ROMANIAN ECONOMY IN 2013: GDP, INFLATION, ECONOMIC DATA

Economic forecast: Romanian economy in 2013. GDP, Inflation, Bankruptcy.

Wednesday 30 of January 2013 at the Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation headquarters was held the first conference of 2013: The evolution of Romanian economy in 2013. The aggravating crisis!

Beggars on the street of Romania: a sign of failed economic policy 

The conference has joined economical experts from Romania and European Union, economical supervisors and personalities of political, economical and academic life of Romania.

2009- 2012 –the first period of crisis.

The conference started with an evaluation of the impact of economic crisis in the last period: 2009-2012.

In 2009 the economic crisis has affected the vital areas of economic life: the collapse has started with construction industry and construction material factories and collapse continued by the real estate market shrinking. Others affected sectors where: insurance, banking and stock exchange and in all the financial sector was strongly shaken down. The consumer confidence has fallen sharply and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has being reduced with 10% in 2010 and 8% in 2011.

The decrease in Romanian economy has being so devastating that now we are below the 2000 level. Unfortunately the economic collapse of 2010-2012 has laid the foundation for a crisis without equivalent in Romanian history that will affect the country in 2013.

Professor dr. Anton Caragea-Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation chairing the romanian economist`s meeting.

2011-2012: The period of economic earthquake.

2011 and 2012 will be remembered as the worst years of economic turmoil in Romania, had appreciated in one voice all the experts present at the gathering.

First of all the 2011 has being the year in which the Romanian economy had collected all the hard hits from all the economic collapse of the last years. The financial system has being especially hard hit and this had made the fragile Romanian economy to reach the breaking point. The inflation had resurfaced and the experts appreciate that a 10% percent yearly inflation is unavoidable.

The resurgence of inflation had put a dramatic pressure on population economy and had made any recovery unthinkable for the next 4-8 years.

The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments had being reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market has being practically suspended and all this had provoke for 2012 an economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions. A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis is the governmental incompetence that by increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investors in the favor of big companies all did nothing ells than to aggravate the economic crisis.

2013 – European economic crisis will impact hard on Romania.

The 2013 will be a decisive year to on how will be affected the Romanian economy by the European meltdown.

Until now the Romanian economy was hit hard by his own faults like: reduced productivity and competitiveness, chaos in the governmental policy, crippling inflation etc. In 2013 Romania will be affected by the decay in European economic activity.

Crisis hit Spain, Greece, and Ireland and slowing down economy of Germany, France and Great Britain, will impact negative on Romanian chances to get access to European funds and foreign investments.

Romanian economy and policy maker are not yet conceptual prepared to understand that Romanian EU membership had became a liability and a negative factor in the future of Romania, appreciated the representative of Foreign Export Company Association Mr. Marcel Alexandru.

The negative impact of European Union financial and confidence crisis will account for a 2-5% percent reduction in Romanian GDP this year.

 2013 will be without a doubt a period of a new catastrophic decline. It must be very clear, all economic experts underlined, that the present economic decline will last for at least a decade at European level, so all those opinions that declared that Romania will start a new economic growth before the next 10 years; either don’t know what they are saying, either is bluntly laying.

All the European statistics are speaking about the lost decade of Europe between 2010 and 2020 , term referring to the blocking of economic development at continental level and the frozen of present situation for a decade.

Those that are declaring that Romania will surpass the period of recovering of  France or Great Britain economy , are telling stories that are unbelievable , stated chief economist- Mihail Racaceanu. What is important is to succeed that we have in 2013 a decrease in real economy of less than 10% and in the interval between 2013 and 2018 to stop the decline and in 2020 to come back to pre-crisis level.

Homeless and hungry in Great Britain. How EU crisis will affect Romania ?

2013 budget- a budget of economic decline.

In 2013 the Romanian economy is coming to the fore not only with the negatives trends of the last years and a crippling inflation but also with a budget of austerity that will direct Romania to plunge into a new economic meltdown.

The 2013 budget is the first budget in the eight year period that is not approved prior to 1-th of January, a negative record that is impacting Romanian economic stability and is giving a sign of chaos in the government economic policy.

The budget expected deficit of 2, 4% percent of GDP it not offering any chance for a real economic recovery, massive investment projects are abandoned and the decline in the economy is estimated by independent economist around 8-10% percent of the GDP by the year’s end.

What is dramatic is the reduction in the direct investment in the economy, with less than 8 billion euro investment planned for this year the Romanian economy had to struggle for sustainability. Reduced foreign investment and dramatically shrinking internal private investment means that Romania will have now more that 10 billion euro (in an optimistic assessment) for investment programs. The country needs at least 20 billion per year to modernize the economy and to have a decent growth rate of 1-2% percent per year. He present day budget is not only of severe austerity but of severe contraction stated the economists present at the meeting.

Romanian economy recover postponed to 2050.

This assessment was a strong one, keeping in mind that the pre-crisis governmental statistic declared that in 2025 Romania will succeed in recuperating the gap and reach the level of industrial activity prior to 1989 Revolution.

This perspective is no longer feasible, a new perspective is appearing after the crisis and after the lost decade and a cumulative GDP decrease of more than 60% from 2007 economy level.

This economic recession will be hard to recuperate in the context of zero governmental involvement, the general economic climate of recession and finally the worst factor of all: the burden of external debt.

The resurgence of inflation will put a dramatic pressing on population economy and will make any recovery unthinkable for the next 1-2 years. The collapse in economic system, the internal and external investments will be reduced to minimum, the credit on internal market will be suspended and all this will provoke next year an economic decrease of more than 15% of GDP or even 18% of GDP after others opinions. A factor not to be neglected in amplification of the crisis in the governmental incompetence that by: increasing the taxes, legislative chaos and a deliberate politics of destroying the middle class investor in the favor of big companies all did nothing ells than to aggravate the economic crisis.

External debt risk can plunge Romania into financial meltdown.

The fear factor that will suffocate Romanian economy in the next period will be, after 2015, the foreign debt crisis.

The Emil Boc government has careless accepted more than 36 billion dollars credit and in total the private and state debt of Romania is reaching the unbelievable sum of 95 billion dollars, this only if the government will no longer accept new loans.

In 2012 the Mihai Razvan Ungureanu government succeeded in just a few months to reduce the National bank Reserves by 20 billion euro, an unprecedented squandering of public money in Romanian history.

Despite the writing on the wall, in all of cases like Greece, Spain and Ireland, Romania is accepting new loan from International Monetary Fund, loans that will not be invested in developing and modernizing the economy but in salaries and pensions. This consumer invested loans at extortionate interest rates will suffocate completely an ailing and failed economy as Romanian economy is.

Unemployment: with a rate of registered unemployment of more than 12% of the active population and with another 15% percent of the population already left out of the governmental unemployment aide, Romania tops many EU member countries with a real unemployment figure of more than 25% of the population. This figure must be put in perspective with more that 50% of the population below the poverty line and the full picture of the economic meltdown and social tragedy could be analyzed. Romania economy is in crises and no plans for a future development had not being adopted.

2013: The worsening of economic crisis.

The conclusion of the most important economic experts of Romania was clear: the crisis is not over by far, but has entered in a more difficult faze that will affect financial and banking system and economic fundament`s. The economic crisis will continue until 2017 at the earliest and a coming back cycle that will last until 2025. This decade will be without a doubt the lost decade of Romania but if the necessary measures are not rapidly taken to re-establish control on economic decline than we risk that Romania economy will not come back not even in 2025.

A NATION WAY TO PROSPERITY AND GLOBAL SIGNIFICANCE by PROFESSOR DR. ANTON CARAGEA, MA, FINS, EDA

We are living through difficult and boisterous time. A period of rapid changes in world economic and political system, a time of powerful crisis that is shaking the fundaments of national states and of national economies and is putting under strain the social protection and all the values of economic neo-liberalism.

In this chaotic period, just a few nations are allowed the luxury of economic and political long time forecast and predictability: China and United States are creating and proposing to their people and foreign partners a long term vision of development and national statehood construction.
In a time of peril and un-certitude, when even a short time economic prediction is considered hazardous, just a few nations are having the will to act as beacons of lights and direction for their region.

In 17th of December 2012 Kazakhstan had enter to this select club of nations, conscientious of their role and position in the continental and world stage by presenting an ambitious, realistic and well carved plan for future of Kazakhstan until 2050.
By the voice of his President, Nursultan Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan had created the prototype of a long term, healthy and stable construction model for the country, the region and the world.

Kazakhstan 2030: weathering the storm and creating a nation.

Kazakhstan it is not at the first step in a managed transition towards a stable and democratic society and a powerful economy.
In 1997 Kazakhstan had already carved the landmarks of his astonishing development by the presidential strategy- Kazakhstan 2030.
Far from being just a window dressing, the strategy for 2030 had proved to be a perfect way for charting Kazakhstan after the independence in the incertitude of nation building and construction of a viable economy.
The program had allowed Kazakhstan to tap into national reserves of oil and gas, to gush out of the enclave country status via the reconstructed Silk Road of energy and trade, to create a modern economy, not depending only on energy resources, to build a huge potential of national intelligence and to foster the economy of knowledge, the base for a XXI century reliable economy.

The long string of economic successes was accompanied in the internal sphere by political stability, based on democratic and open society values, the protection of national and religious minorities.
In the area of external policy, Kazakhstan had gather the powerful laurels of a successful reform project carried out during his Presidency of Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. An impressive success was also the unprecedented two year chairmanship of Organization of Islamic Conference that transformed Kazakhstan in a leader of dialogue between Islam and Western world.

The latest major diplomatic achievement of Kazakhstan was the proposal of building an area of security and cooperation in Europe and Asia, launched in September 2012, in Astana, at CICA Conference by President Nursultan Nazarbayev. This latest proposal makes Kazakhstan the promoter of an all-inclusive, intercontinental dialogue, that could transform the political landscape of XXI century.
In the end, Kazakhstan 2030 had proved to be not only a successful strategy for Kazakhstan, but also an example for all the countries of the world on how a nation by the sole fact of building himself, can become a regional and world significant player.

The main pillar of Kazakhstan 2050: understanding of XXI century.

In its world acclaimed book: The Seven Pillars of Wisdom, the famous Lawrence of Arabia had mentioned that: the most important, but also decisive part of a plan is to be in line with the necessity of his time.
Kazakhstan 2050 starts by outlining the fundaments of the world in XXI century. A period of change, of accelerating history, of economic, political and ecological challenges, a world completely different from the world of XX century.
Instead of training to force the reality to enter in the realm of possibility, Kazakhstan 2050 is offering a realistic and practical assessment of the necessities of today world and of the available solutions.
Fallowing his long term tradition, Kazakhstan understands that creating a success story and offering solutions to the world is the best way to serve not only his interest, but also to add value to his place in the world.
Kazakhstan 2050: good news for people of Kazakhstan.

Kazakhstan had become in the last 20 years an abode of peace, inter-ethnic and inter-religious understanding in a troubled world. One of the explanation is undoubtedly the economic success that made the Kazakhstan not only one of the fastest growing economy in the world, but also a top investor destination in the world economy statistics.

Kazakhstan 2050 is providing the basis for this healthy economy to continue his growth process. Investing in social protection and creating a strong internal demand are key factors for a stable rate of growth. Modernizing the economic potential, investing in new technologies are policy that will insure the world competitiveness of Kazakhstan national economy and the creation of a knowledge based economy are also a profitable long term investment.

The modern economy is based on technological transfer and Kazakhstan is becoming a champion in modernizing the basis of his economy via technology transfer and more important, Kazakhstan educational system mixed with the accent on entrepreneurship in economic development is creating the base for a managerial revolution, that will put Kazakhstan among the top economy`s of the world in term of creativity and intelligence incorporated in economic production.

Extremely interesting it is also the concept of a Kazakhstan patriotism. Instead of playing the card of nationalism or chauvinism, President Nursultan Nazarbayev is calling for the tradition, language and equality to blend into a new and successful Kazakh: a person well educated, wealthy , healthy enjoying the benefits of a modern state and administration and a state of the art medical system.
Kazakhstan is promising to put at the core of his foundation plan for 2050 the individual and his chances to prevail in a complex XXI century.

From Kazakhstan to the world. From world to Kazakhstan.

One of the keys of Kazakhstan national and international success was understanding that Kazakhstan could not evolve alone in the world, but always must stay in touch and be an intricate part of the world evolutions. There are many examples that support this conjecture in Kazakhstan two decades of independence story.

Kazakhstan economic miracle was built on partnership with western companies and oil extraction technology, but also on political negotiation with Russia on Caspian Sea exploration.
The Astana Expo 2017 will also be a proof of the lesson of mutual profit that Kazakhstan is offering to the world. Kazakhstan management of energy, the lessons of ecology and energy for a future, of environment protection, are going to be beneficial for the world economy and for the generations to come. This is just a new illustration of the Kazakhstan concept of successful quest for global significance.
Kazakhstan economic development had transformed the country in a major player in the development of Asia and Europe. Kazakhstan 2050 promises to continue this wise policy: from Kazakhstan to the world, from world to Kazakhstan, creating a synergy that could only beneficial for all the world nations.

Now the lessons of Kazakhstan 2050 are available for everybody: an example of a society of free people building a country for the future, not in isolation or competition, but in harmony with the world nations. In the concert of nations Kazakhstan is ushering in a new tone: a tone of hope.

Professor dr. Anton Caragea MA, FINS, Dr.Hc

SEOUL NUCLEAR SECURITY SUMMIT – A ROMANIAN VIEW by PROFESSOR DR. ANTON CARAGEA

The Seoul Summit had just concluded, but his reverberation will be long standing. Everybody is agreeing that we are witnessing just the beginning of  an international custom on managing nuclear weapons and nuclear security.  Seoul Summit, if it was not exceedingly rich on international regulation,   had offered instead a successful model of nuclear security management, of relinquishing the illusory security offered by nuclear weapons in exchange for a world commitment to his security: Kazakhstan.

Professor Dr. Anton Caragea during his visit in Kazakhstan.

 

The world leaders have showered praises on the Central Asian country and his leader-Nursultan Nazarbaev ,top of the list being  United States President, Barack Obama,  who described Kazakhstan as a model for the world  and express his support for the country`s bid to host the International Nuclear Fuel Bank .

In this moment, when we are confronted with an insufficient legal framework on nuclear security, the need for a successful example to be offered as a way out for the countries that had pursued or are pursuing a program for nuclear military development it is clearly marked.

Kazakhstan is, undoubtedly, the success story of nuclear disarmament : dismantling an impressive nuclear arsenal inherited from Soviet Union ,with more than 1.000 warheads, prohibiting nuclear experiments on Semipalatinsk  polygon and in exchange obtaining security guarantees and international recognition of his borders .

International leaders express their appreciation towards Kazakhstan President- Nursultan Nazarbayev

 

In today world Kazakhstan and the architect of this enlighten policy: President Nursultan Nazarbavev had a long track record of  achievements.

Among others unremitting exertion for the nuclear disarmament Kazakhstan joined the “Group of Eight” (G-8) Global Partnership against the spread of weapons of mass destruction and ratified the 2005 Amendment to the Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material (CPPNM) to bring it into force by 2014 and successfully hosted the Conference of the Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism” .

If to this list we add the impressive achievements of Kazakhstan Presidency to Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, the hosting of the first high level OSCE Summit in Astana  in 2010 and the lavish and profound transforming Chairmanship to Organization of Islamic Conference we have the complete picture of a country determined to leave his mark on international arena.

Kazakhstan had not fall asleep on the laurels already won and President Nursultan Nazarbaev already used his country high standing to promote a regulation package destined to offer the possibility of further development of use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes such as: the adoption of legally binding nuclear safety standards, the establishment of mechanisms for rapid response in case of emergency at nuclear facilities, and the granting to all states of an equal access to peaceful nuclear technology and supplies of low enriched uranium (LEU), including through an International Nuclear Fuel Bank.

The mounting support of the world leaders to Kazakh President vision of a nuclear weapons free world   had offered a new chance for Seoul Summit. The value of this vision is reflected in President Nursultan Nazarbaev own words: Based on the experience of my country, that voluntarily renounced the world’s fourth nuclear arsenal, I can say that the real security guarantees are provided by sustainable economic and social development,”

 If the world will support Kazakhstan in sharing this lesson, than the mankind could have a chance for a better future.

Professor Dr. Anton Caragea MA, FINS, EDA

KAZAHSTAN : 20 DE ANI DE MIRACOL ECONOMIC SI PROSPERITATE

KAZAHSTAN : 20 DE ANI DE MIRACOL ECONOMIC SI PROSPERITATE de prof.dr.Anton Caragea

Astăzi, într-o lume bântuită de spectrul crizei economice, obişnuită cu eufemismul creşterii negative, cu spectrul reducerii investiţiilor şi al şomajului, modelul economic kazah pare impresionant.

În anii cei mai grei ai crizei, economia kazahă a continuat să crească cu un ritm mediu de 3% anual, a continuat să producă locuri de muncă şi prosperitate, ajungând la un vârf de competitivitate în regiunea Asiei Centrale.

Care este secretul acestei dezvoltări? Un răspuns simplist ar fi bogăţia în rezerve naturale de gaz şi petrol a Kazahstanului, dar acest răspuns este incomplet şi ne duce pe o pantă greşită.

Zeci de alte ţări se bucură de aşa zisa mană petrolieră şi gaziferă fără ca aceste atuuri să modifice tabloul unor economii slabe, sărace şi bântuite de corupţie. Modelul kazah se bazează în mod clar pe alte elemente suplimentare.

Kazahstan: o economie bazată pe export

În 1991, când Kazahstanul pornea pe drumul independenţei, rezervele sale de petrol şi gaze erau incomplet exploatate, liniile de export petrolier şi de gaze erau îndreptate doar spre economia rusă, care nu mai putea plăti aceste influxuri energetice, iar ţara era chiar in incapacitate de a-şi asigura necesarul energetic propriu, cu atât mai puţin să devină un jucător pe piaţa mondială a petrolului şi a gazelor.

Anumiţi experţi credeau că marile rezerve energetice ale Kazahstanului vor rămâne neexploatate, din lipsă de capital, tehnologie şi expertiză.

În doar 20 de ani, Kazahstanul a ştiut să îşi diversifice reţeaua de parteneri şi să devină un jucător energetic complex, care asigură dezvoltarea puterii economice chineze, plus necesarul de energie al Uniunii Europene şi al economiei ruseşti, având în acelaşi timp deschise coridoare energetice spre Golful Persic şi spre Marea Mediterană.

Investiţiile în economia kazahă au depăşit 120 de miliarde de dolari în ultimii 20 de ani, iar rezervele valutare ale ţării au trecut de 60 de miliarde de dolari.

Explicaţiile acestui miracol economic sunt nenumărate:    un climat investiţional deschis, sprijin acordat investitorilor strategici, sprijin acordat investitorilor kazahi, diversificarea partenerilor externi pentru a obţine un preţ cât mai bun pentru materiile prime exportate de Kazahastan.

Dezvoltare bazată pe investiţiile de stat

Kazahstanul a înţeles rapid un adevăr al economiilor dezvoltate: nu se poate fără un sprijin al statului faţă de activitatea economică și fără preluarea de către stat a unor cheltuieli de dezvoltare şi cercetare ce nu pot fi suportate de către agenţii privaţi.

Aceeaşi necesitate sprijinului statului apare şi în cadrul investiţiilor în infrastructură, fără de care economia nu va fi nici dezvoltată, nici competitivă.

Ca atare, în aceşti 20 de ani investiţiile economice ale statului au ajuns la 30% din PIB, asigurând o rată de creştere economică de 8% înainte de criză şi de 3% în timpul crizei.

Astfel, economia kazahă oferă acum un portret complet diferit de a cel de acum 20 de ani: o economie modernă, competitivă, bazată pe export şi în continuă creştere şi care de acum se poate baza şi pe o piaţă internă de peste 16 milioane de locuitori şi cu un produs per capita de peste 9.000 de dolari.

Economia kazahă creşte în timp de criză

În timp ce economia mondială se restrânge şi cererea de materii prime stagnează sau scade, totuşi economia kazahă cunoaşte o creştere sănătoasă în ultimii ani. Misterul se explică simplu, un plan ambiţios de dezvoltare pe perioada 2010-2014 şi intitulat simplu şi clar Programul pentru dezvoltare industrială accelerată şi inovaţie.

Planul va creea, doar în 2011, peste 24.000 de noi locuri de muncă în 152 de noi întreprinderi ce vor fi înfiinţate şi va fi realizată o investiţie în economia productivă de peste 14% din PIB.

În total, pe parcursul programului vor fi finalizate 294 de proiecte industriale şi peste 207.000 de noi locuri de muncă vor fi create spre a moderniza economia kazahă, astfel încât somajul să nu depăşească 5%, asta în condiţiile în care populaţia va creşte cu încă 2 milioane de locuitori, de la 16 la 18 milioane, până în 2020.

Profesor dr. Anton Caragea vorbind la Universitatea Euro-Asiatica din Astana : Kazahstan si Uniunea Europeana

Totodată, planul nu se concentrează doar pe investiţiile în industrie. Agricultura este şi ea vizată, Kazahstanul, care a trecut deja de la stadiul de importator de alimente la cel de exportator, va trece acum la un export susţinut de produse animaliere pentru pieţele din Orientul Mijlociu.

Rolul statului, determinant

Statul nu s-a retras din economie, lăsând-o să lupte singură cu criza, ci a continut să susţină producția, apoi nu a investit resursele nici în consum, nici în susţinerea sectoarelor bancare, ci în susţinerea sectoarelor direct productive care menţin economia în funcțiune.

În final, statul kazah a înţeles ABC-ul economiei de piaţă keynesiene, anume că fără investiţii directe ale statului, nici o economie nu poate rezista şi a luat deciziile necesare impulsionând creşterea economică a Kazahstanului.

Investiţia în oameni și competitivitatea

Toate aceste eforturi nu ar fi avut acelaşi succes dacă statul kazah s-ar fi îndreptat doar spre un model economic de piaţă liberă, fără să fie interesat şi de latura socială, de investiţia în oameni. Economia nu poate funcţiona fără specialişti, fără cadre profesionalizate şi baza oricărei dezvoltări economice stă în oameni şi în pregătirea lor.

Ca atare, toate planurile economice din ultimii 20 de ani au pus la baza lor investiţia în sistemul universitar performant al Kazahstanului, parteneriate cu universităţile de top din lume, atragerea de cadre didactice prestigioase şi investiţia în baza materială, toate au asigurat Kazahstanului o dezvoltare rapidă în domeniu, ajungând pe locuri fruntaşe în topul cercetării şi inovaţiei-singura bază a competitivităţii economice.

Atenţia acordată cercetării s-a reflectat în atragerea de investiții străine, numai Statele Unite investind direct peste 5 miliarde de dolari doar în primele 6 luni ale lui 2010.

Alţi investitori de top, atraşi de climatul favorabil al Kazahstanului şi de potenţialul său uman sunt Olanda, Marea Britanie, Franţa şi Italia, iar ritmul investiţiilor străine a crescut în perioada crizei datorită poziţiei strategice a Kazahstanului, la răscrucea pieţelor în dezvoltare din India, China, Rusia şi Asia Centrală.

În plus, Kazahstanul a ştiut să se centreze în mijlocul unei uriaşe pieţe comune de peste 170 de milioane de locuitori şi cu o cotă de piaţă de 6.000 de miliarde de dolari, prin semnarea unui acord de anulare a barierelor vamale cu Rusia şi Belarus.

Toţi investitorii străini apreciază că principala raţiune a prezenţei lor în Kazahstan o reprezintă potenţialul uman formidabil al ţării, cu o rată a alfabetizării de peste 99.6% şi cu o rata a şcolarizării universitare de peste 53%.

Adunând la aceste argumente şi obişnuitele reduceri sau anulări de taxe, anularea taxelor pe terenuri şi investiţii şi venituri, toate acestea au creat imaginea unui paradis investiţional în Kazahstan, după cum scria Aset Issekeshev, Ministrul Noilor Tehnologii şi al Industriei din Kazahstan.

Drumul Mătăsii: varianta modernă

Toată lumea îşi aduce aminte de vestitul Drum al Mătăsii, care lega bogăţiile Asiei de pieţele dornice de mătase, aur şi mirodenii ale Europei. Astăzi când piaţa europeană doreşte cu aceeaşi pasiune gazul şi petrolul Asiei, un nou Drum al Mătăsii îşi deschide porţile şi trece bineînţeles pe teritoriul Kazahstanului, precum trecea şi acum 500 de ani.

Proiectul unui ambiţios Drum al Mătăsii, ce leagă Vestul Chinei cu Vestul Europei, este noul proiect ce pune Kazahstanul în centrul dezvoltării economice mondiale. Noul drum va pune laolaltă căi ferate, şosele largi, trenuri de mare viteză pentru marfă şi pasageri, containere de transport şi conducte de apă, gaze şi petrol.

În plus, drumul va avea noi ramificaţii spre Iran şi Turcia, alte doua pieţe în rapidă dezvoltare. Când drumul va fi complet, va lega bogatul potenţial economic al Chinei, cu resursele energetice ale Asiei Centrale şi Orientului Mijlociu cu piaţa dezvoltată a Europei Occidentale şi cu pieţe din Orientul Mijlociu şi Marea Mediterană.

Noul drum va măsura 8.455 de km şi va aduce în 10 zile orice produs şi călător de la Beijing la Sankt Petersburg şi în Vestul Europei, drumul de până acum, maritim, fiind de 36.300 de kilometri şi fiind acoperit în 45 de zile, deci o reducere drastică a timpului şi a parcursului, care este extrem de marcantă şi benefică pentru dezvoltarea economică a regiunilor traversate.

Noul drum va beneficia de peste 110 de milioane de tone de cargo şi va creşte la peste 500 de miloane în următorii 5 ani. Aceste investiţii în infrastructură şi în mijloacele de transport îşi vor face simţite efectele benefice asupra economiilor din China, Japonia, Coreea de Sud şi zona de est a Asiei.

Fezabilitatea proiectului a fost garantată de Banca Mondială, care a şi alocat 2 miliarde de dolari pentru proiect sponsorizând refacerea a peste 1.000 de kilometri de cale ferată, în timp ce Kazahstanul va aloca 15 miliarde pentru acest ambiţios proiect.

Studiile de fezabilitate vorbesc despre o rata a profitabilităţii de 30% anual, astfel încât în 3 ani sumele investite vor fi recuperate, iar alte peste 58 de proiecte de investiţii vor beneficia de aportul acestui plan.

Fără acest proiect Vestul Chinei ar rămâne o regiune nedezvoltată, ocolită de miracolul economic chinezesc prezent pe coasta Pacificului, la fel imensele rezerve de petrol, gaze şi materii prime ale Asiei Centrale ar rămâne prea scumpe şi depărtate de piaţa europeană, cea indiană şi cea mondială, blocând refacerea economiei internaționale.

În plus, economia europeană, ce rămâne în urma competitorilor americani şi asiatici, îşi poate regăsi suflul cu ajutorul rezervelor Asiei Centrale, iar în final o piaţă de 200 de miloane de locuitori ai Asiei Centrale şi Europei de Est devin parte a economiei mondiale.

Băncile kazahe pornesc la cucerirea pieţei islamice

În momentul în care sistemul bancar mondial începe să tremure din toate încheieturile, după 20 de ani de consolidare, sistemul bancar kazah porneşte la cucerirea pieţelor islamice. Sistemul bancar kazah este cunoscut pentru sănătatea sa, obţinută prin criterii de eficienţă foarte stricte şi prin controlul susţinut al activităţior bancare şi consolidat prin rezerve masive păstrate la banca centrală.

Acum Kazahstanul vrea să intre pe piaţa mondială a produselor bancare pe uşa bancilor islamice. Aşa cum se ştie sistemul financiar mondial este constituit din sistemul bancar tradiţional, ce ocupă 65% din piaţă şi o zonă de 35 % ocupată de sistemul bancar islamic, sistem ce menţine o anumită structură conformă principiilor islamice.

Această zonă doreşte Kazahstanul să o cucerească, cu obiectiv anul 2020, an în care Kazahstanul trebuie să devină lider al sistemului bancar islamic.

Aceast obiectiv va fi obţinut prin finanţarea de către Kazahstan a proiectelor centrate pe transport, căi ferate şi sosele şi pe zona energiilor alternative şi în general numai în proiecte economice pe termen lung.

Unul din aceste proiecte îl constituie primul autobahn din Asia Centrală, cu un cost estimat de 762 de milioane de dolari şi cu o lungime de 220 de kilometri şi care va permite o viteză medie de 140 de kilometri pe oră.

Proiectul dezvoltării sistemului bancar kazah, ca un sistem bancar regional şi apoi ca un sistem bancar mondial este unul ambiţios şi are toate şansele să reuşească într-o lume ce încearcă să îşi revină după şocul crizei şi care are nevoie urgentă de finanţare masivă şi flexibilă.

Decizia strategică de a intra pe piața creditelor şi a proiectelor pe termen lung este una extrem de eficientă în condiţiile în care celelalte ţări au ieşit de pe aceasta piaţă tocmai datorită riscurilor ridicate prevăzute în termen de criză.

Lecţii ale Kazahstanului

Care sunt lecţiile pe care economia kazahă le oferă lumii ce încearcă să iasă din criză? În primul rând că nu există dezvoltare fără un puternic sector de stat şi fără un sprijin investiţional al statului pentru sectoare econmice nevralgice, ce au nevoie de investiţii majore şi susţinute, imposibil de efectuat de firme private.

Apoi, nicio dezvoltare economică nu este posibilă fără o dezvoltare umană: fără investiţii în sistemul educaţional, în sistemul medical şi în cel social, nu va exista nici impulsul de muncă şi nici productivitatea necesară unei dezvoltări economice.

Prin urmare, fără proiecte de infrastructură ambiţioase şi fără racordarea la economia mondială, nici o ţară nu se poate dezvolta şi nu îşi poate valorifica potenţialul.

ROMANIA – TAJIKISTAN : A DEVELOPING RELATION

Between 25-26 July 2011 Ambassador of Tajikistan and Representative to European Union and NATO  , Soliev Rustamjon Abdulloevich ,  had made an working visit to Romania at the invitation of Professor Dr. Anton Caragea, President of European Council on International Relations and Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania,    in order to further develop the bilateral relation and offer new dimensions to economical, cultural and political dialogue between Tajikistan and Romania .

Ambassador Soliev Rustamjon Abdulloevich – High Representative of Tajikistan to European Union and NATO

In the framework of the visit Ambassador Soliev paid special attention to de-frozen  the economic dimension of the relations between the two countries.

Ambassador of Tajikistan had arranged meetings with Romanian Chamber of Commerce President and European Union Bilateral  Chambers of Commerce Vice-President , Director of Romanian Investment Agency  and Ministry of Economy and other Romanian economic officials .

The parties expressed the common desire of re-launch the bilateral relations by mutual assured investment , development of trade and tourism . Romanian side express the desire , in accordance with Tajikistan Ambassador views ,  to have a Romanian – Tajikistan Economic Forum , to have Tajikistan investment in Romanian tourist sites and to have practical offers for investment in Tajikistan .

In the meetings  held by Ambassador Soliev  at Energy Minister , Romania offered technical expertise for rehabilitation of Tajikistan energy system and also expressed interest in programs for solar and wind energy exploitation in Tajikistan .

In all the meetings Ambassador Soliev Rustamjon received official congratulation on the appointment of President of Tajikistan, Emamoli Rahmon for the prestigious European award of LEADER OF XXI CENTURY , the Romanian side underlining  that this famous award is the expression of Tajikistan new position of strength in the world and also an incentive for foreign investors to seek closer economical and political relations  with Tajikistan , as the prize is awarded as a proof of European confidence in a country and a leader.

In a special meeting at the European Council on International Relations Headquarters Ambassador Soliev Rustamjon Abdulloevich presented for an impressive audience of academics , politicians, diplomats and foreign observers , a report about Tajikistan development today .

The report was based on the masterpiece book TAJIK ARTS AND CRAFTS THROUGH THE CENTURIES by Hamrokhon Zarifi , Minister of Foreign Affairs of Tajikistan and highlighted the cultural richness  and lofty tradition  of the country. From Alexander the Great to Silk Road and today development and beauties of Tajikistan under President Emomali Rahmon economic and social reform program , the complete image of Tajikstan was presented in the Ambassador Soliev report .

Ambassador Soliev and european academics.

In the official audience granted by Director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation , professor Dr. Anton Caragea to Ambassador Soliev  the parties expressed the determination to boost cultural and academic relations, to create a framework for cultural and political dialogue and to organize an art exhibition : TAJIKISTAN IN THE HEART OF SILK ROAD  based on the art crafts presented in the book of   Minister of Foreign Affairs of Tajikistan ,  Hamrokhon Zarifi.

The parties had agreed a calendar of mutual consultation to search for new ways of fostering European Union – Tajikistan relations  but also Romania-Tajikistan relation.

The cultural dimension of bilateral Romania-Tajikistan relation was underlined also by meetings at Ministry of Culture and by visit of Ambassador Soliev Rustamjon Abdulloevich   to the oldest ethnographic museum in Eastern Europe : Village Museum of Romania .

The two day visit succeeded , after  a long time, to recreate a new dimension of Romania – Tajikistan relation.

Solid discussion on economy, culture and political agenda create a new framework and the Romanian side expressed, at the end of the visit of Ambassador Soliev , the desire for a continuity in this fruitful dialogue and for new ways according with the concepts of XXI century diplomacy to develop the bilateral relation.

ROMANIA – TAJIKISTAN : O RELATIE IN PLINA AFIRMARE

In perioada 25-26 iulie 2011 Inaltul Reprezentant al Tajikistanului la Uniunea Europeana si NATO , ambasador Soliev Rustamjon Abdulloevich, a efectuat o vizita de lucru in Romania la invitatia Profesorului Anton Caragea , Directorul Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica pentru a oferi un nou suflu relatiei bilaterale si a oferii noi dimensiuni economice, politice si culturale dialogului intre Tajikistan si Romania.

E.S. Soliev Rustamjon Abdulloevich – Ambasadorul  Tajikistan-ului la Uniunea Europeana si NATO

In cadrul vizitei ambasadorului Soliev o atentie speciala a fost dedicata relansarii relatiilor economice intre cele doua tari.

Ambasadorul Tajikistanului a avut intrevederi la Camera de Comert a Romaniei , Camera de Comert a Uniunii Europene- reprezentanta in Romania , Agentia de Investitii si Cooperare Economica, Ministerul Economiei si alte oficialitati economice.

Partile au exprimat dorinta, impartasita, a relansarii relatiei bilaterale prin asigurarea investitiilor , dezvoltarea schimburilor si a turismului.

Partea romana si-a exprimat dorinta , in acord cu vederile partii tajice, sa aiba in acest an un Forum Economic Romania – Tajikistan  si sa obtina investitii din Tajikistan in sectorul turistic si sa aiba oferte concrete de investitii in proiecte din Tajikistan.

In intalnirile avute de ambasadorul Soliev cu oficiali din domeniul energiei, Romania si-a oferit expertiza tehnica in refacerea sectorului energetic din Tajikistan si si-a exprimat interesul pentru participarea la programe de exploatare a energiilor neconventionale ( solare si a vantului ) din Tajikistan.

In cadrul intrevederilor Ambasadorul Soliev Rustamjon a primit felicitari oficiale pentru nominalizarea Presedintelui Tajikistanului pentru prestigiosul premiu european de Lider al Secolului XXI , partea romana subliniind ca acordarea acestui prestigios premiu este o noua expresie a pozitiei de putere si prestigiu de care Tajikistanul se bucura in lume in acest moment si totodata un imbold pentru investitori si oamenii de afaceri pentru a adanci relatiile de cooperare cu Tajikistanul.

Ambasadorul Soliev felicitat de universitarii europeni .

Intr-o intalnire speciala la Centrul din Bucuresti al Consiliului European pentru Relatii Internationale , Ambasadorul  Soliev Rustamjon Abdulloevich a prezentat inaintea unei  audiente selecte de academicieni, oameni politici, diplomati si oameni de afaceri un raport despre dezvoltarea Tajikistanului astazi  .

Raportul s-a bazat pe lucrarea fundamentala : ARTA SI MESTESUGURILE DIN TAJIKISTAN DE A LUNGUL SECOLELOR de   Hamrokhon Zarifi , Ministrul Afacerilor Externe al Tajikistanului   si-a pus in evidenta bogatiile culturale si de traditii ale tarii.

De la Alexandru Macedon la Drumul Matasii si pana la reformele economice si sociale din Tajikistanul de astazi ascultatorii au avut o imagine completa a Tajikistanului dupa raportul Ambasadorului Soliev.

In audienta oficiala acordata de prof.dr.Anton Caragea  ambasadorului Soliev partile si-au exprimat determinarea de a dezvolta relatiile cuturale si academice ,  de a creea un cadru de dialog politic si cultural si de a organiza in viitorul apropiat o expozitie : TAJIKISTANUL IN INIMA DRUMULUI MATASII , pe baza obiectelor de arta prezentate in lucrarea Ministrului Afacerilor Externe al Tajikistanului, Hamrokhon Zarifi .

Partile au convenit totodata asupra unui calendar de consultari mutuale si asupra unor noi cai de dezvoltare a relatiilor intre Uniunea Europeana- Romania- Tajikistan.

Dimensiunea culturala a relatiei bilaterale Romania- Tajikistan a fost subliniata in intalnirile la ministerul culturii si in vizitarea celui mai vechi parc etnografic  din Estul Europei : Muzeul Satului.

Se poate aprecia ca vizita de doua zile a reusit sa ofere un nou suflu relatiei Tajikistan – Romania.

Discutiile solide pe teme economice, politice si culturale au creat o noua dimensiune a relatiei   bilaterale si partea romana a exprimat, la finalul vizitei Ambasadorului Soliev, dorinta de a continua acest dialog fructuos , in noile conditii ale diplomatiei de secol XXI, pentru a dezvolta relatia bilaterala.

THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DANUBE AND DANUBE DELTA : A DIPLOMATIC SUCCESS STORY

On 23 June 2011, in the presence of Diplomatic Corp accredited to Romania and Romanian officials, it was unveiled the International Exhibition : DANUBE & DANUBE DELTA, under the High Patronage of the Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation.

H.E Ambassador of Nigeria Mba Ama Mba welcomed by Professor dr. Anton Caragea and dr. Petru Lificiu

It is the first edition of such an exhibition and as the organizers are stating it hopes to provide real support in erecting a platform to encourage and support fostering new initiatives and partnerships between local and regional authorities , private and state entities , environmental protection foundation in order to further develop the economic power of the Danube region .

Syrian Arab Republic Representative and Dr. Petru Lificiu -ANRE Vice-President and IRICE Director Dr. Anton Caragea

The opening speech of the International Conference : DANUBE AND DANUBE DELTA : OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES was held by Professor Anton Caragea who offered his High Patronage to the event had presented the main objectives of the Conference:  to mark 29 June 2011 as the official International Day of Danube , to emphasize the economic dimension of Danube as the second European rivers , crossing 10 countries , uniting 4 capitals and constructing a water way between North Sea and Black Sea and offering an avenue for more than 100 billions exchanges on goods and services .

Taking in consideration this economic dimension of Danube is absolutely vital for Romania that is receiving 28, 9% percent of the length of the Danube, to transform this in economic opportunity and constructing international partnership not only with riverbanks’ country but with Mediterranean area countries, stated in his opening speech professor dr. Anton Caragea .

Salem Al Jaber, ambassador of State of Qatar, receives a warm welcome . 

Dr. Petru Lificiu, Vice-president of  National Agency for Energy and President of Ecological Forum had presented in his speech the importance of economic development of Danube in the framework of environmental protection and also emphasize the importance of energy and transportation exploitation of Danube shores .

The main focus of the conference was offered by United Arab Emirates and State of Qatar ambassadors’ assessment of the Danube Delta and Danube potential after participating in the diplomatic trip along the Danube.

H.E Ambassador Yacoub Yousef Al Hosani of United Arab Emirates presents the conclusion of his visit in Danube Delta region

H.E Yacoub Yousef Al Hosani – United Arab Emirates Ambassador to Romania focused his speech in assessment of the economical and environmental opportunities of Danube and Danube Delta and the practical dimension of his trip for observing area of interest for investors from United Arab Emirates .

Also Ambassador Yacoub Yousef al Hosani expressed his appreciation towards the Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania and Director Anton Caragea for hosting this trip and for opening the magic gates of a UNESCO heritage site as valuable as Danube Delta and in such a short span of time to organize and an international conference on Danube and Danube Delta.

A huge assistance was present at the Assembly hall . 

H.E Salem al Jaber-  Ambassador of State of Qatar  underlined his complete appreciation toward the observation and insightful analyses of Danube and Danube Delta offered by United Arab Emirates Ambassador stating also that now they are sharing a friendship cemented by waters of Danube , that according to legend make the perfect friendship . Instead his speech will be directed toward concrete proposal such as including Danube Delta among the national flag carrier destination, including Mr. Petru Lificiu`s  book as the travel guide for the area and offering support for state investment in tourism area in Danube region.

H.E Ambassador Salem al Jaber of State of Qatar is presenting his conclusion on Danube Delta with Dr. Petru Lificiu-Ecological forum President and Professor Dr. Anton Caragea-director IRICE

At the end of the conference officials and ambassadors made the honor tour of the  International Exhibition on Danube and Danube Delta admiring the marvelous objects presented in the exhibition and receiving a complementary book of Natural Patrimony of Romania by Mr. Petru Lificiu, book that was honored with Romania Book Award for 2011.

WASHINGTON POST AND NEW YORK TIMES LIES ABOUT A BOY KILLED IN SYRIA – Hamza al-Khateeb

A report by the Syrian Television broadcast on Tuesday unveiled the truth about the story of martyr Hamza al-Khateeb, closing the door in the face of the lies and false accounts of the satellite channels and websites which badly used al-Khateeb’s pictures over days to serve their purposes.

The report started with showing how in April 29th after Friday Prayer, people began to gather in some villages of Daraa countryside responding to inciting calls for Jihad, which were taken advantage of by armed groups to attack army, police and security forces and citizens, and set off toward the military housing compound in Said area where al-Khateeb was martyred.

Syrian Television is offering the truth : Hamza al Khateeb was killed by US backed terrorists while US is deploring now the death of the boy.

“At that time, armed members showed up among the crowd and succeeded in misleading many young children into going with them to fire at the compound’s guards whose chief was martyred,” said the report.

It continued that al-Khateeb, who was found killed in the surrounding of the compound and still unidentified then, was transferred to hospital among the victims.

“At a late hour on Friday 29/4/2011, we were informed by the Coronary Department that body for unidentified boy was in the hospital,” said Samer Abbas, the judge in charge of the case.

Abbas added that after all the medical and legal procedures were taken and once the body was identified as Hamza al-Khateeb’s, it was handed over to the martyr’s family through the National Hospital in Daraa on May 21, 2011.

“Since I am the one who undertook the investigation and the medical check up, I came to know that al-Khateeb died while he was inside the military compound’s surrounding from several gunshots without any traces of torture on the body,” said judge Abbas, pointing out that al-Khateeb’s family can come and know all the details they want.

Coroner Akram al-Shaar, who checked al-Khateeb’s body,  pointed out that after the body reached the hospital on April 29th, a legal commission including the judge and the coroner came to identify the body whose owner’s name was not known.

Millions of syrians take to the street in protest of mass media lies and manipulation .

“A precise description of the body showed it belongs to a plump young man in his twenties,” said al-Shaar, adding that the body had three deadly gunshots which were the reason behind the death as proven by the x-ray photography and the examination of the gunshot muzzle wounds on the body.

“There weren’t any traces of violence, resistance or torture or any kinds of bruises, fractures, joint displacements or cuts,” the coroner pointed out, indicating that there period between the check and the handover of the dead body to his family was required for the identification.

Al-Shaar affirmed that the photos of the body, which appeared by some channels and news agencies, were taken after an advanced stage of disintegration after death which can be detected by any coroner through different manifestations on the body.

He pointed out that the photos taken by the Coronary Department, however, were new as they were taken immediately upon the arrival of the body which was only few hours after death.

The TV report continued to tell the truth about the story as told by the participants in the attack on Saida military housing compound.

Abdel Aziz al-Khateeb, one of the participants, told in detail how “I used to go with my friends Hamza al-Khateeb, Abdel Majeed al-Khateeb and Mohammed Sweidan to perform Friday prayers at the Grand Mosque in al-Jizah led by sheikh Haroon al-Zoubi and Talal Shkeir who were calling for Jihad.”

“We were holding meetings at al-Jizah Square to protect the participants in Friday gatherings in coordination with other sheikhs from other villages. There was a blacksmith who distributed sharp arms to us,” al-Khateeb added.

“On Friday, April 29th, I joined Hamza al-Khateeb and Mohammad Sweidan and Abdel Majeed al-Khateeb to the gathering place where we met other people from al-Mseifra and Bosra. We headed to the military residences in Saida accompanied by armed men. As we reached there, some demonstrators opened fire toward the compound injuring one soldier. Later, there was a heavy fire exchange and we had to hide behind trees,” al-Khateeb said.

He added that Hamza al-Khateeb was among the injured people. “He fell to the ground and I didn’t know what happened to him. I fled with Abdel Majeed al-Khateeb and Mohammad Sweidan.”

President Bashar al-Assad met the family of Hamza al-Khateeb on Tuesday afternoon and offered them condolences before discussing the death issue in detail.

Father of the martyr said President al-Assad was so “gentle and kind”, adding that the President promised to fulfill the people’s demands and make necessary reforms that serve the interests of the Syrian citizens.

Hamza’s father noted that it was President al-Assad who invited Hamza’s family to listen to them about their son’s death.

For his part, the martyr’s uncle said we received the body from Daraa National Hospital, stressing what has been showed is all proven and based on the coroner’s report written at the Attorney General.

He added that President al-Assad during the meeting stressed forming a committee to investigate the incident to reach the truth.

Professor of media psychology at Damascus University, Majdi Fares, said the incident of al-Khateeb’s death was used by some satellite channels and media in a biased way for misleading purposes through lies and fabrications.

In the same context, Interior Minister Maj. Gen. Mohammad Ibrahim al-Shaar issued a decision on forming an investigation committee chaired by Assistant Interior Minister to uncover the circumstances of the incident and reveal the results to the public opinion. The committee will start its mission today.

Concluding the report, the Syrian TV said the information which has been presented shows the fact that Hamza al-Khateeb has never been jailed or arrested recently.

KAZAKHSTAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: FREE AND FAIR PREPARATION

On 28 of March 2011 the Commission of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation for preparing the Monitoring Mission in Republic of Kazakhstan presented the public preliminary report regarding the pre-election monitoring of Kazakhstan Presidential poll.

Professor Anton Caragea presented the main high-lights of the report: Kazakhstan electoral law, Kazakhstan electoral commission activities and mass media and domestic and international observer’s presence for the poll.

Professor Dr. Anton Caragea meets the Kazakh Central Electoral Commission Chairman when supervising 2007 parliamentary elections.

The preliminary assessment of the preparation for Presidential Election in Kazakhstan is that: ″Kazakhstan Government is insuring an open and fair climate, with equal opportunities for all candidates and with mass media and international and domestic observers’ presence and we consider that preliminary measures are in accordance with international law and elections provisions and the democratic nature of  election process in Kazakhstan  is self evident″.

A clear endorsement of the Kazakhstan pre-election preparation to hold free and open Presidential elections is the conclusion of the IRICE Commission for preparing the Monitoring Mission in Republic of Kazakhstan.

Based on this report Professor Anton Caragea accepted to lead a monitoring mission for Kazakhstan Presidential Election. This the eight such mission and the second in Kazakhstan all of the mission being a success and in six of this missions the final report of IRICE was accepted as an European document and evaluation report .

In 2007 a delegation from Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation has supervised the elections for Madjilis ( the Lower House of Kazakhstan Parliament ) in august 2007 with a great success supporting the democratic process in Kazakhstan.

″We are not accepting such a monitoring mission if we don’t have the confidence that the organizing state is committed in respecting fundamental values and democratic process″, declared Professor Anton Caragea, IRICE director.  Romanian support and commitment for Kazakhstan democratic process and development is a long term commitment and the Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation of Romania decision in strengthening relations between Romanian and Kazakhstan is unwavering stated professor Anton Caragea.

Romania has being a long side Kazakhstan in 2010 , when Kazakhstan held the Chair Office of Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) and we have organized the OSCE Bucharest Conference. Kazakhstan Presidency to send a public message to international community that Kazakhstan Presidency of OSCE will be a success and the message was acknowledge as such.

Today we are sending a new message , Kazakhstan is on a democratic path , is building free and open elections, is offering to the Kazakh people a clear chance to vote ,choose and express their views in a transparent manner. ″The pre-election commitments are clear and fulfilled by Kazakhstan government  and we will be on the spot to monitor and the final step of the election: Election Day and election results″ declared Professor Dr. Anton Caragea director of Institute of International Relations and Economic Cooperation.

ALEGERILE DIN KAZAHSTAN SE ANUNTA A FI ECHIDISTANTE SI CORECTE

In data de 28 martie 2011 , Comisia de Pregatire a Misiunii de Monitorizare a Alegerilor din Kazahstan a Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica ( IRICE ), a prezentat publicului Raportul Preliminar de Monitorizare a Pregatirilor  pentru Alegerile Prezidentiale din Kazahstan.

Profesor Dr. Anton Caragea , directorul IRICE  a prezentat principalele elemente constitutive ale raportului : Legea Electorala a Kazahstanului , activitatile Comisiei Electorale a Kazahstanului si informatii privind reflectarea in mass media a alegerilor si prezenta observatorilor internationali si interni in cadrul alegerilor din aprilie 2011.

Profesor dr. Anton Caragea conducand delegatia romaneasca de monitorizare a alegerilor din Kazahstan-august 2007 cu Presedintele Comisiei Electorale Centrale din Kazahstan

Raportul preliminar de evaluare a pregatirilor pentru alegerile prezidentiale concluzioneaza : ″Guvernul Kazahstanului a reusit sa asigure un climat deschis si onest , cu oportunitati egale de exprimare pentru toti candidatii si cu prezenta mass mediei locale si a observatorilor internationali  si interni si consideram masurile preliminare ca fiind in consonanta cu legile internationale si cu prevederile electorale si apreciem ca natura democratica a procesului electoral din Kazahstan  este evidenta″.

O sustinere clara a pregatirilor pentru alegerile din Kazahstan, de natura a asigura o competitie electorala deschisa si transparenta , este concluzia raportului preliminar al   Comisiei de Pregatire a Misiunii de Monitorizare a Alegerilor din Kazahstan a Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica.

In baza acestui raport  Profesor Dr. Anton Caragea a acceptat sa conduca o misiune de monitorizare a Alegerilor Prezidentiale din Kazahstan.

Aceasta este a opta misiune de acest fel si a doua in Kazahstan, toate fiind misiuni indeplinite cu succes si in sase dintre aceste misiuni raportul final fiind acceptat ca document si evaluare  europeana  .

In 2007 o delegatie a Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica a supervizat alegerile pentru Madjilis ( Camera Deputatilor in Parlamentul din Kazahstan ) din august 2007 cu un important succes , sprijinind procesul democratic din Kazahstan .

″Nu acceptam astfel de misiuni de monitorizare daca nu avem incredere in dorinta statului organizator de a respecta valorile fundamentale ale procesului democratic″, a declarat profesorul Anton Caragea  directorul IRICE.

Sprijinul si implicarea Romaniei in sprijinirea procesului democratic din Kazahstan reprezinta o dorinta de cooperare pe termen lung si decizia Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica de a strange relatiile romano-kazahe este ferma , a mai declarat profesorul Anton Caragea.

Romania a stat alaturi de Kazahstan in 2010, cand Kazahstanul a avut Presedintia Organizatiei pentru Securitate si Cooperare in Europa  si noi am organizat Conferinta OSCE de la Bucuresti . Presedintia Kazaha,  unde am trimis un mesaj public catre comunitatea internationala de sustinere si de incredere in succesul Presedintiei Kazahstanului la OSCE, succes care s-a adeverit si a fost recunoscut ca atare.

Astazi transimtem un nou mesaj : Kazahstanul este in plin proces democratic , construieste alegeri libere si transparente si ofera poporului kazah  sansa clara de a alege si a-si exprima opiniile intr-o maniera deschisa .

Angajamentele de pregatire a alegerilor in mod democratic au fost respectate  de catre autoritatile kazahe   si noi vom fi la fata locului sa monitorizam si ultimii pasi ai alegerilor : ziua alegerilor si rezultatele finale , a declarat profesor Dr. Anton Caragea, directorul Institutului de Relatii Internationale si Cooperare Economica