stable rate of growth. Modernizing the economic potential, investing in new technologies are policy that will insure the world competitiveness of Kazakhstan national economy and the creation of a knowledge based economy are also a profitable long term investment.

The modern economy is based on technological transfer and Kazakhstan is becoming a champion in modernizing the basis of his economy via technology transfer and more important, Kazakhstan educational system mixed with the accent on entrepreneurship in economic development is creating the base for a managerial revolution, that will put Kazakhstan among the top economy`s of the world in term of creativity and intelligence incorporated in economic production.

Extremely interesting it is also the concept of a Kazakhstan patriotism. Instead of playing the card of nationalism or chauvinism, President Nursultan Nazarbayev is calling for the tradition, language and equality to blend into a new and successful Kazakh: a person well educated, wealthy , healthy enjoying the benefits of a modern state and administration and a state of the art medical system.
Kazakhstan is promising to put at the core of his foundation plan for 2050 the individual and his chances to prevail in a complex XXI century.

From Kazakhstan to the world. From world to Kazakhstan.

One of the keys of Kazakhstan national and international success was understanding that Kazakhstan could not evolve alone in the world, but always must stay in touch and be an intricate part of the world evolutions. There are many examples that support this conjecture in Kazakhstan two decades of independence story.

Kazakhstan economic miracle was built on partnership with western companies and oil extraction technology, but also on political negotiation with Russia on Caspian Sea exploration.
The Astana Expo 2017 will also be a proof of the lesson of mutual profit that Kazakhstan is offering to the world. Kazakhstan management of energy, the lessons of ecology and energy for a future, of environment protection, are going to be beneficial for the world economy and for the generations to come. This is just a new illustration of the Kazakhstan concept of successful quest for global significance.
Kazakhstan economic development had transformed the country in a major player in the development of Asia and Europe. Kazakhstan 2050 promises to continue this wise policy: from Kazakhstan to the world, from world to Kazakhstan, creating a synergy that could only beneficial for all the world nations.

Now the lessons of Kazakhstan 2050 are available for everybody: an example of a society of free people building a country for the future, not in isolation or competition, but in harmony with the world nations. In the concert of nations Kazakhstan is ushering in a new tone: a tone of hope.

Professor dr. Anton Caragea MA, FINS, Dr.Hc

December 27, 2012 Posted by | Academia de Stiinte Medicale, African affairs, Al Quds, Astana, Bashar Al Assad, Bertrand Russell Tribunal, Blackseanews Agency, Cold War, Communism, Comunitatea Musulmana din Romania, Corcova Roy&Damboviceanu, Coreea, Damascus, Danube Delta, Diplomacy, Diplomatie, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Educatie, Emomali Rahmon, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Fidel Castro, Foreign policy, Forumul Ecologistilor din Romania, G20 Summit, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, History, Hugo Chavez, Human Rights Council, Ierusalim - Al Quds, Informatii despre Coreea, Information on Korea, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Islam, Kazahstan, Kazakhstan, Kazakstan, Korea, Latin America, Leaders, Macedonia, Maramures County, Mass media, Medical Tourism, Ministerul Afacerilor Externe, News, North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Nursultan Nazarbayev, Open Letter, Orient, Oriental Art, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Palestine, Piata imobiliara, Politica externa a Romaniei, Politics, PREMIUL PENTRU VOCATIA COOPERARII INTERNATIONALE, President Bashar Al Assad, Real Eastate, Relatii Internationale, Religion, Romanian economy, Romanian Foreign Policy, Romanian Revolution, Russia, Russian Affairs, Saints life, Siria, Socialism, Syria, Syrian Revolution, Tajikistan, Tourism, Travel, Trinidad and Tobago, Turism, Turism Medical, UNESCO Heritage List, United Arab Emirates, United Nations Global Compact, United States, Universitati, Venezuela, War Crimes, WORLD BEST TOURIST DESTINATION AWARD, World Cup, World Social Forum | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL DAY CELEBRATED IN ROMANIA

Address by Mr.TalgatKaliyev, Charge d’Affairs of the Republic of Kazakhstan to Romania at the National Day Reception

 

December 11, 2012, Bucharest

Ambasadorul Kazahstanului

Excellencies,

Distinguished guests,

Ladies and gentlemen,

Next week Kazakhstan will celebrate the 21st anniversary of its independence. Today Kazakhstan is one of the most prosperous countries in the world.

The average income per capita is now more than $11 000.

The country is a champion in terms of raising foreign investments– in 20 years of independence the volume of foreign investments to Kazakhstan amount to almost 150 bln. dollars. It is 70% of all investments into Central Asian region.

The emerging market in Kazakhstan, which currently hold a 51st position in the annual World Economic Forum rating of competitiveness of national economies, presents comprehensive and promising opportunities for doing business by foreign investors.  Kazakhstan also earned high marks in investors protection rating.

Security and stability in Europe and Eurasia is a cornerstone of Kazakhstan’s foreign policy.

During its chairmanship at the Organization on Security and Cooperation in Europe Kazakhstan proposed a number of initiatives aimed to overcome the remnants of the Cold War, to decrease distrust and to strengthen economic cooperation as an integral part of overall security.

In this context Kazakhstan has established a strategic partnership with Russian Federation, People’s Republic of China, the United States of America and the European Union.  As you already know from the videoclip the capital of Kazakhstan, city of Astana won a bid to host an international exhibition EXPO-2017. This is another clear sign of recognition by the international community of Kazakhstan’s role in the world affairs.

It will be not an exaggeration to say that Kazakhstan-Romanian bilateral cooperation is now entering a new era. Our mutual trade volume exceeded $2,8 bln. Kazakhstan biggest investment abroad is here in Romania.

Few months ago modernization of the Petromidia Refinery in Novodari owned by Kazakh national oil company KazMunaiGas was completed which place Romania in a rank of the leading fuel producer in the Eastern Europe.

It is also reflects intention of Kazakhstan to boost cooperation with Romania in energy sphere aimed to provide energy security of Europe.

In today’s volatile world markets with unclear perspectives for the global economy a one billion euros investment by the National Company ‘KazMunaiGaz’ in Romania is a clear sign that we are sure in an economic sustainability of Romania.

The relationship between Kazakhstan and Romania are rightfully called as an example of bilateral cooperation based on principles of friendship, mutual respect and support.

Kazakhstan National Day

H.E. Kazakhstan Charge d`affairs – Talgat Kaliyev with H.E. Professor Dr. Anton Caragea

 

In conclusion I’d like to express sincere gratitude to the Presidency, Parliament and Government of Romania for the permanent support and commitment to further development of relations between two our countries. I also would like to deliver special thanks to Professor Anthon Caragea, Romanian IRICE President and Mr. Petru Lificiu Chairman of Kazakhstan-Romania Business Council for their outstanding contribution into strengthening Kazakhstan-Romanian friendship and cooperation.

 

Thank you for attention and enjoy the evening.

December 12, 2012 Posted by | Blackseanews Agency, Danube Delta, Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economy, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Foreign policy, History, Human Rights Council, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, International Relation, Kazahstan, Kazakhstan, Leaders, Mass media, News, Open Letter, Orient, Oriental Art, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Real Eastate, Religion, Romanian economy, Romanian Foreign Policy, Tourism, Travel, UNESCO Heritage List, United Nations Global Compact, Universities | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Comments Off on KAZAKHSTAN NATIONAL DAY CELEBRATED IN ROMANIA