Centrul Diplomatic/Diplomatic Center

Centrul de Studii Politice si Diplomatie/ Center for Political Science and Diplomacy

ROMANIAN ECONOMY IN 2012. ROMANIA IN DEEPENING CRISIS.

Monday 6 of February 2012 at the Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation headquarters was held the first conference of 2012: The evolution of Romanian economy in 2012.  The crisis will continue!

 The conference has joined economical experts from Romania and European Union, economical supervisors and personalities of political, economical and academic life of Romania.

Another example of Romanian economic success : street beggars

 2009 and 2011 – first years of economic crisis.

 The conference started with an evaluation of economic crisis impact in the period of the first years: 2009, 2010 and 2011.

In the first year of the crisis in Romania -2009- the economic crisis has affected the vital areas of economic life: the collapse has started with construction industry and construction material factories, collapse continued by the real estate market shrinking. Others affected sectors where: insurance, banking and stock exchange and in all the financial sector was strongly shaken down. The consumer confidence has fallen sharply and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has being reduced with 10% in 2010 and 8% in 2011.

 The decrease in our economy has being so devastating that we are below the 2000 level. Unfortunately the economic collapse of 2010 and 2011 has laid the foundation for a crisis without equivalent in Romanian history that will affect the country in 2012 and 2013.

 2011- The year of economic earthquake.

 2011 will be remembered without a doubt as the year of economic turmoil in Romania, had appreciated in one voice all the experts present at the gathering. First of all the 2011has being the year in which the Romanian economy had collected all the hard hits from all the economic collapse of the last years. The financial system has being especially hard hit and this had made the fragile Romanian economy to reach the breaking point. The inflation had resurfaced and the experts appreciate that a 10% percent yearly inflation is unavoidable.

The resurgence of inflation had put a dramatic pressure on population economy and had made any recovery unthinkable for the next 2-4 years. The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments had being reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market has being practically suspended and all this had provoke for 2012 an economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions. A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis is the governmental incompetence that by increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investors in the favor of big companies all did nothing ells than to aggravate the economic crisis.

 2012 – between crisis and slowing down economy.

 The 2012 will be a decisive year to slow down the economic collapse or to direct the economy in a new catastrophic decline. It must be very clear, all economic experts underlined, that the present economic decline will last for a decade at European level, so all those opinions that declared that Romania will start a new economic growth before the next 10 years; either don’t know what they are saying either is bluntly laying.

All the European statistics are speaking about the lost decade of Europe between 2010 and 2020 , term referring to the blocking of economic development at continental level and the frozen of present situation for a decade.

Those that are declaring that Romania will surpass in the period of economic crisis the France or Great Britain economy , are telling stories that are unbelievable , declared laughing Mihail Racaceanu – chief economist. What is important is to succeed that we have in 2012 a decrease in economy of less than 10% and in the interval between 2012 and 2015 to stop the decline and in 2020 to come back to pre-crisis year of 2007 and in 2050 at the pre-revolutionary level of 1989.

 In 2050 the Romanian economy will reach the level of 1989 as a historic economic reference year.

 This assessment was a strong one, keeping in mind that the pre-crisis governmental statistic declared that in 2025 Romania will succeed in recuperating the gap and reach the level of industrial activity prior to 1989 Revolution.

This perspective is no longer feasible, a new perspective is appearing after the crisis and after the lost decade and a cumulative GDP decrease of more than 60% from 2007 economy level.

This economic recession will be hard to recuperate in the context of nongovernmental involvement, the general economic climate of recession and finally the worst factor of all: the burden of external debt.

 External debt will plunge Romania into financial meltdown.

 The factor that will suffocate Romanian economy in the next period will be, after 2015, the foreign debt crisis.

The Boc government has careless accepted more than 36 billion dollars credit and in total the private and state debt of Romania is reaching the unbelievable sum of 95 billion dollars, this only if the government will no longer accept new loans.

But this perspective is an unrealistically  one as President Traian Basescu has announced new external loans for 2012 , that will surely bring Romania to being incapable to pay the foreign debt. Despite the writing on the wall in all of cases like Greece, Spain and Ireland, Romania is accepting new loan from International Monetary Fund, loans that will not be invested in developing and modernizing the economy but in pay offs for next parliamentary and presidential elections’. This consumer invested loans at extortionate interest rates will suffocate completely an ailing and failed economy as Romanian economy is.

Unemployment: with a rate of registered unemployment of more than 10% of the active population and with another 15% percent of the population already left out of the governmental unemployment aide Romania tops all the EU member countries with a real unemployment figure of more than 25% of the population. This figure must be put in perspective with more that 50% of the population below the poverty line and the full picture of the economic meltdown and social tragedy could be analyzed. Romania economy is in crises and no plans for a future development had not being adopted.

 

2012: The economic crisis is worsening.

 The conclusions of the most important economic experts of Romania where clear: the crisis is not over by far, but has entered in a more difficult faze that will affect financial and banking system and economic fundaments. The economic crisis will continue until 2015 at the earliest and a coming back cycle that will last until 2020. This decade will be without a doubt the lost decade of Romania but if the necessary measures are not rapidly taken to re-establish control on economic decline than we risk that Romania economy will not come back not even in 2020.

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February 7, 2012 Posted by | Blackseanews Agency, Danube Delta, Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Environment, Foreign policy, History, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, International Relation, Islam, Leaders, Mass media, News, Open Letter, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Politics, Relatii Internationale, Romanian economy, Romanian Foreign Policy, Romanian Revolution, Tourism, Travel, Universities | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

LARA LIFE MED – A HIGH QUALITY MEDICAL PROJECT IS OPENING IN BUCHAREST

On 22 September 2011, in a large ceremony, will be marked the opening of the most ambitious medical project in South East Europe, under the High Patronage of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation : LARA LIFE MED CLINIC .

LARA LIFE MED HEADQUARTERS IN BUCHAREST

The project is the fruition of European cooperation between MedNord Klinik   from Germany and Romanian Med Clinic and the new medical facility will offer at European Union standards medical assistance in Eastern Europe. The ambitious project is uniting the high proficiency of Romanian medical school and technical knowhow of German Medical environment.

Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation has  accepted to offer his High Patronage to the new institution as this is an example of trans-European cooperation, is offering medical services for benefit of all European Union members’ states and is improving transnational cooperation.

The 22 September 2011 ceremony will be hosted by UNICEF Ambassador Andreea Marin and H.E Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Professor Dr. Anton Caragea and will include a presentation of the new clinic and hospital that will offer services on lab analyses , work medicine , family medicine ,   cardiology, gastro , psychology , ORL, ophthalmology, nutritional disorders , neurology and frontier medicine ( non-invasive ).

The scientific part of the conference will be held by Professor Dr. Norbert Pfuetzenreuter, the founder of MedNord Klinik in Munich who will present the latest successes of endoscopic surgery (surgery without blood) and Prof.Dr. Ralf Senner from Munich Institute for Study of Nutritional Disorders who will present the latest achievements in over-weight patient’s treatment and recuperation.

(from left to right) Mr.Petru Lificiu-ANRE President , Mrs. Laura Ciuhu- Director LARA MED LIFE , Prof.Dr. Anton Caragea-IRICE Director , H.E. Ambassador of Nigeria- Mba Ama Mba

 

The conference will conclude with the presentation of managerial team of this important medical project by H.E. Professor Dr. Anton Caragea, Director of  Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation , Mrs. Laura Ciuhu, head of managerial team will then formally present to the public the new managerial and medical team.

The opening of LARA LIFE MED CLINIC is representing the fruition of a long time project of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of fostering the cooperation between European Union member’s states and entities on all levels and on all fields of activity as only friendship and mutual knowledge could build a United Europe.

 

September 13, 2011 Posted by | Blackseanews Agency, Danube Delta, Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economia Romaniei, Economy, Educatie, Environment, Foreign policy, Forumul Ecologistilor din Romania, Human Rights Council, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Leaders, Mass media, Medical Tourism, News, Orient, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Politics, Tourism, Turism | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

WORLD SPEAKS WITH A UNITED VOICE: WE SUPPORT PRESIDENT BASHAR AL ASSAD AND SYRIA

President Assad is saluted by world leaders as the representative  of Syrian unity  

MOSCOW, BUENOS AIRES, BUCHAREST, BRUSSELS,   BEIRUT, DAMASCUS, (SANA) – Vladimir Zhirinovsky, Russian Duma Deputy Speaker, voiced Russia’s dismay at bids of foreign interference in Syria’s internal affairs.

In press statements aired yesterday by the Syrian Satellite TV, Zhirinovsky rejected foreign interference in the Syrian affairs as ‘unacceptable’ aiming to destabilize Syria.

Zhirinovsky reiterated Russia’s stand by Syria blasting western powers’ attempts to weaken the Arab World as to continue exploiting Arabs’ resources.

For his part, Leonid Ivashov, President of Geopolitical Affairs Academy in Moscow, pointed out that the targeting of Syria is to deny it the continuation of its development as an independent prosperous country.

Semen Bagdasarov, a Duma member, described the events taking place in Syria as a revenge by the USA and Israel against Syria, who defeated the US prejudiced schemes and plots in the Middle East.

In Buenos Aires, Argentine, Fia-Arab Organization, underscored full solidarity with Syria against the conspiracy targeting its security and stability.

In a statement, Fia-Arab Organization said that the foreign conspiracy, behind which the American Imperialism and Zionism stand, against Syria’s stability and security would also mean the destabilization of Lebanon, Palestine and other neighboring states.

In Lebanon, Kamal al-Khair, President of the National Center in North Lebanon, described the ongoing events in Syria as a ‘political vengeance’ and as a ‘political struggle’ because of the Syrian pan-Arab nationalist and resistance stances.

Abdul al-Rahim Mourad, President of the Unity Party in Lebanon, asserted that Syria under the leadership of President Bashar al-Assad would foil the foreign conspiracy being batched against it.

General Jamil Al-Sayed, former General Director of Lebanese Security, asserted that Syria’s possession of many pivotal cards at the regional level have angered many Arab and international powers, asserting that Syria would defeat the conspiracies and plots hatched against it.

Bucharest, (SANA)-The European Council on International Relations and the International Relations and Economic Cooperation Institute expressed support and solidarity with Syria against the incitement campaign targeting it, which includes all forms of lies, fact-twisting and manipulation of the events which took place in Syria.

This came in a message conveyed by President of the European Council on International Relations and Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation Anton Caragea to the Syrian Embassy in Bucharest.

The message included a statement issued at the conclusion of an extraordinary meeting held jointly by the Council and the Institute board of directors on April 27-28, which sends a strong message of support to the Syrian people and its national unity.

In their capacity as representatives of the intellectual Romanian society, the participants voiced full support to the Syrian leadership and people and backing for Syria’s unity, as they condemned vandalism acts in some Syrian provinces, describing the interference of the Syrian security forces as legitimate and legal.

The statement lambasted media which stirs chaos, vandalism and killing in Syria, stressing that the Syrian leadership is committed to the process of reforms and that President Bashar al-Assad enjoys trust and represents the Syrian people’s unity.

The statement concluded by reiterating standing by Syria and rejecting interference in its internal affairs, affirming that ”Romania’s support to Syria amounts to its support to its own people.”

May 6, 2011 Posted by | Al Quds, Bashar Al Assad, Blackseanews Agency, Comunitatea Musulmana din Romania, Damascus, Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economy, Environment, European Council on International Relations, Foreign policy, History, Human Rights Council, Ierusalim - Al Quds, Informations, Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation, Institutul de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica, International Relation, Islam, Latin America, Leaders, Mass media, Ministerul Afacerilor Externe, News, North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Open Letter, Orient, Oriental Art, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Palestine, Politics, President Bashar Al Assad, Real Eastate, Relatii Internationale, Religion, Romanian economy, Romanian Foreign Policy, Russia, Russian Affairs, Socialism, Syria, Syrian Revolution, United Arab Emirates, United Nations Global Compact, United States, Universities | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

EUROPEAN CULTURE WEEK KICKS OFF

EUROPEAN CULTURE WEEK KICKS OFF

European Council on International Relations will host between 22-26 March 2010  the traditional cultural event for European values : EUROPEAN CULTURE WEEK .

The traditional events will be, as usually a rallying point for Europe educational and cultural experts. This week important issues will be discuss varying from educational curricula, universities status in the world, new currents in culture and educations and an overview of European culture situation under the economic crisis pressure.

A large panel of educational advisers, governmental officials and representatives of the most important European universities and culture experts will debate all this important topics in order to offer to Europe the opportunity to contribute to the values and educational debates in the world. European Council on International Relations is the organizers and sponsor of this event in order to insure a complete independence of the works and professional invited from any governmental intrusion. This year the EUROPEAN CULTURE WEEK will be focusing on ways to make culture and education a priority for Europe as the economic crisis is taking the main agenda while the most important assets of Europe: history, culture and educational and cultural productions are overlooked.

This year also in order to emphasize the importance of culture in Europe diplomacy the European Council on International Relations will host and on 9-11 April 2010 a special educational session focusing in educational and culture values all over the world.

So remain close to fallow the European Council on International Relations efforts in promoting culture and education as effective diplomacy tools in order to create a better world.   

March 17, 2010 Posted by | Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Ecology, Economy, Environment, Foreign policy, History, Informations, International Relation, Latin America, Leaders, Mass media, News, Open Letter, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Politics, Religion, Russian Affairs, Syria, Travel, United Nations Global Compact, United States | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

KAZAKHSTAN PRESIDENCY OF OSCE: A CLEAR SUCCESS.

Address of H.E. Mr. Nursultan Nazarbayev, President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, to the participants of the OSCE Permanent Counsel “Kazakhstan is firmly committed to the fundamental principles and values of OSCE”

 

Address of H.E. Mr. Nursultan Nazarbayev, President of the Republic of Kazakhstan, to the participants of the OSCE Permanent Counsel, on the occasion of assuming by Kazakhstan the OSCE Chairmanship (Vienna, 14 January 2010) Since independence, Kazakhstan is making a real contribution to strengthening regional and global security, and will continue to be firmly committed to the fundamental principles and values of the OSCE. Said President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev in his address to the inaugural meeting of the OSCE Permanent Council in Vienna.

 Historic decision of Kazakhstan was the closure of the Semipalatinsk nuclear test site, a voluntary abandonment of the fourth largest in the world’s nuclear missile arsenal and the complete destruction of its infrastructure. In 2009 at the initiative of Kazakhstan was adopted by the UN General Assembly resolution declaring August 29 – International Day of Action against nuclear testing. “Kazakhstan is fully aware of its role as a responsible player in regional and global economic processes. Exporting to the world market significant volumes of hydrocarbons, our country is making a significant contribution to ensuring global energy security, including Europe. As a major exporter of grain and other food items, Kazakhstan is actively promoting the implementation of the UN Millennium Goals in addressing hunger and addressing food security in the world “, – noted the President.

The situation in the world makes it difficult exam, which Kazakhstan will stand as the country chairing the OSCE. “Erosion of the non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, terrorism, humanitarian and ecological disasters, famine, poverty, epidemics, reduction of energy resources, conflict along ethnic and sectarian grounds – this is not a complete list of challenges of modern human civilization, a struggle that requires a maximum effort from by such reputable multilateral institutions such as the OSCE “, – he said.

Kazakhstan President stressed that the most urgent problems, the need for solutions which are now facing the OSCE, have always been at the heart of Kazakhstan’s foreign policy. “In accordance with the OSCE traditions, we announce a motto of the acting chairmanship, which symbolizes identification of the chair-country. The motto of the Kazakh chairmanship will be four ‘T’ – Trust, Tradition, Transparency and Tolerance”, the President said. He noted that the first ‘T’ means mutual trust. The second one is adherence to the OSCE principles and values. The third one – maximum openness and transparency in international relations, free of ‘double standards’ and ‘dividing lines’. The forth ‘T’- reflection of global trends on strengthening intercultural and intercivilization dialog, which obtains more significance in the modern world. President Nazarbayev has proposed to declare August 1 – the date of signing of the Helsinki Final Act – the Day of the OSCE, as well as to convene the OSCE Summit in 2010 in honor of the 35th anniversary of the Helsinki Final Act, the 20th anniversary of the Charter of Paris and the 65th anniversary of the end of World War II.

In his speech, OSCE Chairman, Secretary of State – Minister of Foreign Affairs of Kazakhstan Kanat Saudabayev declared priorities of Kazakhstan’s chairmanship. He stated that Kazakhstan, as chairman of the OSCE, will seek to bring closer the positions of the participating organizations to the west and east from Vienna on the basis of principles of impartiality and balance, to enhance its role in improving security and enhancing cooperation in the area from Vancouver to Vladivostok. Astana will seek to focus on achieving the optimum balance of all three “baskets” of the OSCE. Such an approach would help to see problems in the complex, effectively confront not only the external manifestations of modern challenges and threats, but also to work with their sources of origin. In particular, in politico-military dimension Kazakhstan will continue “the Corfu process” and will try to give new impetus to the OSCE efforts to stabilize the situation in areas of protracted conflicts and their resolution, development of international transport corridors, promoting tolerance and understanding. Astana intends to work actively with all partners to strengthen the OSCE Vienna Document 1999 and issues of post-war rehabilitation of Afghanistan. In selecting priorities in the economic and environmental dimension, Kazakhstan has proposed themes on promotion of good governance at border crossings and development of safe and efficient ground transportation. According to Astana, it is necessary to continue work on migration and energy security in accordance with the ministerial decisions in Athens.

The human dimension remains a key theme in the agenda of the Chairmanship, and Kazakhstan will continue to support activities of the ODIHR, the High Commissioner on National Minorities, Representative on Freedom of the media. The holding in Astana on 29-30 June this year, the OSCE High Level Conference on Tolerance and Non-discrimination would make a worthy contribution to further enhance the interaction between different cultures and civilizations, the practical implementation of earlier decisions. This year 15 OSCE member countries will hold presidential and parliamentary elections. Therefore Kazakhstan urged the ODIHR and the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly to coordinate their work and do everything possible to the process of monitoring the elections were to ensure objectivity and constructivism.

January 30, 2010 Posted by | Diplomacy, Eastern Europe, Economy, Environment, Foreign policy, History, Informations, International Relation, Kazahstan, Leaders, Mass media, News, Nursultan Nazarbayev, Open Letter, OSCE-Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe, Politics, Russia, United States | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment